KPMG Playoff Probability: Who is the front-runner to win the 113th Grey Cup?

TORONTO — The Final Stretch to the 2026 Grey Cup Playoffs continues with just six weeks left in the regular season.

KPMG Playoff Probability is here to tell us which team is the favourite to win the 113th Grey Cup and much more.

As always, we’ll give readers a reminder that Playoff Probability is a snapshot of this particular moment in the season, working with the data provided by teams’ records through the first 15 weeks of play.

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Below is where every team stands ahead of Week 16.

ODDS TO MAKE PLAYOFFS

Team

Projection

Montreal

C

Edmonton

C

Toronto

99.99%

BC

99.56%

Saskatchewan

98.62%

Winnipeg

95.40%

Calgary

5.59%

Hamilton

0.84%

Ottawa

E

ODDS TO HOST A PLAYOFF GAME

Team

Projection

Montreal

C

Edmonton

99.71%

Toronto

99.16%

BC

62.82%

Saskatchewan

29.12%

Winnipeg

8.28%

Hamilton

0.84%

Calgary

0.07%

Ottawa

E

ODDS TO HOST THE EASTERN FINAL

Team

Projection

Montreal

99.71%

Toronto

0.29%

Hamilton

E

Ottawa

E

ODDS TO HOST THE WESTERN FINAL

Team

Projection

Edmonton

96.72%

Saskatchewan

1.80%

BC

1.40%

Winnipeg

0.08%

Calgary

E

ODDS TO APPEAR IN THE 113TH GREY CUP

Team

Projection

Edmonton

78.24%

Montreal

74.29%

BC

19.39%

Toronto

13.13%

Winnipeg

10.25%

Saskatchewan

4.52%

Calgary

0.14%

Hamilton

0.04%

Ottawa

E

ODDS TO WIN THE 113TH GREY CUP

Team

Projection

Edmonton

55.63%

Montreal

23.74%

BC

12.28%

Winnipeg

3.72%

Toronto

2.99%

Saskatchewan

1.61%

Calgary

0.02%

Hamilton

0.01%

Ottawa

E

MOST LIKELY 113TH GREY CUP MATCHUPS

Matchup

Projection

Edmonton-Montreal

58.07%

BC-Montreal

12.68%

Edmonton-Toronto

10.23%

Edmonton-Winnipeg

6.40%

BC-Toronto

2.26%

ODDS OF A CROSSOVER: 99.17%