Zak Hanshew
• Betting Analyst
8+ years betting experience
Updated:
Aug 7, 2026 , 10:30 PM ET
• 4 min read
Napheesa Collier and the Lynx cover against the Aces as -4.5 favorites!
Photo By – Reuters Connect. Napheesa Collier of the Minnesota Lynx WNBA
The Los Angeles Sparks snapped the Minnesota Lynx’s 10-game win streak on Thursday, and Minnesota, as -200 favorites, will be fired up to get back in the win column when it hosts the Las Vegas Aces on Saturday.
My Aces vs. Lynx predictions expect Minnesota to clean up its mistakes from Thursday’s loss and cover a modest spread as the home favorite.
Read my WNBA picks to see why I expect A’ja Wilson to take a step back and how I’m crafting a +525 SGP that includes a look at the point total and a Napheesa Collier rebound line.
Aces vs Lynx prediction
Aces vs Lynx best bet: Lynx -4.5 (-115)
The Minnesota Lynx were up 82-81 with just under five minutes to go, but they watched the Los Angeles Sparks score eight straight to pull off the upset win.
Lynx players and coaches called out the poor showing, specifically calling out a lack of defensive intensity. After a jarring loss to one of the league’s worst teams, I expect improved defense.
The Lynx rank second in offensive and defensive rating and are the only team with a net rating above 10. I expect a fierce response to Thursday’s loss and a 5+ point win at home.
COVERS INTEL: The Minnesota Lynx lead the W in point differential per game at home at 8.4. In two home games following a loss this season, Minnesota has wins of eight and 24 points.
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Aces vs Lynx same-game parlay
With a return to form on the defensive end, the Lynx can limit the Las Vegas Aces and force a low-scoring matchup. Each team has hit the Under in two of their last three overall, and the Under has hit in two of the last three H2H matchups at Minnesota. Play down to 180.5.
Over the last 10 games, the Aces have surrendered the third-most rebounds at 33.9. Napheesa Collier has reached 8+ rebounds in six of nine career home tilts with A’ja Wilson while averaging 9.4 boards. Play to 9.5.
Aces vs Lynx SGP
Lynx -4.5
Under 183.5
Napheesa Collier Over 7.5 rebounds
Want more basketball parlays? Check out our WNBA parlay picks page!
Zak Hanshew’s 2026 Transparency Record
Best bet: 23-24, -2.75 units
SGP: 7-40, -4.00 units
Player prop: 10-11, -2.52 units
Aces vs Lynx odds
Spread: Aces +4.5 | Lynx -4.5
Moneyline: Aces +165 | Lynx -200
Over/Under: Over 183.5 | Under 183.5
Aces vs Lynx trend
Minnesota has covered the spread in three straight home games against Las Vegas. Find more WNBA betting trends.
How to watch Aces vs Lynx
Location
Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
Date
Saturday, August 8, 2026
Tip-off
1:00 p.m. ET
TV
CBS
Aces vs Lynx latest injuries
Aces: No injuries have been reported.
Lynx: Chloe Bibby (Out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Zak Hanshew has been covering fantasy sports and sports betting since 2018. In addition to Covers, he has also written for Rotoworld and has spent time at FantasyPros, RotoWire, OwnersBox and Sportsbook Review. In his spare time, he can be found spending time with his wife and four kids, playing his guitar, watching Simpsons re-runs, or getting some shots up on the court.
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