{"id":948533,"date":"2026-11-01T08:46:09","date_gmt":"2026-11-01T08:46:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/948533\/"},"modified":"2026-11-01T08:46:09","modified_gmt":"2026-11-01T08:46:09","slug":"looming-decision-next-week-could-wipe-out-benefits-of-falling-home-prices","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/948533\/","title":{"rendered":"Looming decision next week could wipe out benefits of falling home prices"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" class=\"styles__StyledImage-sc-17n6uwl-1 hlcJVa size-full wp-post-1179826 wp-image-1179824\" loading=\"eager\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1179824\" data-capiid=\"86287b99ce3e9944f2342878c0e6fab9\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg xmlns=&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg&quot; viewBox=&quot;0 0 1280 720&quot;%3E%3C\/svg%3E\"  alt=\"Treasurer press conference\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-1179824\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Federal Treasurer Jim Chalmers announced policies to level the playing field for first-home buyers, but so far affordability has got worse. Picture: Martin Ollman<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Federal government promises to \u201clevel the playing field\u201d for home buyers are looking more threadbare by the month: even with prices falling, buying a home has become harder.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">And now it\u2019s not just singles being frozen out but ordinary couples too, new analysis of median prices and interest rates has revealed.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">The figures from Compare the Market paint a bruising picture of a housing market where lower prices haven\u2019t delivered relief, because bigger mortgages and rate hikes have swallowed any benefit.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Couples on typical salaries were now only able to afford a median-priced property in just 38.61 per cent of suburbs nationally over September, according to the Compare the Market study.<\/p>\n<p><img class=\"styles__StyledImage-sc-17n6uwl-1 hlcJVa size-full wp-post-1179826 wp-image-1179821\" loading=\"eager\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1179821\" data-capiid=\"f745ec233b96f9f0a1075fc9d97cdd67\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg xmlns=&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg&quot; viewBox=&quot;0 0 1280 720&quot;%3E%3C\/svg%3E\"  alt=\"\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-1179821\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">If RBA governor Michele Bullock announces another rate hike, it could freeze couples on $135,000 out of the market. Picture: Martin Ollman\/NewsWire<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">This was down sharply from 53.63 percent of suburbs a year earlier.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Couples on a combined income of about $135,000 a year, the median household income in some areas, could afford a home in only 5 per cent of the market nationally.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">And with the Reserve Bank of Australia widely expected to announce another rate hike on Melbourne Cup Day, home buyers on this income tier could have their choices hollowed further.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">MORE: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realestate.com.au\/news\/higher-interest-rates-make-brisbane-australias-toughest-property-market-for-couples-to-buy\/?campaignType=external&amp;campaignChannel=syndication&amp;campaignName=ncacont&amp;campaignContent=&amp;campaignSource=daily_telegraph&amp;campaignPlacement=socref\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Brisbane named nation\u2019s least affordable capital<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.realestate.com.au\/news\/unattainable-sydney-singles-shutout-of-market\/?campaignType=external&amp;campaignChannel=syndication&amp;campaignName=ncacont&amp;campaignContent=&amp;campaignSource=daily_telegraph&amp;campaignPlacement=socref\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">\u2018Unattainable\u2019: bad news for Sydney singles<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Property expert Andrew Winter said the market was behaving in a way many buyers would find baffling at first glance.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">\u201cIt\u2019s a weird time,\u201d he said. \u201cProperty values are coming down, which should make homes more affordable, but higher interest rates are wiping out those gains by squeezing borrowing power.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><img class=\"styles__StyledImage-sc-17n6uwl-1 hlcJVa size-full wp-post-1179826 wp-image-1179822\" loading=\"eager\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1179822\" data-capiid=\"cafd7a7fe907e357a03e3b64f393d96f\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg xmlns=&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg&quot; viewBox=&quot;0 0 1280 720&quot;%3E%3C\/svg%3E\"  alt=\"\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-1179822\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">David Koch, Compare the Market Economic Director, said housing affordability was now about much more than just prices.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">For singles, just 2.83 per cent of suburbs were deemed affordable, down from 6.24 per cent in 2025, according to Compare the Market.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">The findings analysed median values across 3,363 suburbs using median price data.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Affordability was measured by a simple test: if repayments on an 80 per cent loan rose above 30 per cent of household income, the property was deemed out of reach.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">MORE: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realestate.com.au\/news\/recession-fears-surge-as-high-inflation-forces-rbas-hand\/?campaignType=external&amp;campaignChannel=syndication&amp;campaignName=ncacont&amp;campaignContent=&amp;campaignSource=daily_telegraph&amp;campaignPlacement=article\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Hated money move fuels recession fears<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Compare the Market economic director David Koch said price was only half the story.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">\u201cEvery rate rise cuts into borrowing power and pushes repayments higher. Falling values will help balance the picture a bit, but we\u2019re starting from such a high base we would need significant drops to make a difference,\u201d Mr Koch said.<\/p>\n<p><img class=\"styles__StyledImage-sc-17n6uwl-1 hlcJVa size-full wp-post-1179826 wp-image-1179823\" loading=\"eager\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1179823\" data-capiid=\"57d2df837e17ebb141666acdd8fbd05f\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg xmlns=&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg&quot; viewBox=&quot;0 0 1280 720&quot;%3E%3C\/svg%3E\"  alt=\"Auction for Sunday Tele Hot Auctions page\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-1179823\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Home prices have been falling nationally since about March. Picture: Sarah Wilson<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">\u201cAnd really, we are talking about drops that would be hugely disruptive and potentially devastating for people who have recently purchased a house. Negative equity is something nobody wants.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Declining affordability at a time of falling home prices cut to the heart of the political problem for the housing market, Mr Winter added.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Buyers were told that policies aimed at helping people into homes would make a difference, such as the 5 per cent deposit scheme. Yet the evidence suggests the obstacle has shifted, he said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Mr Winter explained that the deposit was still daunting, but the real pain now came after purchase, when borrowers face monthly repayments that are chewing through household budgets.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Markets are now pricing in an 80 per cent chance of another interest rate hike when the Reserve Bank next meets on Melbourne Cup Day, this Tuesday.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Federal Treasurer Jim Chalmers announced policies to level the playing field for first-home buyers, but so far affordability&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":948534,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[64,63,99],"class_list":["post-948533","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-business","tag-au","tag-australia","tag-business"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/948533","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=948533"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/948533\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/948534"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=948533"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=948533"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=948533"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}