{"id":939709,"date":"2026-10-24T22:04:24","date_gmt":"2026-10-24T22:04:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/939709\/"},"modified":"2026-10-24T22:04:24","modified_gmt":"2026-10-24T22:04:24","slug":"nfl-week-7-picks-against-the-spread-vikings-bengals-jets-among-expert-best-bets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/939709\/","title":{"rendered":"NFL Week 7 picks against the spread: Vikings, Bengals, Jets among expert best bets"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Ready or not, another week of NFL action is coming in hot and heavy. More than any other year, it does feel like there is a lot to keep up with throughout the league. No matter which way you turn, there are new developments sprouting up, whether it&#8217;s another international game, injuries, player movement, or hot seats ramping up. It&#8217;s enough to make anyone&#8217;s head spin!\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Fortunately for you, you don&#8217;t have to keep your head on a swivel with the latest comings and goings across the NFL. Why? Well, you have us! It&#8217;s our job to make sense of all the madness surrounding the league and package it together for you to easily digest. For the purposes of our little conversation here, we&#8217;ve put together five best bets for Week 7 and handed out picks for every other game on the slate, so when you sit down to watch Sunday&#8217;s action, you don&#8217;t have to do too much homework to formulate your wagers.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Before the games unfold, check out these last-minute picks for Week 7.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Note: Buffalo, Los Angeles (<a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/teams\/LAC\/los-angeles-chargers\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Chargers<\/a>), Washington, and Jacksonville are on the bye in Week 7.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/nfl\/odds\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">NFL odds<\/a> courtesy of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/news\/draftkings-promo-code\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">DraftKings<\/a> Sportsbook. \u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Indianapolis Colts at Minnesota Vikings<\/p>\n<p>We told you last week that the <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/teams\/IND\/indianapolis-colts\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Colts<\/a> were nowhere near being a 7-point favorite against anyone, including the <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/teams\/TEN\/tennessee-titans\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Titans<\/a>. That proved to be right on the money as they lost outright, which helped lead to the firing of GM Chris Ballard. I&#8217;m not sure if a GM getting fired has the same effect as when a coach gets fired, and you see a galvanized effort the following game. That&#8217;s especially true when the Indy offense continues to look lost with <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/players\/2179245\/daniel-jones\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Daniel Jones<\/a> at the helm and is now set to face Brian Flores&#8217; top-notch <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/teams\/MIN\/minnesota-vikings\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Vikings<\/a> defense.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>This season, Minnesota leads the <a href=\"https:\/\/cbssports.com\/nfl\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">NFL<\/a> in blitz rate at a blistering 69.8%. Jones has largely checked down against the blitz this season, with his air yards per attempt falling to 5.2 against the blitz compared to 9.5 without it. In my view, that just means even less of a threat for explosive plays on the Colts&#8217; end, which helps keep things in check. The Vikings defense, which will be well rested after being on the bye, is No. 1 in the NFL in third-down and red-zone efficiency. That&#8217;s a nightmare matchup for the Colts&#8217; offense, which is averaging just 4.7 yards per play.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, I&#8217;m encouraged by <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/players\/2180829\/kyler-murray\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Kyler Murray<\/a> as he&#8217;s coming off his best performance of the season in Week 5. So far, his passer rating and yards per attempt have improved in each game. With the rest and home-field advantage, Minnesota should leave Indy in the dust.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Projected score: Vikings 33, Colts 19<br \/>The pick: Vikings -6.5<\/p>\n<p>Miami Dolphins at New York Jets<\/p>\n<p>Sure, the <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/teams\/NYJ\/new-york-jets\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Jets<\/a> burned us last week, but that shouldn&#8217;t mean we look at them any differently in Week 7, especially with a fantastic matchup against the winless <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/teams\/MIA\/miami-dolphins\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Dolphins<\/a>. New York was competitive with the Patriots last week, and they&#8217;ve been a team we&#8217;ve backed several times already in 2026. \u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The offense is a concern, as they have the worst red-zone efficiency (38%) in the NFL and rank 27th in points per game (18.7). However, I&#8217;m not sure how much that&#8217;ll matter against a Dolphins offense tied for the fewest points in the NFL (14.0). New York is allowing just 20.3 points per game this season, which is tied for the seventh-fewest in the league. So, it might not be too heavy a lift for <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/players\/1700358\/geno-smith\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Geno Smith<\/a> and company to jump out in front of the Dolphins and clear the number.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Projected score: Jets 23, Dolphins 16<br \/>The pick: Jets -4.5<\/p>\n<p>Cleveland Browns at Tennessee Titans<\/p>\n<p>Tennessee notched its first win of the season last week by taking down the Colts, but I don&#8217;t think this is a sign the Titans are about to crawl out of the basement. The Titans have made incremental improvements, but they were outgained by 213 yards last week despite the win. As I wrote in last week&#8217;s picks column, taking the Titans to cover was more about Indianapolis than anything else, and that remains true, which is why we&#8217;re fading them this time around.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/teams\/CLE\/cleveland-browns\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Browns<\/a> are &#8230; good? They pulled off an upset win over the Lamar Jackson-less\u00a0<a href=\"\" target=\"_blank\">Ravens<\/a>\u00a0last week and, remarkably, stand in first place in the AFC North heading into Week 7. <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/players\/2133482\/deshaun-watson\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Deshaun Watson<\/a> has been clutch this season, as he has four game-winning drives where he&#8217;s been money. In that window, Watson has completed 75% of his passes (18-of-24), thrown for 179 yards, and has two touchdowns with zero interceptions. To his credit, <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/players\/3168422\/cam-ward\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Cam Ward<\/a> has also popped in the fourth quarter this season as well, but Tennessee is also tied for the fewest points scored in the NFL over the first three quarters. If that persists, Cleveland has a defense capable of snuffing out any late Ward comeback attempt.