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Brooks Koepka had an impressive tee-to-green week at the Farmers Insurance Open.
It has been an interesting season for Brooks Koepka as he returns to PGA Tour life. Now, he has an opportunity to prove oddsmakers wrong at the Valspar Championship.
The Florida swing has been good for the West Palm Beach native, as he finished T9 at the Cognizant Classic and T13 at the Players Championship. That should get fans excited about him heading to the Copperhead Course at Innisbrook Resort. And yet, he’s still a long shot at sportsbooks to top the leaderboard at the Valspar Championship on Sunday.
Is it time to prove the bookies wrong and climb back up the leaderboard?
Could Brooks Koepka at Least Finish in the Top 10?
It’s our turn. Welcome to tournament week!
Yes, Brooks Koepka is a +2700 long shot at DraftKings to top the leaderboard at the Valspar Championship. However, he is a much more favorable +265 to finish in the top 10.
He already has one top-10 finish at PGA National this season, and finished just two strokes shy of a top-10 finish at TPC Sawgrass. His game is shaping up ahead of his return to Copperhead, where he finished T12 at 11 under par in 2022.
That’s the same score Viktor Hovland finished with when he won the Valspar Championship last year.
“Don’t look now, but Koepka is rounding into form,” Sportsbook Wire said this week. “In the last month, he ranks fourth among all players in the field in SG: tee-to-green (+1.87), and he’s now gaining strokes on the green (+0.25) after struggling badly with his putting to start the year.”
Not that even finishing in the top 10 is an easy feat. Yahoo! Sports explains that Copperhead Course “is a difficult 7,352-yard Par 71 featuring narrow, treelined fairways with plenty of doglegs, water hazards, and bunkers. The track has traditionally rewarded accurate ball-strikers who take advantage of the four Par 5s, and there are also five Par 3s ranging between 195-235 yards.”
However, BetMGM writer Nick Hennion thinks Koepka has the tools to dominate, despite the sportsbook listing Koepka at +3000 odds to win.
“For Innisbrook, the scoring strategy is to bully the long Par 5s and survive on the rest,” he wrote. “At Sawgrass, [Koepka] finished -7 on the Par 5s, equaling winner Cam Young’s output. Most importantly, he finished -1 on the Par 3s, a seven-shot improvement from the Cognizant Classic.”
The Rest of the Valspar Championship Odds
Suffice it to say, the competition will be plenty steep at the Valspar Championship this year. Even Hovland, the reigning champion, is a +1900 long shot at DK to top the leaderboard a second year in a row.
Xander Schauffele, who finished solo third at the Players Championship, is the +1050 betting favorite to win the Valspar and is listed at +122 odds to finish in the top 10. He finished T12 at Copperhead in 2022, T5 in 2024, and T12 again in 2025.
That’s certainly better than Matt Fitzpatrick, who finished T5 and 12 under par at Innisbrook in 2022 but missed the cut the following year. The Englishman does, however, enter this year’s field after a solo second-place finish at the Players. He is listed at +1450 to win the Valspar Championship and +156 to finish in the top 10.
Chelena Goldman Chelena is a San Francisco-based sports writer and reporter covering multiple sports for heavy.com. The former NHL.com and NBC Sports writer spent 11 years covering the San Jose Sharks, while also covering sporting events locally and internationally. Her other major credits include CBS Sports and Athlon. More about Chelena Goldman
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