TORONTO — There’s a new Grey Cup favourite.
The Winnipeg Blue Bombers have emerged as the team most likely to win this year’s championship after their convincing 37-point win over the Hamilton Tiger-Cats.
KPMG Playoff Probability, formerly know as the CFL Simulation, is here to tell us which team is the favourite to win the 112th Grey Cup and much more.
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As always, we’ll give readers a reminder that Playoff Probability is a snapshot of this particular moment in the season, working with the data provided by teams’ records through the first 17 weeks of play.
Below is where every team stands ahead of Week 18.
Odds to Make Playoffs
TEAM
PROJECTION
Saskatchewan
C
Hamilton
C
Montreal
98.86%
Winnipeg
98.83%
BC
98.52%
Calgary
75.15%
Toronto
17.22%
Edmonton
7.18%
Ottawa
4.24%
Odds to Host a Playoff Game
TEAM
PROJECTION
Hamilton
C
Montreal
97.70%
Saskatchewan
89.57%
Winnipeg
52.93%
BC
50.76%
Calgary
6.57%
Ottawa
1.46%
Toronto
0.84%
Edmonton
0.17%
Odds to Win the East
TEAM
PROJECTION
Hamilton
96.51%
Montreal
3.49%
Toronto
E
Ottawa
E
Odds to Win the West
TEAM
PROJECTION
Saskatchewan
80.29%
Winnipeg
13.56%
BC
4.42%
Calgary
1.73%
Edmonton
E
Odds to Appear in the 112th Grey Cup
TEAM
PROJECTION
Hamilton
54.02%
Saskatchewan
36.87%
Winnipeg
36.79%
Montreal
36.39%
BC
30.41%
Calgary
2.33%
Toronto
2.12%
Ottawa
0.55%
Edmonton
0.52%
Odds to Win the 112th Grey Cup
TEAM
PROJECTION
Winnipeg
29.49%
BC
22.71%
Saskatchewan
21.91%
Hamilton
12.48%
Montreal
11.91%
Toronto
0.66%
Calgary
0.53%
Edmonton
0.16%
Ottawa
0.15%
Most Likely 112th Grey Cup Matchups
TEAM
PROJECTION
Saskatchewan/Hamilton
19.58%
Winnipeg/Hamilton
19.02%
BC/Hamilton
15.02%
Saskatchewan/Montreal
13.37%
Winnipeg/Montreal
12.32%
Probability of a West Division Crossover
79.68%