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Projected score: Browns 24, Titans 17<br \/>The pick: Browns -2.5<\/p>\n<p>Denver Broncos at Arizona Cardinals<\/p>\n<p>The <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/teams\/DEN\/denver-broncos\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Broncos<\/a> offense is broken. More specifically, <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/players\/3121193\/bo-nix\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Bo Nix<\/a> appears to be broken. Yeah, they beat the <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/teams\/SEA\/seattle-seahawks\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Seahawks<\/a> last week, but they did that in spite of their quarterback play. Nix averages 5.6 yards per attempt, along with just 4.9 air yards. That air yards per attempt average is the shortest through six games in the past 20 seasons. Overall, the offense is 26th in points per game and 31st in total yards per game and yards per play. Nothing about that screams road favorite.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Arizona is coming off its second upset win of the season, slaying the <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/teams\/LAR\/los-angeles-rams\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Rams<\/a> with a strong defensive effort. The <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/teams\/ARI\/arizona-cardinals\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Cardinals<\/a> just held <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/players\/1114942\/matthew-stafford\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Matthew Stafford<\/a> and Co. to 16 points. If that even remotely carries over, it&#8217;s going to be another quiet showing for the Denver offense. Of course, there are concerns about the Cardinals&#8217; offense, especially after going 0-5 in the red zone last week, but I have way more faith in that unit than what the Broncos are producing currently. I&#8217;ll take the points and sprinkle on another upset.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Projected score: Cardinals 23, Broncos 20<br \/>The pick: Cardinals +4.5<\/p>\n<p>Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens<\/p>\n<p>There&#8217;s still no official word on whether <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/players\/2181169\/lamar-jackson\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Lamar Jackson<\/a>\u00a0(ankle) will, in fact, return for this game, but he did practice in a limited fashion all week. Even assuming that No. 8 will be under center for Baltimore, I like the <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/teams\/CIN\/cincinnati-bengals\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Bengals<\/a> here as they are fresh off a bye in Week 6. <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/players\/2179798\/joe-burrow\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Joe Burrow<\/a> doesn&#8217;t have the best head-to-head splits against Jackson, but the Bengals QB was playing well entering the break and currently ranks second in completion percentage and seventh in passing yards per game.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>I also believe this week&#8217;s game will highlight Cincinnati&#8217;s interior defensive line and expose a weakness in Baltimore&#8217;s interior offensive line. The Bengals have the second-most sacks in the NFL by defensive tackles through Week 6, while the Ravens have had a rotating door at center. This game could be one of the key examples as to why Cincinnati traded for <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/players\/2239523\/dexter-lawrence\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Dexter Lawrence<\/a> this offseason.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The Bengals are also 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games after a win that Burrow starts.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Projected score: Bengals 30, Ravens 23<br \/>The pick: Bengals -1.5<\/p>\n<p>Rest of the bunch<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/teams\/PIT\/pittsburgh-steelers\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Steelers<\/a> at <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/teams\/NO\/new-orleans-saints\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Saints<\/a> (in Paris)<br \/>Projected score: Steelers 30, Saints 23<br \/>The pick: Steelers -3<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/teams\/NYG\/new-york-giants\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Giants<\/a> at <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/teams\/HOU\/houston-texans\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Texans<\/a><br \/>Projected score: Texans 27, Giants 20<br \/>The pick: Giants +10<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/teams\/SF\/san-francisco-49ers\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">49ers<\/a> at <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/teams\/ATL\/atlanta-falcons\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Falcons<\/a><br \/>Projected score: 49ers 24, Falcons 21<br \/>The pick: 49ers -2.5<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/teams\/TB\/tampa-bay-buccaneers\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Buccaneers<\/a> at <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/teams\/CAR\/carolina-panthers\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Panthers<\/a><br \/>Projected score: Panthers 28, Buccaneers 20<br \/>The pick: Panthers -3<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/teams\/GB\/green-bay-packers\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Packers<\/a> at <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/teams\/DET\/detroit-lions\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Lions<\/a><br \/>Projected score: Lions 33, Packers 26<br \/>The pick: Lions -3<\/p>\n<p>Rams at <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/teams\/LV\/las-vegas-raiders\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Raiders<\/a><br \/>Projected score: Rams 28, Raiders 27<br \/>The pick: Raiders +3<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/teams\/KC\/kansas-city-chiefs\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Chiefs<\/a> at Seahawks<br \/>Projected score: Chiefs 24, Seahawks 23<br \/>The pick: Chiefs +3<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/teams\/DAL\/dallas-cowboys\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Cowboys<\/a> at <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/teams\/PHI\/philadelphia-eagles\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Eagles<\/a> (Monday)<br \/>Projected score: Cowboys 27, Eagles 17<br \/>The pick: Cowboys -4.5<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Ready or not, another week of NFL action is coming in hot and heavy. More than any other&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":939710,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[559],"tags":[64,63,593,85],"class_list":["post-939709","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-nfl","tag-au","tag-australia","tag-nfl","tag-sports"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/939709","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=939709"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/939709\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/939710"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=939709"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=939709"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=939709"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}