Landon Silinsky provides his top golf bets on DraftKings Sportsbook for the BMW Championship.
The PGA TOUR heads to Maryland this week for the second leg of the FedExCup Playoffs — the BMW Championship. Caves Valley Golf Club will be the host, and measures as a 7,601-yard par 70 with Bentgrass greens.
There will be no cut this week, and the field will consist of the top 49 remaining players in the FedEx Cup standings. Scottie Scheffler is the betting favorite on DraftKings Sportsbook at +230, while Rory McIlroy (+800), Xander Schauffele (+1800) and Tommy Fleetwood (+2000) round out the top of the odds board.
Below I have outlined my two favorite bets for the week.
Aside from his victory at the Genesis Invitational in February, Ludvig Åberg’s 2025 season has been relatively quiet. However, there are signs he’s finding his form at the right time, with top-10 finishes in two of his last three starts—including a solid T9 showing last week in Memphis.
Åberg gained strokes across the board at TPC Southwind, but it was his driver that truly stood out—picking up 3.04 strokes off the tee for the week. It’s that club that sets the Swede apart on the PGA TOUR and has fueled early talk of his superstar potential. That club should serve him well this week at the 7,600-yard Caves Valley, where positioning off the tee is critical.
Åberg was built for setups like this, as evidenced by his runner-up finish at last year’s BMW Championship at Castle Pines. The 25-year-old’s ball-striking has been nothing short of elite lately—ranking third in this week’s field over the past 24 rounds, trailing only Scottie Scheffler and Kurt Kitayama. It’s the short game that’s been holding him back, but if he can find a spark around the greens, he’s more than capable of contending again.
Åberg ranks 98th on the PGA TOUR in Strokes Gained: Putting this season, a drop from 67th in 2024. However, there’s reason for optimism this week—he tends to putt better on Bentgrass, gaining an average of 0.17 more strokes per round on it compared to other surfaces.
With his recent form trending in the right direction and the underlying metrics backing it up, Åberg looks close to recapturing the level that made him one of last season’s breakout stars. At 22/1 in a limited field, I’m more than happy to take my chances on the Swede this week.
It’s a bit surprising to see Matsuyama priced where he is in a field this small, but the reality is he’s had a fairly underwhelming season since his win at The Sentry to open 2025. That said, like Åberg, he appears to be trending in the right direction, with four straight top-19 finishes suggesting he may be turning a corner.
Matsuyama’s resurgence has been fueled by elite iron play, gaining 5.4, 5.9, and 8.6 strokes on approach in three of his past four starts—unsurprisingly ranking him No. 1 in this field in that category over that span. He’s been solid across the board with every club in the bag, except the driver—which could prove to be a key weakness this week on a demanding layout where both distance and positioning off the tee is a big advantage.
Even with his struggles off the tee, we’ve seen Matsuyama thrive on longer tracks before—most notably at Augusta, where he claimed the 2021 Masters. When a player is this dialed in with their irons, they demand serious consideration. At 40/1, he’s simply too dangerous to ignore and well worth backing this week.