What appeared last month to be an electoral duel shaping up between the Parti Québécois and the Quebec Liberals now seems to bear the hallmarks of a three-way race that includes the Coalition Avenir Quebec, a new poll suggests.
The online survey, conducted last weekend of 1,000 Quebec adults by Synopsis for LaPresse, finds that while they were tied last month at 30 per cent on popularity, the PQ has pulled away from the provincial Liberals, polling 31 per cent compared with 25 points for Charles Milliard’s official opposition party, while Christine Fréchette’s CAQ is closing in on second place with 21 per cent support, an increase of three points.
In what could be a warning shot for Liberal organizers, support for their party from non-francophones — usually a reliable source of votes — dropped over the space of a month from 70 per cent to 57 per cent.
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Support for Quebec Liberals among francophone voters is at 16 per cent, compared with 37 per cent for the PQ and 24 per cent for the CAQ.
But while Milliard’s Liberals are facing challenges putting themselves on the map with voters, Paul St-Pierre Plamondon’s PQ must contend with a repeated pledge that a PQ government would hold a referendum in its first term, a commitment the survey suggests enjoys just 30 per cent support.