{"id":960021,"date":"2026-11-11T01:58:11","date_gmt":"2026-11-11T01:58:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/960021\/"},"modified":"2026-11-11T01:58:11","modified_gmt":"2026-11-11T01:58:11","slug":"wholesale-power-prices-could-nearly-double-by-2029","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/960021\/","title":{"rendered":"Wholesale power prices could nearly double by 2029"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Wholesale energy prices could almost double in Australia by 2029 as the shuttering of coal-fired power stations outpaces renewable energy builds.<\/p>\n<p>New modelling from research firm Rystad Energy shows electricity prices will surge up to $110 per megawatt hour from the current $60MWh, with the number of large-scale wind and solar farms needing to triple over the next two years for the Albanese government to hit its 82 per cent renewable energy target by 2030.<\/p>\n<p>First reported by The Australian, Rystad senior analyst David Dixon said the Capacity Investment Scheme \u2013 which underwrites large-scale renewables projects \u2013 is failing to meet its goal of pumping 40 gigawatts of new capacity into the national grid by decade\u2019s end.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe whole purpose of the CIS was to have capacity online by 2030 for the impending coal closures,\u201d Mr Dixon said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cBut it\u2019s already too late as they haven\u2019t started construction yet.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The CIS is the cornerstone of Labor\u2019s plan to scale up clean energy generation.<\/p>\n<p>The Energy Department last month revealed that almost a quarter of clean-energy projects backed by the CIS had fallen over, with an official putting it down to \u201cmaterial change in capital and construction costs\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cSome have had difficulty obtaining network connection or access rights to the network, delays with planning and environmental approvals,\u201d the official told a parliamentary hearing.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cSome have difficulties securing power purchase agreements.\u201d<\/p>\n<p> Junior minister Julian Hill plays down Rystad modelling.<\/p>\n<p>Pointing to data last month <a class=\"body-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.news.com.au\/finance\/money\/budgeting\/wholesale-electricity-prices-plunge-27-per-cent-as-solar-and-battery-storage-surge\/news-story\/f0aff0db43365a3d3802b65062556998\" target=\"_self\" data-tgev=\"event119\" data-tgev-container=\"bodylink\" data-tgev-order=\"f0aff0db43365a3d3802b65062556998\" data-tgev-label=\"finance\" data-tgev-metric=\"ev\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">showing wholesale spot prices fell 27 per cent<\/a> compared with the July to September period last year, junior Minister Julian Hill said he did not think households need to brace for high power bills.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThose projections are put out regularly, and they go up and they go down,\u201d Mr Hill told News24.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI take them with a grain of salt,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThey\u2019re not a they\u2019re not a sort of a prophecy, because as new capacity comes online \u2026 the projections continue to change.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cBut we have a record level of investment in the pipeline \u2013 committed investment, stuff under construction &#8211; to bring new renewables online, which are the cheapest form of new power.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThat\u2019s what the market operator continues to say.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The modelling comes as Anthony Albanese and Energy Minister Chris Bowen attend world\u2019s premier climate conference in Turkey, where world leaders are under pressure to adopt more ambitious emissions reduction policies.<\/p>\n<p>Global temperatures are set to soar past a 1.5\u00b0C increase above pre-industrial levels in the next three-four years.<\/p>\n<p>The latest UN climate data shows the world is on track to heat 2.6\u00b0C by the end of this century.<\/p>\n<p>Ahead of his departure for Turkey on Tuesday, Mr Albanese said his government \u201cknows how important action on climate\u201d is.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAustralia\u2019s influence matters, and the progress we make abroad matters to Australians at home,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe\u2019re not watching from the sidelines.