TORONTO — There’s a new Grey Cup favourite.
After Week 15’s results, it’s the Hamilton Tiger-Cats that have emerged as the top dogs to win it all.
KPMG Playoff Probability, formerly know as the CFL Simulation, is here to tell us which team is the favourite to win the 112th Grey Cup and much more.
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As always, we’ll give readers a reminder that Playoff Probability is a snapshot of this particular moment in the season, working with the data provided by teams’ records through the first 15 weeks of play.
Below is where every team stands ahead of Week 16.
Odds to Make Playoffs
TEAM
PROJECTION
Saskatchewan
C
Hamilton
99.62%
Calgary
97.29%
Montreal
68.64%
BC
65.54%
Winnipeg
58.53%
Toronto
55.31%
Ottawa
25.46%
Edmonton
29.31%
Odds to Host a Playoff Game
TEAM
PROJECTION
Hamilton
99.73%
Saskatchewan
97.01%
Calgary
81.83%
Montreal
52.14%
Toronto
34.34%
Ottawa
13.79%
BC
13.38%
Winnipeg
5.98%
Edmonton
1.80%
Odds to Win the East
TEAM
PROJECTION
Hamilton
98.32%
Montreal
0.85%
Toronto
0.52%
Ottawa
0.31%
Odds to Win the West
TEAM
PROJECTION
Saskatchewan
61.09%
Calgary
36.46%
BC
1.79%
Winnipeg
0.50%
Edmonton
0.16%
Odds to Appear in the 112th Grey Cup
TEAM
PROJECTION
Hamilton
77.49%
Calgary
43.03%
Saskatchewan
41.14%
BC
11.01%
Toronto
9.84%
Montreal
6.27%
Winnipeg
5.10%
Edmonton
3.78%
Ottawa
2.34%
Odds to Win the 112th Grey Cup
TEAM
PROJECTION
Hamilton
39.67%
Calgary
25.56%
Saskatchewan
16.85%
BC
6.13%
Toronto
4.46%
Winnipeg
2.37%
Montreal
2.11%
Edmonton
2.03%
Ottawa
0.82%
Most Likely 112th Grey Cup Matchups
TEAM
PROJECTION
Calgary/Hamilton
33.15%
Saskatchewan/Hamilton
31.88%
BC/Hamilton
7.31%
Calgary/Toronto
4.26%
Saskatchewan/Toronto
4.02%
Probability of a West Division Crossover
50.67%