The Seahawks are -3 point favorites vs the Chiefs

Total (Over/Under): 39.5 points

Watch this game on NFLN | NFL+

The Kansas City Chiefs (0-1-0) visit Lumen Field to take on the Seattle Seahawks (0-0-1) on Aug. 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Seattle, WA.

The Seahawks are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).

The Chiefs vs. Seahawks Over/Under is 39.5 total points for the game.

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Chiefs vs. Seahawks Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)MoneylineChiefs+3 -11039.5 -105+140Seahawks -3 -11039.5 -115-165

Chiefs vs. Seahawks Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Seahawks will win this game with 75.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Chiefs vs Seahawks Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Seahawks will cover the spread with 75.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Chiefs players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Chiefs Player Prop Bets Today

Xavier Worthy has hit the Receptions Over in his last 10 games (+10.80 Units / 87% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Seahawks players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Seahawks Player Prop Best Bets Today

Sam Darnold has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.90 Units / 55% ROI)

Chiefs Best Bets:

The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 20 games (+14.00 Units / 25% ROI)

The Kansas City Chiefs have covered the 2Q Spread in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.55 Units / 36% ROI)

The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.25 Units / 21% ROI)

The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+6.45 Units / 19% ROI)

The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.85 Units / 34% ROI)

Seahawks Best Bets:

The Seattle Seahawks have covered the 4Q Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 47% ROI)

The Seattle Seahawks have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+5.75 Units / 50% ROI)

The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+5.75 Units / 40% ROI)

The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 60% ROI)

The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 2H Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+3.95 Units / 29% ROI)

Chiefs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread last NFL season, the Chiefs were 8-11 (-3.95 Units / -18.16% ROI).

Chiefs are 17-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +14 Units / 25.48% ROI

Chiefs are 9-11 when betting the Over for -3.1 Units / -14.09% ROI

Chiefs are 11-9 when betting the Under for +1.1 Units / ROI

Seahawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread last NFL season, the Seahawks were 6-9 (-4 Units / -21.39% ROI).

Seahawks are 10-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.05 Units / 11.71% ROI

Seahawks are 9-8 when betting the Over for +0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI

Seahawks are 8-9 when betting the Under for -1.9 Units / -10.16% ROI

Kansas City Chiefs: Keys to the Game vs. the Seattle Seahawks

The Chiefs were 9-0 (1.000) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent last season — T-best in NFL. The Seahawks allowed an average time of possession of 31 min and 8 s last season — 5th-highest in NFL.

The Chiefs were 5-1 (.833) when not forcing a turnover last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .292.

The Chiefs were undefeated (10-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .566.

The Chiefs were 3-1 (.750) vs top 10 run offenses last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .335.

Seattle Seahawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs

The Seahawks were 7-1 (.875) on the road last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .476.

The Seahawks were 7-3 (.700) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season — T-7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Seahawks were 6-1 (.857) when not throwing an interception last season — 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .619.

The Seahawks were 8-3 (.727) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes last season — 10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .566.

Additional Matchup Notes for Kansas City Chiefs vs. Seattle Seahawks

The Seahawks ran just 37.2% offensive plays on their opponent’s side of the field in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Chiefs allowed their opponents to runjust 41.0% of plays in their territory in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 5th-best in NFL.

Seahawks QBs were sacked 14 in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — T-3rd-most in NFL. The Chiefs sacked the quarterback 12 times in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — T-5th-most in NFL.

The Seahawks had an average drive start position from the 25.0 yard line last season — worst in NFL. The Chiefs allowed an average drive start position from the 25.6 yard line last season — 3rd-best in NFL.

The Chiefs were successful on 55.5% of plays they ran on play action passes last season — 5th-best in NFL. The Seahawks allowed a success rate of 56.7% on play action passes last season — 2nd-worst in NFL.

The Chiefs were 9-0 (1.000) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent last season — T-best in NFL. The Seahawks allowed an average time of possession of 31 min and 8 s last season — 5th-highest in NFL.

Chiefs RBs rushed for 10 or more yards on just 5.5% of 73 carries in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — T-2nd-worst in NFL. The Seahawks allowed 10+ yards on just 3.8% of carries to RBs in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 2nd-best in NFL.

Kansas City Chiefs Offense: Important Stats

The Chiefs ran successful plays on 57% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Chiefs had a third down conversion rate of 48% last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

The Chiefs have averaged -0.69 epa per play against tight coverage since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.47.

The Chiefs averaged -0.64 epa per play against tight coverage last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.43.

Seattle Seahawks Offense: Important Stats

The Seahawks averaged -0.24 epa per play on contested throws last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.06.

The Seahawks ran 36% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 1st half last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Seahawks ran successful plays on 31% of plays against a stacked front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Seahawks started 7 drives inside opposing territory last season — 2nd-fewest in NFL.

Kansas City Chiefs Defense: Important Stats

The Chiefs defense allowed successful plays on 33% of pass attempts from their own territory in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Chiefs defense allowed just 4.5 yards per play in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.7.

The Chiefs defense has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 6 of 155 attempts (4%) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 10%.

The Chiefs defense allowed 93.7 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 126.8.

Seattle Seahawks Defense: Important Stats

The Seahawks defense allowed 20+ yard rushes 8 times in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — most in NFL.

The Seahawks defense forced three and outs on 27% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

The Seahawks defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 11% on third and 10+ yards to go last season — 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: 18%.

The Seahawks defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 20% on 3rd and long last season — T-4th-best in NFL; League Avg: 25%.

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