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe\u2019re showing up and working with our partners to make sure the decisions that affect Australians are shaped by Australia.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Wholesale energy prices could almost double in Australia by 2029 as the shuttering of coal-fired power stations outpaces&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":960022,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[454653,387240,377380,527684,371596,527679,41691,352661,527676,140849,527680,527675,527677,385424,527672,527703,527688,468260,389494,511006,2324,64,27621,63,9461,99,100541,527706,32092,527685,527697,340047,6045,127700,11758,2458,12874,79965,428782,90019,164,44433,273857,527687,486805,527702,376625,384833,191,527708,42930,527710,5474,527698,458701,527683,1788,527695,527668,67651,45755,527691,316168,527704,297851,527699,316652,527674,527667,389411,229840,527681,399346,180257,395664,527709,229374,527669,1655,8146,527696,527707,527686,17426,505164,383337,378344,177343,527705,527711,527671,421492,527670,434162,438714,215379,527666,505163,505136,448386,527678,387833,527682,386815,393515,387562,527689,527700,527693,527701,383329,527690,54798,527673,527712,39,34224,28333,940,527692,527694,505166,1720,54868],"class_list":["post-960021","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-s-end","tag-s-influence","tag-s-plan","tag-s-premier-climate-conference","tag-371596","tag-2-6c","tag-41691","tag-352661","tag-2030-first","tag-140849","tag-40-gigawatts","tag-a-1-5c-increase","tag-a-grain","tag-a-grim-picture","tag-a-parliamentary-hearing","tag-a-prophecy","tag-a-record-level","tag-a-sort","tag-almost-a-quarter","tag-an-official","tag-anthony-albanese","tag-au","tag-aussies","tag-australia","tag-australians","tag-business","tag-capacity","tag-capital-and-construction-costs","tag-cent","tag-cent-renewable-energy-target","tag-clean-energy-generation-the-energy-department","tag-clean-energy-projects","tag-climate","tag-coal-fired-power-stations","tag-construction","tag-data","tag-decade","tag-delays","tag-difficulties","tag-difficulty","tag-economy","tag-electricity-prices","tag-energy-minister-chris-bowen","tag-fresh-modelling","tag-grim-warning","tag-high-power-bills","tag-his-departure","tag-his-government","tag-home","tag-household-power-bills","tag-households","tag-important-action","tag-investment","tag-its-82","tag-its-goal","tag-junior-minister-julian-hill","tag-labor","tag-large-scale-renewables-projects","tag-large-scale-wind-and-solar-farms","tag-last-month","tag-last-year","tag-material-change","tag-megawatt-hour","tag-more-ambitious-emissions-reduction-policies-global-temperatures","tag-mr-albanese","tag-mr-dixon","tag-mr-hill","tag-network-connection-or-access-rights","tag-new-capacity","tag-new-modelling","tag-new-power","tag-new-renewables","tag-news24","tag-newswire-politics","tag-our-partners","tag-planning-and-environmental-approvals","tag-power-purchase-agreements","tag-pre-industrial-levels","tag-pressure","tag-renewable-energy","tag-research-firm-rystad-energy","tag-rystad","tag-rystad-senior-analyst-david-dixon","tag-salt","tag-september-period","tag-stuff","tag-the-albanese-government","tag-the-australian","tag-the-capacity-investment-scheme","tag-the-cheapest-form","tag-the-cis","tag-the-cornerstone","tag-the-current-60mwh","tag-the-decade","tag-the-decisions","tag-the-end","tag-the-impending-coal-closures","tag-the-july","tag-the-market-operator","tag-the-modelling","tag-the-national-grid","tag-the-network","tag-the-next-three-four-years-the-latest-un-climate-data","tag-the-next-two-years","tag-the-number","tag-the-official","tag-the-pipeline-committed-investment","tag-the-progress","tag-the-projections","tag-the-shuttering","tag-the-sidelines","tag-the-whole-purpose","tag-the-world","tag-this-century-ahead","tag-those-projections","tag-top-stories","tag-track","tag-tuesday","tag-turkey","tag-wholesale-energy-prices","tag-wholesale-power-prices","tag-wholesale-spot-prices","tag-world","tag-world-leaders"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/960021","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=960021"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/960021\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/960022"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=960021"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=960021"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=960021"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}