Oil prices climbed overnight as attacks on Saudi Arabia overshadowed hopes for supply improvements, and expectations for higher US interest rates to fight inflation drove the dollar higher on a narrowly mixed day for global stocks.<\/p>\n
The action came after US President Donald Trump hailed fresh Russian diesel exports and a Russia-Ukraine energy ceasefire.<\/p>\n
The greenback’s rise in recent months has been driven in large part by expectations that high prices for energy and other goods will force the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates at a time when US growth is stronger than in other rich economies. This could expand the rate differentials that drive currency movements.<\/p>\n
While the US bond market was closed for the Columbus Day holiday, investors were cautiously waiting for September inflation data and the third-quarter earnings season, which begins tomorrow with earnings from major US banks.<\/p>\n
“There’s a lot to be wary of,” said Robert Pavlik, senior portfolio manager at Dakota Wealth Management.<\/p>\n
“You’re walking down a train line and you don’t know, because it’s dark, if a train is coming and so, you know, you’re just being real careful right today.”<\/p>\n
Besides the wait for earnings and economic data, Pavlik noted that stocks were also “being kept in check because of higher oil” and a lack of direction from the bond market, which tends to influence stocks and other assets.<\/p>\n
US Treasury yields hit 24-year highs this month as high energy costs fueled concerns that inflation could stay elevated, keeping policymakers hawkish and pressuring equity valuations.<\/p>\n
In currencies, the US dollar held near an 18-month high, supported by safe-haven demand as an escalating Middle East conflict kept investors cautious ahead of the inflation data.<\/p>\n
Markets imply only a 19% chance of a rate increase from the Federal Reserve this month, rising to a roughly 71% chance for a hike of 25 basis points in December, according to CME Group’s FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n
Investors are also betting on hikes in the EU, Japan and Britain before the end of the year.<\/p>\n
Reuters<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Oil prices climbed overnight as attacks on Saudi Arabia overshadowed hopes for supply improvements, and expectations for higher…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":926014,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[2001,64,63,166,2009,99,2005,160,2010,2006,2002,1491],"class_list":["post-926013","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-business","tag-asx","tag-au","tag-australia","tag-australian-dollar","tag-bitcoin","tag-business","tag-dow-jones","tag-live-blog","tag-live-update","tag-nyse","tag-share-market","tag-wall-street"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/926013","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=926013"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/926013\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/926014"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=926013"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=926013"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=926013"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}