{"id":932901,"date":"2026-10-18T19:18:13","date_gmt":"2026-10-18T19:18:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/932901\/"},"modified":"2026-10-18T19:18:13","modified_gmt":"2026-10-18T19:18:13","slug":"not-our-friends-victorian-coalition-warns-advances-bizarre-campaign-may-cost-it-majority-government-victorian-politics","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/932901\/","title":{"rendered":"\u2018Not our friends\u2019: Victorian Coalition warns Advance\u2019s \u2018bizarre\u2019 campaign may cost it majority government | Victorian politics"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Victorian Coalition MPs have criticised a prominent conservative lobby group\u2019s pre-election campaign as \u201cbizarre\u201d and warned it may cost them majority government at next month\u2019s state election.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">But the criticism has been dismissed as \u201cgalactically stupid\u201d by Advance, which has rebuked the Coalition for not being further ahead in the polls.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">On Monday, Advance will begin campaigning in 20 suburban and regional seats in Victoria held by Labor. It has described this as a trial run for the federal election.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">The centrepiece of Advance\u2019s campaign is a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=V_131pqJy8Q&amp;t=7s\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">60-second AI-generated ad<\/a> featuring the premier, Ben Carroll, alongside his predecessors Jacinta Allan and Daniel Andrews. The video underscores the group\u2019s key message: whoever you put first, \u201cput Labor last\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>A screenshot from Advance\u2019s AI-generated campaign video, which fabricates a Labor celebration on election night. Computer-generated: screenshot<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">But several Coalition MPs have told Guardian Australia they have concerns that Advance is undermining a key conservative election message. Coalition candidates have spent months telling voters the \u201conly way\u201d to defeat Labor is to vote for them.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">\u201cThey\u2019re essentially telling voters the opposite of what we have been telling them for months now,\u201d said one Coalition MP. \u201cIt\u2019s bizarre and it\u2019s not helpful at all.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">In an email to members last week, Advance\u2019s executive director, Matthew Sheahan, sought donations to finance the lobby group\u2019s Victorian campaign, which is expected to cost about $350,000.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">This money would push Advance\u2019s ads to voters in the 20 target seats on social media, streaming services, mobile billboards and print.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">\u201cLabor is behind, the vote is split, and they\u2019re counting on the numbers further down the ballot to carry them back in,\u201d Sheahan said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">\u201cThat gives you a rare chance: to trial the campaign against Labor at a state election, before it\u2019s run against Albanese.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">This led one Liberal MP to accuse Advance of being \u201cclearly more concerned about the federal campaign\u201d, which is not due until 2028. They said Advance \u201cdon\u2019t care if they cause chaos in ours\u201d.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Several of the 20 seats selected by Advance are being targeted by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/australia-news\/one-nation\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" data-component=\"auto-linked-tag\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">One Nation<\/a>, including the ultra marginal seat of Pakenham, which is being contested by One Nation Victoria\u2019s leader, Warren Pickering, as well as Bass, Hastings, Melton and Yan Yean. These seats are also crucial to a Liberal path to majority government.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Another Liberal source said Advance were \u201cnot our friends\u201d. Another said the group\u2019s campaign clearly showed it was pursuing its own agenda.<\/p>\n<p><a data-ignore=\"global-link-styling\" href=\"#EmailSignup-skip-link-15\" class=\"dcr-76akua\">skip past newsletter promotion<\/a>Free newsletter |Every weekday<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-vf9hps\">Sign up to Politics, really<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-djbwnz\">Our political team brings you up to speed on the stories that really matter and what they mean for you<\/p>\n<p><img src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/1792351093_192_Politics_really_trail_1x1.jpg\" alt=\"\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"dcr-gx9601\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"EmailSignup-skip-link-15\" tabindex=\"0\" aria-label=\"after newsletter promotion\" role=\"note\" class=\"dcr-76akua\">after newsletter promotion<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">\u201cAt the federal campaign, they went hard against the Greens and helped Labor. Now it looks like they\u2019re going to go hard against Labor and it will help One Nation,\u201d they said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">\u201cTo be honest, with the way they run their campaigns, we don\u2019t want their help,\u201d they said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">In response, an Advance spokesperson said Coalition MPs had displayed a \u201cgalactically stupid misunderstanding of both the electoral position they find themselves in and our strategy for the campaign\u201d.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">The spokesperson said public and private polling showed 25-35% of Coalition and One Nation voters indicated they would preference Labor ahead of each other. They said the Liberals and One Nation could not secure a majority alone, and Labor was reliant on preferences.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">\u201cPerhaps before mouthing off, the bright sparks in the Liberal Party should be asking themselves the following question: as Victorians crash into potholes, as they lie awake hoping their homes won\u2019t be invaded, and as they watch the state go basically broke, why is the Coalition not further ahead?\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Electoral analyst Ben Raue said Advance\u2019s messaging could hurt the Liberal and National parties.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">\u201cIt\u2019s not particularly helpful to the Coalition, who I\u2019m sure would like Advance to pick them, but it\u2019s not surprising,\u201d Raue said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">\u201cThey have an incentive towards \u2018rising tide lifts all boats\u2019 which makes sense particularly considering the weakness of the Coalition in federal politics. But it\u2019s unhelpful to the Victorian Coalition who are on the verge of winning a majority and are trying to hold on to their right flank.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">When asked about Advance\u2019s campaign, a Coalition spokesperson said: \u201cThe only way to change the government in Victoria is to vote one for the Liberal and National parties.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Victorian Coalition MPs have criticised a prominent conservative lobby group\u2019s pre-election campaign as \u201cbizarre\u201d and warned it may&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":932902,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[64,63,44],"class_list":["post-932901","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-australia","tag-au","tag-australia","tag-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/932901","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=932901"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/932901\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/932902"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=932901"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=932901"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=932901"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}