Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday’s Svitolina-Baptiste women’s singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Svitolina a 68% chance of defeating Baptiste at the WTA Italian Open tournament.

Additionally, Svitolina has a 65% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Baptiste (+4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 20.5 games has a 55% chance of hitting, according to our model.

 

Elina Svitolina vs. Hailey Baptiste odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type
Svitolina
Baptiste

Moneyline
-250
+215

First Set
-227
+175

Game Spread
-4.5 (+100)
+4.5 (-132)

Total Games
o20.5 (-105)
u20.5 (-140)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Svitolina vs. Baptiste picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type
Pick
Bet Now

Moneyline
Baptiste
+215

First Set
Baptiste
-105

According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is Hailey Baptiste to win the first set.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Svitolina vs. Baptiste updates and essential details

The WTA Italian Open match between Elina Svitolina and Hailey Baptiste is scheduled to start on Sunday at 4:00 AM ET.

Who: Elina Svitolina vs. Hailey Baptiste
Date: Sunday, May 10, 2026
Approx. Time: 4:00 AM ET/1:00AM PT
Tournament: WTA Rome, Italy Women’s Singles 2026
Round: Round of 32

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Elina Svitolina, with a 68% win probability, will likely beat Hailey Baptiste at the WTA Italian Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.