{"id":952910,"date":"2026-11-05T01:02:20","date_gmt":"2026-11-05T01:02:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/952910\/"},"modified":"2026-11-05T01:02:20","modified_gmt":"2026-11-05T01:02:20","slug":"national-crisis-new-data-estimates-almost-25000-households-at-risk-of-mortgage-default-as-pressure-seeps-into-south-australia-and-queensland","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/952910\/","title":{"rendered":"&#8216;National crisis&#8217;: New data estimates almost 25,000 households at risk of mortgage default, as pressure seeps into South Australia and Queensland"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A record 24,546 Australian households are at risk of defaulting on their mortgage, with new research revealing a 24 per cent annual increase on the heartbreaking number.<\/p>\n<p>A report on the September quarter, published by OurTop10, revealed that mortgage pressure is now spreading beyond Sydney and Melbourne into Adelaide and regional Queensland.<\/p>\n<p>A default officially occurs when a borrower fails to meet their loan repayment obligations, signalling severe financial distress.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Mortgage default risk increased in 66 of Australia&#8217;s 70 ranked postcodes, according to data compiled by Digital Finance Analytics (DFA).\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Despite quarterly growth slowing to three per cent, the market is still absorbing the impact of an 18 per cent jump in the June period.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>OurTop10 Head of Research Mansour Soltani said the slowdown offered no comfort.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;A slower quarter is not a better quarter,&#8221; he said.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Twenty-four thousand households at risk of defaults is a record for this series, and the pressure is now spreading from the growth corridors into Adelaide and regional Queensland.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;These figures don\u2019t yet capture September\u2019s rate hike, let alone this week\u2019s, and the full impact of earlier hikes is still working its way through household budgets.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Mr Soltani warned that the latest report was a &#8220;snippet&#8221; of the imminent &#8220;national crisis&#8221;.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;What we\u2019re seeing now is likely just a snippet of what will become a bigger national crisis over the next 12 months as the effects of five rate hikes start to snowball,&#8221; he said.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Many households have already burned through their savings buffers. The real test now is how much longer they can hold on in this economic climate.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;We\u2019re already seeing early warning signs, with banks reporting a rise in requests for hardship arrangements this year.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Cranbourne in Melbourne&#8217;s south east remained the highest concentration of risk in the country, with 1,364 households estimated to default.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Blacktown in Western Sydney recorded the nation&#8217;s sharpest annual increase of 76 per cent.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Across the states, South Australia recorded the most rapid momentum, with households at risk expanding by 13.6 per cent over the quarter and 31 per cent annually.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>South Australia&#8217;s Encounter Bay recorded the country\u2019s largest quarterly increase, up 78 per cent from 93 to 166 households.<\/p>\n<p>It was followed by Glenelg North at 52 per cent, South Plympton at 38 per cent and Pooraka at 31 per cent.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The pressures come amid the Reserve Bank&#8217;s decision on Tuesday to lift interest rates to an 18-year high.<\/p>\n<p>The <a class=\"body-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.news24.com.au\/business\/finance\/rba-delivers-mortgage-holders-another-brutal-blow-as-interest-rates-lifted-to-485-per-cent-marking-fifth-hike-in-2026\/news-story\/c7560f98e82a430df492ec3d49d0af57\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">RBA lifted the cash rate 25 basis points<\/a> from 4.6 to 4.85 per cent, after six members of the nine person board voted to hike rates while the remaining three voted to hold.<\/p>\n<p>Canstar said this hike lifts monthly repayments on a $600,000 loan with 25 years remaining by another $92.<\/p>\n<p>Adding this to the four hikes already this year means repayments are $456 a month higher than in January.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"A record 24,546 Australian households are at risk of defaulting on their mortgage, with new research revealing a&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":952911,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[64,63,99,41262,2610,51536,2458,92031,164,186,7688,647,36020,1003,1124,670],"class_list":["post-952910","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-au","tag-australia","tag-business","tag-cost","tag-cost-of-living","tag-crisis","tag-data","tag-default","tag-economy","tag-finance","tag-housing","tag-melbourne","tag-quarter","tag-real-estate","tag-south-australia","tag-sydney"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/952910","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=952910"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/952910\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/952911"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=952910"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=952910"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=952910"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}