Rebecca Sramkova and Jelena Ostapenko will meet in the first round of the Australian Open 2026 on Monday.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers’ advanced tennis model projects an equal chance for both both teams to win the Sramkova-Ostapenko matchup.

This article offers further insights into Monday’s match, including best bets and picks.

Sramkova vs. Ostapenko prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday’s Sramkova-Ostapenko women’s singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model can’t split the two players, giving both Sramkova and Ostapenko a 50% chance of winning the match.

Additionally, Sramkova has a 51% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Sramkova (+1.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 53% chance of hitting**, according to our model.

 

Rebecca Sramkova vs. Jelena Ostapenko odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type
Sramkova
Ostapenko

Moneyline
-105
-111

First Set
-111
-111

Game Spread
+1.5 (-145)
-1.5 (-110)

Total Games
o22.5 (-115)
u22.5 (-125)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Sramkova vs. Ostapenko picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: