The cobbled Classics season officially got underway at Omloop Het Nieuwsblad and Kuurne-Brussel-Kuurne this weekend, and given its traditional role as an indicator of the shape of things to come, there’s always plenty of room for interpretation and speculation.

Even before the riders stepped out into the arena at Ghent velodrome on Saturday morning for one of the most spectacular settings possible for a race presentation, Wout van Aert’s last-minute absence from Omloop was already making the headlines in Belgium. And so, too, was the not-quite-so-surprising addition of Mathieu van der Poel to the men’s line-up.

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Remco Evenepoel (Red Bull-Bora-Hansgrohe) and Jonas Vingegaard (Visma-Lease a Bike) know only too well after Remco’s Middle Eastern mountain glitches and Vingegaard’s delayed season start.

However, Van der Poel has hit the highest of high notes from the word go, and not just because of his ultra-deft zip around a fallen Rick Pluimers (Tudor) on the Molenberg, even if that was really when the fireworks started.

Rather, it was his willingness and confidence about changing his own plan to the race circumstances, and that wasn’t to make it easier for himself, either. In fact, it was to open up a gap much earlier than expected, with 42 kilometres to go on the Molenberg with Tim van Dijke (Red Bull-Boras-Hansgrohe) and Florian Vermeersch (UAE Team Emirates-XRG) rather than wait for the Muur de Geraardbergen.

Whether he felt better than expected or simply noted his rivals were not as on-song as they might have been, once he was ahead with Vermeersch, Van der Poel had no problem switching lanes to go from distance for the win.

Equally importantly, having clinched one of the few top Classics still missing from his palmares, he did not take too many risks and go too deep by going for a second victory in Kuurne-Brussels.

It’s true that Milan-San Remo, the Tour of Flanders and Paris-Roubaix, the three Classics where Van der Poel will have his big 2026 showdown, are still far away. But when it comes to Van der Poel’s challenges against Pogačar, such a standout performance so soon is bound to have been noticed in the UAE camp.

Van der Poel has already shown he is back where he needs to be to challenge Pogačar in April. And with margin to progress between now and the end of March, regardless of how well Pogačar does at Strade Bianche this weekend, it’s clear after Omloop that the Slovenian will once again have a real fight on his hands against the Dutchman in San Remo and once again much further north. Not that anybody is complaining about that.

Stefan Küng (Tudor) and Ben Swift (Ineos Grenadiers), Flanders and San Remo podium finishers respectively, both of whom are out for the count – thanks to a broken femur in the Swiss rider’s case and a busted pelvis for the Briton. Wellens, too, is likely to be missing from much of the spring with a broken collarbone and will be sorely missed by Tadej Pogačar as a key lieutenant. Not for nothing did riders as tough as Arnaud De Lie (Lotto-Intermarché) complain of the ‘most dangerous Omloop I’ve ever ridden.’

The question of why there were so many crashes is possibly as simple as the poor weather, as Pinarello-Q36.5’s CEO Doug Ryder – whose riders also knew their fair share of crashes and misfortunes, including Tom Pidcock – told Cyclingnews. But it was horrendous all the same.

“There’s a lot of pressure on riders to perform and teams to perform, but there was a lot of inclement weather yesterday [Saturday],” Ryder said. “They were super-cold, so they make mistakes, so they’re not in 100% control of their bikes, and the speed is high. And teams want to have a good start as well. But I don’t think it’s anything untoward from anything else, other than slippy roads, and sometimes you can get the tyre pressures wrong.

“There’s nothing that we as a team are doing differently; we were just lucky that we were on the right side of those incidents. I’m just so sorry for a team like Tudor, they had six riders on the floor.

“There was no reckless riding; it’s just the complexity of racing in challenging racing conditions. And it’s not nice to see so many guys on the ground, not this time of year.”

Other experienced former racers and directors like Jayco-AlUla’s Tristan Hoffman, a top-five finisher in Roubaix and the Tour of Flanders in his time, and a winner of Dwars door Vlaanderen and Veenendaal-Veenendaal, argued that a lot of it was down to nerves, freshness and the weather, as well.

“It’s the first race in Belgium, everybody’s quite sharp and tense, and then the roads are wet,” he told Cyclingnews. “I think it’s a combination of the weather conditions, the turns in the roads and the pressure – but I’ve never seen so many crashes in a race before.”

It remains to be seen if the trend continues, of course, but if Omloop is traditionally taken as a pointer for the rest of the Classics season, this is one bad omen nobody wishes to see repeated in the near future.

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