KPMG Playoff Probability: Who is the favourite to win the 112th Grey Cup?

TORONTO — The Saskatchewan Roughriders are still the favourite.

Heading into the final week of the regular season, the Riders have the West Division locked up and remain as the top dogs to hoist the coveted trophy in November.

KPMG Playoff Probability, formerly known as the CFL Simulation, is here to tell us which team is the favourite to win the 112th Grey Cup and much more.

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As always, we’ll give readers a reminder that Playoff Probability is a snapshot of this particular moment in the season, working with the data provided by teams’ records through the first 20 weeks of play.

Below is where every team stands ahead of Week 21.

Odds to Make Playoffs

TEAM
PROJECTION

Saskatchewan
Clinched

Hamilton
Clinched

Montreal
Clinched

BC
Clinched

Winnipeg
Clinched

Calgary
Clinched

Edmonton
Eliminated

Toronto
Eliminated

Ottawa
Eliminated

 

Odds to Host a Playoff Game

TEAM
PROJECTION

Hamilton
Clinched

Montreal
Clinched

Saskatchewan
Clinched

BC
55.77%

Calgary
44.23%

Winnipeg
Eliminated

Ottawa
Eliminated

Toronto
Eliminated

Edmonton
Eliminated

 

Odds to Win the East

TEAM
PROJECTION

Hamilton
92.61

Montreal
7.39%

Toronto
Eliminated

Ottawa
Eliminated

 

Odds to Win the West

TEAM
PROJECTION

Saskatchewan
Clinched

BC
Eliminated

Calgary
Eliminated

Winnipeg
Eliminated

Edmonton
Eliminated

 

Odds to Appear in the 112th Grey Cup

TEAM
PROJECTION

Saskatchewan
58.10%

Montreal
48.47%

Hamilton
38.48%

BC
24.38%

Calgary
18.99%

Winnipeg
11.58%

Edmonton
Eliminated

Toronto
Eliminated

Ottawa
Eliminated

 

Odds to Win the 112th Grey Cup

TEAM
PROJECTION

Saskatchewan
33.62%

Montreal
21.76%

BC
17.07%

Calgary
12.29%

Hamilton
9.86%

Winnipeg
5.40%

Edmonton
Eliminated

Toronto
Eliminated

Ottawa
Eliminated

 

Most Likely 112th Grey Cup Matchups

TEAM
PROJECTION

Saskatchewan/Montreal
28.19%

Saskatchewan/Hamilton
22.31%

BC/Montreal
10.81%

BC/Hamilton
8.20%

Calgary/Montreal
8.11%

 

Probability of a West Division Crossover

Clinched