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The New York Mets will look to complete a home sweep as they take on the Detroit Tigers at Citi Field on Thursday afternoon.
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Nolan McLean takes the mound for New York, and my Tigers vs. Mets predictions believe he’ll help the Mets dominate Detroit.
Keep reading to see my full analysis and free MLB picks for May 14.
Who will win Tigers vs Mets today: Mets moneyline (-160)
Nolan McLean has been one of the few bright spots for the New York Mets this year, and if anything, his results haven’t quite lived up to his performance.
McLean is averaging 11.3 strikeouts per nine innings, has a WHIP of 0.904, and has an xERA of 2.34, putting him in the 94th percentile of eligible pitchers.
The Mets have been able to shut down the Detroit Tigers so far in this series, allowing just two runs in each of the first two games.
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McLean is a step up in competition from what the Tigers have faced so far in this series, and I see the 24-year-old leading the Mets to victory this afternoon.
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COVERS INTEL:
The Tigers are pulling only 10.5% of sinkers they put in the air off of right-handed pitchers, a pitch McLean throws 36% of the time.
Tigers vs Mets Over/Under pick: Under 7.5 (-115)
McLean hasn’t allowed more than three runs in a game so far this season. Of his eight starts so far this season, only one has resulted in a total of more than eight runs.
That’s on brand for New York, which has hit the Under in eight of its last 10 overall.
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The Mets offense still isn’t clicking with regularity even as the team starts to win more games. Keider Montero doesn’t give up easy runs, allowing just 1.8 walks per nine innings on the season.
Neither team is likely to string together long innings today, making the Under a strong play.
Ed Scimia’s 2026 Transparency Record
ML/RL bets: 8-13, -5.62 units
Over/Under bets: 7-12, -5.53 units
Tigers vs Mets odds
Moneyline: Tigers +140 | Mets -160
Run line: Tigers +1.5 | Mets -1.5
Over/Under: Over 7.5 | Under 7.5
Tigers vs Mets trend
The Mets are 5-1 straight up in their last six games against the Tigers. Find more MLB betting trends for Tigers vs. Mets.
How to watch Tigers vs Mets and game info
Location
Citi Field, Queens, NY
Date
Thursday, May 14, 2026
First pitch
1:10 p.m. ET
TV
DSN, SNY
Tigers starting pitcher
Keider Montero
(2-2, 3.18 ERA)
Mets starting pitcher
Nolan McLean
(1-2, 2.78 ERA)
Tigers vs Mets latest injuriesTigers vs Mets weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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