{"id":936522,"date":"2026-10-22T05:22:10","date_gmt":"2026-10-22T05:22:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/936522\/"},"modified":"2026-10-22T05:22:10","modified_gmt":"2026-10-22T05:22:10","slug":"lewis-hamilton-magic-or-misery-max-verstappen-glory-and-more-united-states-gp-predictions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/936522\/","title":{"rendered":"Lewis Hamilton magic or misery, Max Verstappen glory and more United States GP predictions"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The 18th round of the F1 2026 season will take place at this weekend\u2019s United States Grand Prix at the Circuit of the Americas.<\/p>\n<p>Lewis Hamilton magic or misery, Max Verstappen glory as Red Bull take on Mercedes for the win\u2026<\/p>\n<p>Lewis Hamilton on COTA podium for the first time since 2022<\/p>\n<p>By Michelle Foster<\/p>\n<p>Lewis Hamilton will not add to his five Circuit of the Americas victories \u2013 2012, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017 \u2013 but he will return to the podium for the first time since 2022.<\/p>\n<p>Hamilton last won in Texas in 2017, his fourth successive win at the track with Mercedes. But that\u2019s where his streak ended.<\/p>\n<p>While Max Verstappen emerged as the dominant driver around the 5.5km circuit, Hamilton\u2019s teammate Charles Leclerc also added his name to the winners\u2019 list in the five races since F1 returned to America after Covid.<\/p>\n<p>Hamilton had to settle for two runner-up results behind Verstappen in 2021 and 2022. 2022 being his last champagne celebration in Austin.<\/p>\n<p>This year, he\u2019ll be back on the podium.<\/p>\n<p>Although the Ferrari driver is in the midst of a bit of a slump by his standards, bringing his frustrations to the fore through radio messages and testy post-race comments, Ferrari could benefit from A) Mercedes\u2019 stunted upgrades and B) Red Bull\u2019s difficulties with bumps.<\/p>\n<p>It means Hamilton will be on the podium at the United States Grand Prix.<\/p>\n<p>Oh, and Antonelli will not win the world title in Austin.<\/p>\n<p>More from the United States Grand Prix<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.planetf1.com\/news\/max-verstappen-cota-bumps-new-spine\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Max Verstappen raises COTA concerns with \u2018new spine\u2019 jibe<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.planetf1.com\/news\/mercedes-upgrade-decision-toto-wolff-us-grand-prix\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Mercedes makes upgrade decision for Austin <\/a><\/p>\n<p>Sorry Kimi\u2026<\/p>\n<p>By Thomas Maher<\/p>\n<p>Off the back of a very successful triple-header, I suspect this weekend will see a barnstormer of a battle between Mercedes and Red Bull.<\/p>\n<p>The RB22\u2019s rapid improvements suggest it\u2019s a car capable of winning on multiple track types now, while Mercedes have never seemed overly concerned by the performance of the upgrade package that has muddied the picture recently.<\/p>\n<p>If the W17 potential is back to where it has been for most of this season, maybe we\u2019ll get that thriller battle between Kimi Antonelli and Max Verstappen that has never quite happened so far this season. Who\u2019s my money on if that happens?<\/p>\n<p>Sorry Kimi, even if you\u2019re the Champion in Waiting, I reckon Verstappen is still untouchable in any 50\/50 type scenarios.<\/p>\n<p>The fading Ferraris<\/p>\n<p>By Mat Coch<\/p>\n<p>The recent uptick in performance from Ferrari has been encouraging, but I don\u2019t expect it to be quite so prevalent this weekend.<\/p>\n<p>Ferrari\u2019s power unit deficit will be exposed in the United States, especially with its long back straight, with Mercedes and RBPT likely to have the edge.<\/p>\n<p>Add in the mix of medium- to high-speed corners and it\u2019s a venue that on paper plays to the strengths of others, including McLaren.<\/p>\n<p>While there\u2019s nothing obvious to suggest that either Mercedes or Red Bull will have a significant edge, both the W17 and RB22 have proved useful machines across an array of circuits (even if this is perhaps the final test to confirm Red Bull\u2019s progress).<\/p>\n<p>Blend that together; a circuit where its rivals should be strong and a configuration that is expected to expose Ferrari\u2019s weaknesses, and it seems difficult to imagine either Lewis Hamilton or Charles Leclerc being as competitive in the United States GP as it has been in recent races.