Hap Sneddon, founder and chief portfolio manager at CastleMoore Inc., shares his outlook on Technical Analysis.
Hap Sneddon, Founder, Chief Portfolio Manager, CastleMoore Inc.
Focus: Technical Analysis
Top picks: Onex Corporation, Pembina Pipeline Inc., Invesco DB Commodity Tracking ETF
MARKET OUTLOOK:
Investors have been rewarded since April for looking past US-based tariffs. The initial concern over inflation stemming from tariffs never materialized, corporate earnings remained decent, and employment remained steady.
Today, there is a bit of wobble in two of the three: employment has started to soften, and inflation has perked up. While corporate earnings are still decent, the U.S. Fed is starting to be boxed in by market expectations of a what’s now am expected 50 basis points rate cut and some building inflationary pressures. How do they support employment without encouraging inflation?
As we enter a seasonally weak period in September and October, I expect these competing themes to get more attention resulting in softer prices and higher volatility, and eventually, an entry into markets before the period of strength begins.
TOP PICKS:
Hap Sneddon’s Top Picks: Onex Corporation, Pembina Pipeline Inc. & Invesco DB Commodity Tracking ETF Hap Sneddon, founder and chief portfolio manager at CastleMoore Inc., shares his top stock picks to watch in the market.
Onex Corporation (ONX TSX)
Onex Corporation, a private equity investor and asset management firm, has seen its share price struggle for the last seven years. Recently it broke above 2017 highs, sending a strong signal to investors that it’s in a new bullish phase. The company which operates in two areas, investing, comprising the activity of investing Onex’s capital, and asset management, which comprises the asset management activities provided by Onex to support its private equity and Credit strategies, as well as Onex’s corporate functions, provides leverage to investors.
Pembina Pipeline Inc. (PPL TSX)
Pembina owns a network of hydrocarbon liquids and natural gas pipelines, gas gathering and processing facilities, oil and natural gas liquids infrastructure and export terminals. The stock is experiencing technical cycle acceleration on a short-, medium- and long-term basis. The company reported strong second quarter earnings, reflecting excellent performance across pipelines and facilities segments as well as higher marketing contributions and lower corporate costs. The current dividend is 5.26 per cent. Not bad for firm that too has substantial headroom to continue to invest or make opportunistic acquisitions.
Invesco DB Commodity Tracking ETF (DBC)
The fund is designed for investors who want a cost-effective and convenient way to invest in commodity futures, including oil, natural gas, metals, and agricultural products. Owning this unit now, is a hedge of sorts on the current tension between a softening economy and rate-easing central bankers, particularly the U.S. Fed today. With limited new supply coming onboard in many commodities, it may only take a bit of inflation coming through for this unit to march back to mid-2022 highs around US$31.
DISCLOSUREPERSONALFAMILYPORTFOLIO/FUNDONX TSXYYYPPL TSXYYYDBCYYY
PAST PICKS: October 9, 2024
Hap Sneddon’s Past Picks: Walmart, Nutrien & Constellation Software Hap Sneddon, founder and chief portfolio manager at CastleMoore Inc., discusses his past stock picks and how they’re doing in the market today.
Walmart (WMT NYSE)
Then: US$80.40
Now: US$103.84
Return: 29%
Total Return: 30%
Nutrien (NTR TSX)
Then: $67.26
Now: $79.28
Return: 18%
Total Return: 21%
Constellation Software (CSU TSX)
Then: $4368.03
Now: $4399.95
Return: 0.7%
Total Return: 0.8%
Total Return Average: 17%
DISCLOSUREPERSONALFAMILYPORTFOLIO/FUNDWMT NYSEYYYNTR TSXYNYCSU TSXYNY