Top Prop Recommendation6 of 6

Davenport: Successful Two-Point Conversion (+300)

This writer isn’t a huge fan of the analytics-driven “Go!” mentality that pervades today’s NFL—if Sean Payton had played things more conservatively in the AFC Championship, the Patriots might well be watching this game on TV. 

But we don’t need that for this to triple your fun. All that is necessary is for the math to work: a missed extra point, a team to wind up down 11 in the second half—or worse.

This is the game in which coaches pull out all the stops. Just last year, the Kansas City Chiefs converted twice while playing catch-up against the Eagles.

Gagnon: Kenneth Walker III Over 73.5 rushing yards (-110) 

With Zach Charbonnet out, I have to think the Seahawks will ride their main guy pretty strongly in such a big spot.

I also expect them to run away with this game, which would amount to a lot of work for Walker, who has averaged 85.2 rushing yards per game in his last five games. 

Hanford: DeMarcus Lawrence 1+ sack (+114)

I could have backed any of Seattle’s glut of pass-rushers here, but Lawrence has a sack in each of the Seahawks’ playoff games so far. Now he gets a shot at a Patriots offensive line that has struggled this season.

If you wanted to lay it on thick, take Lawrence two-plus sacks at +660 or Lawrence to sack Maye and force a fumble on the same play at +1100, as the star edge also has three forced fumbles this postseason.

Knox: Cooper Kupp Over 32.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Everyone knows Seattle’s passing attack flows through Jaxon Smith-Njigba. The Patriots certainly do, and they’ll have a plan for limiting him as much as possible. Whether that involves shadowing him with Christian Gonzalez and/or regular double coverage, it’s going to open up opportunities for Cooper Kupp. 

While the 32-year-old hasn’t been a high-volume receiver in his first season with the Seahawks, he’s been reliable enough to become a focal point if Smith-Njigba isn’t roaming free.

Kupp also topped 35 receiving yards in each playoff game after averaging  37.1 yards per game in the regular season.

Moton: TreVeyon Henderson 2+ catches (+200)

Over the last month, Henderson has faded and struggled to produce in the Patriots offense, amassing 117 scrimmage yards on 29 touches. Averaging four yards per touch since Week 18, he’s a risky play for yardage props. However, the rookie running back could be a factor in the short passing game. 

Seattle fields an aggressive defensive front that has allowed at least five receptions to running backs in three consecutive outings.

Rhamondre Stevenson is the Patriots’ lead tailback, but Maye, who’s taken five sacks in three straight games, could look to dump off more passes to both his running backs to avoid negative plays and hits to his injured shoulder.

Sobleski: Cooper Kupp 4+ catches (+139)

Kupp isn’t the same wide receiver he was five years ago when he won his first Super Bowl. That’s perfectly fine. A combination of experience and opportunity will make him a key performer in this matchup.

First, the Patriots are going to do everything in their power to slow Jaxon Smith-Njigba, as they should. He’s the game’s best wide receiver.  As such, Kupp can be a reliable target for Sam Darnold, which we’ve already seen to some degree throughout the NFC half of the bracket. 

During the regular season, Kupp was targeted at least five times on five different occasions. Darnold has done so in both postseason contests. Also, there’s something to say about having been in this moment and not being overwhelmed.

Kupp has produced in pro football’s biggest game and knows what it takes to succeed. His contributions will be vital if the Seahawks are to have a chance at winning.Â