<\/p>\n<p>And that\u2019s before we take into account whatever impact McLaren\u2019s upgrades will have (not that Andrea Stella has spoken especially enthusiastically about them).<\/p>\n<p>The title battle continues as the Max Verstappen show rolls on<\/p>\n<p>By Henry Valantine<\/p>\n<p>After back-to-back wins, Max Verstappen looks the man to beat, finally getting one on the board in Singapore to boot (which this writer\u2026 didn\u2019t predict. Oops).<\/p>\n<p>Austin has been a Verstappen stronghold in recent years too, with four wins in the last five showing he\u2019s not exactly a slouch around the Circuit of The Americas.<\/p>\n<p>The RB22 has finally come into its own under his driving and, after seemingly everything went wrong for Isack Hadjar last weekend, I\u2019ll back him to make it on the podium again after he did so in Baku.<\/p>\n<p>Unless Mercedes\u2019 upgrade clicks into gear, maybe even if it does, Verstappen and Red Bull look the formidable combination to which we have become so accustomed over time.<\/p>\n<p>Let\u2019s throw a bonus in there and say, as for who will join the Red Bulls on the podium, I\u2019ll go for George Russell to split them.<\/p>\n<p>He\u2019ll want to keep his mathematical chances going for as long as possible, and if it\u2019s a rare off weekend for Kimi Antonelli, Russell simply has to capitalise in Austin.<\/p>\n<p>Max Verstappen to continue newfound dominance in Texas<\/p>\n<p>By Sam Hall<\/p>\n<p>There have been many reasons \u2013 excuses, some might dare to suggest \u2013 offered by Mercedes for why it appears to have fallen behind Red Bull and, more specifically, Max Verstappen in recent weeks.<\/p>\n<p>However, other than to trial elements for the 2027 season, such is the team\u2019s lead in the Constructors\u2019 standings, Mercedes has no real reason to spend vital wind tunnel and CFD time on the current car.<\/p>\n<p>With this in mind, I fully expect Verstappen to come out on top at the Circuit of the Americas. This would push Kimi Antonelli\u2019s championship tilt to Mexico, an event that always comes with a party atmosphere.<\/p>\n<p>With stable weather and forecast and the track being one of the more conventional examples on the schedule, I don\u2019t expect to see any shock points scorers here \u2013 reliability problems aside.<\/p>\n<p>Want to be the first to know exclusive information from the F1 paddock? Join our <a href=\"https:\/\/whatsapp.com\/channel\/0029VaUcBxk6BIEcgEnwDi1T\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">broadcast channel on WhatsApp<\/a> to get the scoop on the latest developments from our team of accredited journalists.<\/p>\n<p>You can also subscribe to the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@planetf1com\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">PlanetF1 YouTube channel<\/a> for exclusive features, hear from our paddock journalists with stories from the heart of Formula 1 and much more!<\/p>\n<p>Read Next: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.planetf1.com\/news\/f1-podcast-the-final-sector-max-verstappen-gt3-rwanda-african-gp\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">The Final Sector: Verstappen\u2019s GT3 exploits; behind the scenes in Rwanda<\/a><\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The 18th round of the F1 2026 season will take place at this weekend\u2019s United States Grand Prix&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":936523,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[573],"tags":[64,63,817,3874,813,816,818,85,66002],"class_list":["post-936522","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-formula-1","tag-au","tag-australia","tag-f1","tag-f1-features","tag-formula-1","tag-formula1","tag-home-page","tag-sports","tag-united-states-grand-prix"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/936522","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=936522"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/936522\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/936523"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=936522"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=936522"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=936522"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}