Padres star Fernando Tatis had the day off on Wednesday after going 2-for-21 through the first five games of August, and San Diego was also off on Thursday, giving Tatis several days to reset heading into the Friday MLB schedule. The outfielder has 17 home runs this season, and he is +420 to go yard in the Friday MLB odds at FanDuel Sportsbook. Tatis is facing Red Sox pitcher Walker Buehler, who has allowed a whopping 19 home runs in 19 starts. SportsLine’s Inside the Lines team is including Tatis in its MLB HR bets on Friday night. 

They have also identified value on Athletics outfielder Tyler Soderstrom (+500) and Tigers outfielder Kerry Carpenter (+400) to homer in their respective games. MLB home run props are available for almost every player in every game at various sportsbooks, and SportsLine’s proven computer model can help you find value for your MLB betting picks. New users can also use the latest DraftKings promo code to receive $200 off NFL Sunday Ticket and get $200 in bonus bets instantly after your first wager of $5 or more, and take advantage of one of the best sportsbook promos:

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It’s up 50.65 units on its individual MLB HR picks this season after hitting four of its six HR bets on Saturday and Sunday, and has called two three-leg parlays paying at least 80-1 this season. Now, the model and SportsLine’s team of Data Scientists have revealed their betting projections for some of the most-bet MLB HR prop bets on Friday. You can find even more picks in their daily blog, and see their top MLB props for Friday here.

Best MLB home run picks for Friday, August 8:

MLB Best Home Run Bets 8/8

For more real-time, free picks every day: Inside the Lines Blog.

Tyler Soderstrom (+500, BetMGM) 

We hit on a Soderstrom HR two days ago and are going back to him in a favorable spot. Soderstrom has back-to-back games with a HR after hitting another HR in yesterday’s game. Interestingly enough, Soderstrom hit both of those HRs against left-handed pitchers despite only having one HR all season against lefties before the series. Soderstrom is facing a RHP, and he has a .855 OPS and 18 of his 21 HRs against RHPs this season. Sugano has allowed 21 HRs in 21 starts this season, and he has given up 13 of those to left-handed hitters. The weather is hitter friendly, and we set Soderstrom’s line at +350 to homer in a third straight game. This price is available at BetMGM, where you can also use the BetMGM promo code to get up to $1,500 in bonus bets if your first bet loses:

Kerry Carpenter (+400, BetMGM) 

Carpenter is seeing the ball very well since returning from injury. He has 5 HRs over his last 10 games, including 3 in his last 5. Carpenter crushes RHPs, against whom he had an .868 OPS and 18 of his 20 HRs. Kyle Hendricks is the rare pitcher that succeeds despite throwing just 86 mph because he keeps hitters off balance and locates. He is better against lefties than righties as well despite being a RHP. Despite Hendricks’ strong stats against lefties, +400 is too good to pass up for a hot hitter like Carpenter. We set Carpenter’s line at +355 to homer. This price is also available at BetMGM:

Fernando Tatis Jr. (+420, FanDuel) 

We don’t have model value here, but we would consider this a fair price for Tatis, whose in-game power just hasn’t been showing up as of late. Tatis has just 4 HRs since the start of June, but he is facing Walker Buehler who he has 5 HRs in his career against. Tatis is 10-32 with 5 HRs against Buehler, who has a 7.44 ERA on the road this season. Buehler has really been struggling on the mound. Opponents are hitting .328 with a .949 OPS against Buehler when he pitches on the road. The weather is expected to be very hitter friendly, and Tatis’ historical splits against Buehler should give him confidence here. We set Tatis’ line at +425 to homer, and you can maximize your value with the latest FanDuel promo code, which offers $150 in bonus bets if your first wager of $5 or more wins:

Where to bet MLB props on Friday

Here is a look at betting sites that will offer MLB HR props on Friday: 

More MLB picks for Friday 

You’ve seen the model’s MLB HR prop picks for several players on Friday. Now, get MLB projections for every player prop at SportsLine.

Need more from SportsLine? See today’s best MLB picks from SportsLine’s Bruce Marshall, who is on an 84-76-1 roll (+1454) on MLB picks.Â