ATP Australian Open 1/16-Finals

Tien – Borges: 23.01.2026 01:00 CEST
H2H: 1-0

Learner Tien has won three of his last five matches. This week in Melbourne, Tien defeated Giron in five sets and Shevchenko in four sets en route to the third round. Last season in Melbourne, the American lost to Sonego in the fourth round in four sets.

Nuno Borges has won three of his last five matches. This week, Auger-Aliassime retired against Boges in the opening round after losing the third set. In the second round, Borges defeated Thompson in four sets. Last season in Melbourne, he lost to Alcaraz in the third round in four tight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Tien is the slight favourite in this matchup, but we disagree. Both Shevchenko and Giron had chances against him. On the other hand, Borges had tougher opponents and dominated in both matches. We expect Borges to keep this match tight.

That being said, Borges covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Nuno Borges +3.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365

Medvedev – Marozsan: 23.01.2026 01:30 CEST
H2H: 2-0

Daniil Medvedev has won seven straight matches. This week in Melbourne, Medvedev defeated de Jong in straight sets in the opening round. In the second round, the Russian defeated Halys after losing the opening set 6-7. Last season at the Australian Open, Medvedev lost to Tien in the second round in a tight five-set match.

Fabian Marozsan has won four of his last five matches. This week in Melbourne, the Hungarian defeated Rinderknech in four sets. He served extraordinarily well, offering no breakpoints throughout the match. In the second round, Marozsan defeated Majchrzak in straight sets comfortably.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Marozsan is the heavy underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. Marozsan played his best tennis so far this week. We expect a tight match that could go either way.

That being said, Marozsan covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Fabian Marozsan +5.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365

Zverev – Norrie: 23.01.2026 08:30 CEST
H2H: 6-0

Alexander Zverev has won four of his last five matches. This week in Melbourne, Zverev defeated Diallo in the opening round in four sets, after losing the opening set 6-7. In the second round, the German defeated Muller in four sets. Last season, the German finished as a runner-up, losing to Sinner in the final in straight sets.

Cameron Norrie has won three of his last five matches. This week at the Australian Open, the Brit defeated Bonzi in five sets after playing for almost four hours. He trailed 1-2, but turned it around. In the second round, the Brit defeated Nava in four sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Zverev is the clear favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He leads 6-0 in head-to-head meetings and has a way better backhand and serve than Norrie, where he will dominate.

That being said, Zverev covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Alexander Zverev -5.5 games handicap @1.91 @bet365

Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-Imagn Images