KPMG Playoff Probability: Which teams are most likely to meet in the 113th Grey Cup?

TORONTO — The 2026 Grey Cup Playoffs kick off Saturday with the Eastern and Western Semi-Finals.

KPMG Playoff Probability is here to tell us which team is the favourite to win the 113th Grey Cup and much more.

As always, we’ll give readers a reminder that Playoff Probability is a snapshot of this particular moment in the season, working with the data provided by teams’ records through the first 21 weeks of play.

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Below is where every team stands ahead of the Division Semi-Finals.

ODDS TO APPEAR IN THE 113TH GREY CUP

Team

Projection

Montreal

79.42%

Edmonton

75.81%

Winnipeg

17.06%

Saskatchewan

16.68%

BC

7.51%

Toronto

3.51%

ODDS TO WIN THE 113TH GREY CUP

Team

Projection

Montreal

52.65%

Edmonton

30.79%

Winnipeg

8.93%

Saskatchewan

5.29%

BC

1.39%

Toronto

0.95%

MOST LIKELY 113TH GREY CUP MATCHUPS

Teams

Projection

Edmonton/Montreal

60.20%

Saskatchewan/Montreal

13.27%

Edmonton/Winnipeg

12.93%

BC/Montreal

5.95%

Saskatchewan/Winnipeg

2.85%

Edmonton/Toronto

2.68%

BC/Winnipeg

1.28%

Saskatchewan/Toronto

0.56%

BC/Toronto

0.27%