TORONTO — The Green and White are still the favourites.
For the third time this season, the Saskatchewan Roughriders are the favourites to win the 112th Grey Cup according to the KPMG Playoff Probability.
Fresh off clinching first place in the West Division, the Riders lead all teams with a 38.97 per cent chance of celebrating when it’s all said and done.
KPMG Playoff Probability, formerly known as the CFL Simulation, is here to tell us which team is the favourite to win the 112th Grey Cup and much more.
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As always, we’ll give readers a reminder that Playoff Probability is a snapshot of this particular moment in the season, working with the data provided by teams’ records through the first 19 weeks of play.
Below is where every team stands ahead of Week 20.
Odds to Make Playoffs
TEAM
PROJECTION
Saskatchewan
Clinched
Hamilton
Clinched
Montreal
Clinched
BC
Clinched
Winnipeg
93.49%
Calgary
97.95%
Edmonton
8.56%
Toronto
Eliminated
Ottawa
Eliminated
Odds to Host a Playoff Game
TEAM
PROJECTION
Hamilton
Clinched
Montreal
Clinched
Saskatchewan
Clinched
BC
48.98%
Calgary
38.32%
Winnipeg
12.70%
Ottawa
Eliminated
Toronto
Eliminated
Edmonton
Eliminated
Odds to Win the East
TEAM
PROJECTION
Hamilton
95.60%
Montreal
4.40%
Toronto
Eliminated
Ottawa
Eliminated
Odds to Win the West
TEAM
PROJECTION
Saskatchewan
Clinched
BC
Eliminated
Calgary
Eliminated
Winnipeg
Eliminated
Edmonton
Eliminated
Odds to Appear in the 112th Grey Cup
TEAM
PROJECTION
Saskatchewan
63.94%
Montreal
45.22%
Hamilton
40.26%
BC
23.26%
Winnipeg
16.82%
Calgary
9.36%
Edmonton
1.14%
Toronto
Eliminated
Ottawa
Eliminated
Odds to Win the 112th Grey Cup
TEAM
PROJECTION
Saskatchewan
38.97%
Montreal
20.34%
BC
15.81%
Winnipeg
9.78%
Hamilton
9.69%
Calgary
4.90%
Edmonton
0.51%
Toronto
Eliminated
Ottawa
Eliminated
Most Likely 112th Grey Cup Matchups
TEAM
PROJECTION
Saskatchewan/Montreal
28.90%
Saskatchewan/Hamilton
25.71%
BC/Montreal
9.37%
BC/Hamilton
8.15%
Saskatchewan/Winnipeg
5.84%
Probability of a West Division Crossover
Clinched