Ryan Wohl gives his picks for this week’s UFC Fight Night headlined by Gabriel Bonfim vs. Randy Brown.
The UFC is back at the Apex for another Fight Night event. This week’s event is headlined by Gabriel Bonfim vs. Randy Brown in a five-round Welterweight contest. Both fighters are 3-1 in their previous four fights, but Bonfim is riding a three-fight winning streak.
The Prelims begin at 4:00 p.m. ET, with the Main Card starting at 7:00 p.m. ET on ESPN+. Check out my favorite fighters to add to your daily fantasy lineup for UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown.
Set your DraftKings fantasy MMA lineups here: UFC $300K Throwdown [$100K to 1st]
Gabriel Bonfim ($8,600)
Bonfim has won three consecutive fights and is 5-1 in the UFC. Most recently, Bonfim beat Stephen “Wonderboy” Thompson in July. His opponent, Brown, beat Nicolas Dalby via second-round KO/TKO in his last fight in April.
Bonfim has recorded 83-plus points in two straight bouts and in four of his previous six. On the feet, this is a close fight with Brown having the edge in striking accuracy (47% vs. 45%) while Bonfim lands more significant strikes per minute (4.54 vs. 4.47).
In this matchup, Bonfim has a 63 percent defense rate, which will be needed against Brown, who primarily excels on the feet. If Bonfim does a good job of using all areas of his game, he should be able to get the best of Brown. Bonfim has shown he has the potential to score 100-plus fantasy points in the past and has another opportunity to do so against Brown.
Hyder Amil ($8,200)
Hyder Amil began his UFC career 3-0 but suffered a loss by KO/TKO against Jose Miguel Delgado in his previous contest. Now Amil faces veteran Jamall Emmers in a three-round Featherweight bout in the featured Prelim of the card.
Since his last fight didn’t last long, Amil only totaled 1.2 fantasy points. But before that, he recorded 131.8, 106.8, and 95.7 points in his first three fights in the promotion. Amil is the better striker in this matchup, landing 1.39 more significant strikes per minute while being the more accurate fighter.
In this fight, Emmers is better on the ground as he averages 1.74 takedowns per 15 minutes. Even though Emmers is best on the feet, he still could try to mix in some takedowns throughout the fight. But with Amil’s 81 percent takedown defense, he should be able to combat Emmers’ attacks.
Christian Leroy Duncan ($7,500)
Christian Leroy Duncan has won two fights in a row and four of his last five in the UFC. CLD is coming off a first-round knockout over Eryk Anders in August and is trying to increase his win streak to three for the first time since 2023. His opponent, Marco Tulio, has a 14-1 record with 11 finishes and hasn’t suffered a defeat since 2018.
CLD has the physical advantages in this contest as he stands two inches taller (6’2″ vs. 6’0″) with a five-inch edge in standing reach (79″ vs. 74″). Leroy Duncan is coming off a 111.4-point performance against Anders and has recorded 107-plus points in three of his last five matchups.
With CLD possessing a significant reach advantage, he should be able to dictate the pace of this contest. When CLD is aggressive, as he showed in his previous bout, a dominant victory is possible against any opponent. Since Tulio is a knockout artist, CLD will need to match his output early in this fight. With the upside Leroy Duncan has, adding him to your lineup for only $7,500 is a good play.
Set your DraftKings fantasy MMA lineups here: UFC $300K Throwdown [$100K to 1st]