Zach Thompson details his best bets for Round 1 of the RBC Canadian Open at the North Course of TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley.

Before the U.S. Open next week, the PGA TOUR is headed to Canada this week, taking on TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley’s North Course. The full field event gives players a chance to earn spots in The Open Championship, the fourth major of the season, and also earn critical FedExCup points headed into the summer with the playoffs looming. The field offers many great options across a variety of markets available on DraftKings Sportsbook. Let’s pinpoint a few of my best bets for Round 1 of the RBC Canadian Open this year.

The field was able to go low last year at TPC Toronto, but the weather is windier this year, which could make it play closer to par. The par-70 layout has just two Par 5s at No. 1 and No. 18, with four par 3s and 12 par 4s in between. The field will include 147 players who will play in groups of three, starting at No. 1 and No. 10. The first groups tee off at 7:00 a.m. ET, with the final trio getting underway at 2:27 p.m. ET. As always, be ready to read and react to how scores are trending if you are live-betting the event.

In this post, we’ll focus on my three best bets for Round 1 of the RBC Canadian Open on Thursday, June 11. Last week, I hit two of my three best bets with only Jordan Spieth letting me down before missing the cut. Let’s tee it up and get some more green this week!

Keith Mitchell Over 4.5 Birdies or Better – Round 1 (-115)

Mitchell has a reputation for starting fast and going low early in tournaments, and he’ll have the chance to do that on Thursday since he tees off at 7:00 a.m. ET, playing with Kevin Roy and Dylan Wu.

Two weeks ago, Mitchell missed the cut at the Charles Schwab Challenge, but he was on a nice roll before that with 16 made cuts in 17 PGA TOUR events. He posted six top-20 finishes during that run and three top-10 finishes. His best finish during that stretch was a solo-fifth at THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson just a few weeks ago.

He had eight birdies or better in Round 1 at TPC Craig Ranch in that tournament. He also went over this prop in Round 2 and Round 4 as well, with just one birdie too few in Round 3. Mitchell didn’t have that much success at Colonial the next week, with three birdies in Round 1 and four birdies in Round 2.

Last year at this event, he finished T27 with six birdies in Round 1, six birdies in Round 2, four birdies in Round 3, and four birdies in Round 4. It’s easy to see why this is a great prop with about even money above and below 4.5 birdies. However, I’ll back Mitchell in Round 1 based on how he usually starts events that are expected to be low-scoring.

A.J. Ewart (+130) over Luke Clanton and Joey Savoie – 3 Ball – Round 1

Ewart and Savoie are both Canadians playing in their national open as they join Luke Clanton in the 8:50 a.m. ET tee time. Ewart has been impressive in his rookie year on the PGA TOUR.

He played his way up the ranks through the PGA Tour Americas, where Savoie is currently ranked No. 3 after winning earlier this year. Ewart won the Elk Ridge Saskatchewan Open in 2024 and had seven top-25 finishes in 16 events on that circuit in 2025. He earned his PGA TOUR card by winning the PGA TOUR Q-School presented by Korn Ferry and has made the cut in 10 of 14 tournaments with five top-25 finishes. He is coming off a great two-week stay in Dallas, posting a T19 at THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson and a T17 at the Charles Schwab Challenge.

Savoie is an intriguing name to watch going forward, but he hasn’t played many PGA TOUR events and is a huge unknown. He’s a few years behind Ewart’s progress.

Like Ewart, Clanton has been playing on the PGA TOUR all season. He only has one top-25, though, a T5 at the Puerto Rico Open. He has made the cut in six straight weeks, but he hasn’t been able to post any high finishes, especially struggling with Strokes Gained: Around-the-Green.

Clanton and Ewart both missed the cut last year at this event, but Ewart’s recent momentum has him trending up coming back to this event this year.

Alex Fitzpatrick (+110) over Alex Noren – Matchup (3 Way) – Round 1

It’s Alex vs. Alex in the afternoon matchup that I like the most this week, and I’m taking Fitzpatrick over Noren at plus-money in this 3 way matchup, which means a push is a loss. I like Fitzpatrick’s chances of finishing ahead of Noren, though, since Noren’s typically best at courses that score closer to par and Fitzpatrick’s driver and iron play give him the ability to go low.

Fitzpatrick has been a regular on PGA TOUR leaderboards since earning his full-time membership by winning alongside his brother at the Zurich Classic of New Orleans. Even before that, though, he was in good form on the DP World Tour with nine top-25 finishes in his last 13 events before getting his first career DP World Tour win at the Hero Indian Open at the end of March. He won with his brother at the Zurich in his next tournament and has three top-10 finishes in his three signature events since then. He made the cut and T75 at the PGA Championship in his only other appearance.

Last week, Fitzpatrick finished the week with the low score of the final round with eight birdies and one bogey at the Memorial, and he only missed one fairway in the entire final round. He also gained strokes across all major categories and looked ready to keep rolling this week in Toronto.

Over the last three months, Fitzpatrick ranks second in the field in Strokes Gained: Approach, Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green, and Total Strokes Gained. He has a high ceiling and is still looking for his first individual win, but with how well he’s playing, he has the potential to claim a win this season.

Noren is also an import from the DP World Tour, but he’s not really a player on the rise since he’s 43 while Fitzpatrick is only 27. The veteran is much more established but is also still looking for his first PGA TOUR win. Noren has 12 wins on the DP World Tour, including the BMW PGA Championship in 2025, and he has a pair of top-10 finishes in his last four events. He ended up ninth just behind Fitzpatrick at the Memorial, after he finished one stroke ahead of Fitzpatrick at the Cadillac Championship.

Noren missed the cut at this course last year and typically does better on grinder-friendly courses instead of birdie blitzes like what is likely in store this week at TPC Toronto.