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Despite a bumpy start, the Texas Rangers are right in the mix in the wide-open AL West, and they’ll look to build on a strong weekend as they take on the Arizona Diamondbacks tonight.
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Texas enters this matchup on the heels of back-to-back shutout victories over the free-scoring Chicago Cubs, and my Diamondbacks vs. Rangers predictions expect Nathan Eovaldi to keep a faltering Arizona offense at bay here.
Read on for my free MLB picks for this May 11 battle.
Who will win Diamondbacks vs Rangers today: Rangers moneyline
-125 at Polymarket
It’s about time the Texas Rangers’ offense woke up, and there were encouraging signs in the Cubs series, including Josh Jung’s six-hit weekend.
Tonight, they hand the ball to ace Nathan Eovaldi, who’s back on track with a 2.45 ERA in his past five starts. Texas has picked up victories in Eovaldi’s last two outings, so I’m riding with the hosts, who’ve also won three of their last four outings at Globe Life Field.
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Meanwhile, the Arizona Diamondbacks have lost four in a row on the road, and they’re 3-7 in their last 10 games. Plus, Arizona is sweating on the health of 1B Carlos Santana, too.
Covers
COVERS INTEL:
Only three teams have gathered fewer hits than the D-Backs (304) this season, and the visitors have scored two runs or fewer in four of their last five games.
Diamondbacks vs Rangers Over/Under pick: Under 7.5
-110 at Polymarket
Both starters are capable of putting the clamps on hitters, and I’m not ready to trust two of the shakier lineups in the majors this year. That makes the Under an appealing play, and it’s been a winning ticket in the D-Backs’ past five games.
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Eovaldi only allowed one run through eight innings last Wednesday against the New York Yankees, while Arizona starter Michael Soroka had a similarly steady outing that same night.
Though the visitors have trended towards the Over this season (20-17), the Under is 23-15 in Texas’ 38 games — and that feels more realistic tonight.
Tom Oldfield’s 2026 Transparency Record
ML/RL bets: 2-5, -3.93 units
Over/Under bets: 6-1, +4.41 units
Diamondbacks vs Rangers odds
Moneyline: Diamondbacks +113 | Rangers -117
Run line: Diamondbacks +1.5 | Rangers -1.5
Over/Under: Over 7.5 | Under 7.5
Diamondbacks vs Rangers trend
The Under is 7-3 in the Rangers’ last 10 contests. Find more MLB betting trends for Diamondbacks vs. Rangers.
How to watch Diamondbacks vs Rangers and game info
Location
Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX
Date
Monday, May 11, 2026
First pitch
8:05 p.m. ET
TV
Diamondbacks.TV, RSN
Diamondbacks starting pitcher
Michael Soroka
(4-2, 4.14 ERA)
Rangers starting pitcher
Nathan Eovaldi
(4-4, 4.15 ERA)
Diamondbacks vs Rangers latest injuriesDiamondbacks vs Rangers weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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