The trigger for interest in Garmin (GRMN) is its new quatix 8 Pro nautical smartwatch, which brings inReach satellite and cellular connectivity, offshore messaging, voice calling and SOS, as well as an upgraded boat mode for mariners.
See our latest analysis for Garmin.
Garmin shares currently trade at US$211.52, with a 30 day share price return of 2.07% and a 1 year total shareholder return of 0.70%. The 3 year total shareholder return of around 13x and 5 year total shareholder return of 90.13% point to stronger longer term momentum. Recent product announcements across marine wearables, automotive AI platforms and connected audio systems, together with the upcoming fourth quarter 2025 earnings release, help explain why sentiment around future growth potential and risk is still actively shifting.
If this kind of connected hardware story interests you, it could be worth widening your search and checking out high growth tech and AI stocks as a starting point for other ideas.
With Garmin trading at US$211.52 and sitting at about an 18% intrinsic discount and an 11% discount to analyst targets, you have to ask: is this a genuine opening, or is the market already baking in future growth?
With a fair value estimate of about US$231 per share versus the last close at US$211.52, the most widely followed narrative sees room between price and fundamentals, built on steady growth, solid margins and a specific view of what multiple the market might pay for Garmin in a few years.
The analysts have a consensus price target of $213.833 for Garmin based on their expectations of its future earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors. However, there is a degree of disagreement amongst analysts, with the most bullish reporting a price target of $285.0, and the most bearish reporting a price target of just $167.0.
Curious what earnings path and profit profile sit behind that fair value and target range? The narrative leans on measured revenue growth, resilient margins and a future earnings multiple that assumes Garmin holds a premium to its sector. Want to see exactly how those moving pieces add up to that valuation gap?
Result: Fair Value of $231 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what’s behind the forecasts.
However, there are pressure points to watch, including rising operating expenses and ongoing softness in Marine and Outdoor, which could challenge those margin and growth assumptions.
Find out about the key risks to this Garmin narrative.
Those fair value models suggest Garmin is undervalued, but the P/E story is less generous. At 25.9x earnings versus a US Consumer Durables average of 11.7x, peers at 24.5x, and a fair ratio of 20.1x, the stock looks richly priced. Is this a quality premium or valuation risk building up?
See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.
NYSE:GRMN P/E Ratio as at Jan 2026
If you see the story differently, or want to test the assumptions against your own view of the numbers, you can build a custom thesis in minutes: Do it your way.
A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding Garmin.
If Garmin has caught your eye, do not stop here. The real edge comes from lining it up against other opportunities and seeing what stands out for you.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Companies discussed in this article include GRMN.
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