Eric Rosales
• Betting Analyst
27+ years betting experience
Updated:
May 15, 2026 , 02:12 PM ET
• 4 min read
The Sky haven’t been able to get past the Mercury, and Alyssa Thomas & Co. will be adamant on keeping it that way.
Photo By – Reuters Connect. Phoenix Mercury forward Alyssa Thomas (25) during the third quarter.
The Chicago Sky are seeking a 3-0 start to the WNBA season.
To do it, they’ll have to hit the road and head into the desert to take on the Phoenix Mercury.
Phoenix has dominated this head-to-head, and my Sky vs. Mercury predictions and WNBA picks has that trend continuing Friday night from the Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix on May 15.
Sky vs Mercury prediction
Sky vs Mercury best bet: Mercury -4.5 (-110)
After tying for the worst record in the league a season ago, the Chicago Sky sit on top and has the second-best scoring defense in the league in the early going.
But how legit is their start?
They’ve beaten last year’s expansion team from Golden State, and opened the year with a win over Portland, who are in their debut season.
The Phoenix Mercury have won seven straight against Chicago, and they’re the top shooting 3-point team in the league, firing at a 41.3% clip.
Phoenix has averaged 90.3 points across those seven wins, and they burst the early-season good vibes in the Chi Friday.
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Sky vs Mercury same-game parlay
Alyssa Thomas has cracked double-digit assists once in three games, but missing the Over two other times by three total assists. Last season, she had separate 15-assists and 10-assist games against Chicago.
And Kamilla Cardoso hasn’t been able to dominate the glass against the Mercury. In seven career games against Phoenix, she’s gone Under 10.5 boards each time, hitting 10 rebounds just once.
Sky vs Mercury SGP
Mercury -4.5
Alyssa Thomas Over 9.5 assists
Kamilla Cardoso Under 10.5 rebounds
Sky vs Mercury first basket scorer: Kamilla Cardoso (+450)
The Sky big opened the scoring in Chicago’s season opener against Portland and dropped the first bucket in two meetings against the Mercury a season ago.
Sky vs Mercury odds
Spread: Chicago +4.5 (-110) | Phoenix -4.5 (-110)
Moneyline: Chicago +170 | Phoenix -205
Over/Under: Over 166.5 (-110) | Under 166.5 (-110)
Sky vs Mercury trend
The Chicago Sky have lost 11 straight after winning as underdogs. Find more WNBA betting trends.
How to watch Sky vs Mercury
Location
Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, AZ
Date
Friday, May 15, 2026
Tip-off
10:00 p.m. ET
TV
ION
Sky vs Mercury latest injuries
Sky: DiJonai Carrington (foot) ruled out.
Mercury: Sami Whitcomb (knee) and Monique Akoa Makani ruled out.
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Eric has been involved in sports media in many different capacities since graduating from journalism school in 1999, back when getting your own column in a newspaper was still considered a thing. He doubled down and graduated from broadcast journalism school five years later, which led to a move to Toronto and a career with The Sports Network (TSN). From behind-the-scenes production work, he moved into the digital realm, where he had his own hoops column (At the Buzzer), while regularly live streaming and chatting with fans during broadcasts as the character known as LeBlog James. He was also a key contributor to TSN and CTV’s Olympic programming during the 2012 London Games.
Eric eventually found his way into the sports betting field in 2016 and has been a mainstay ever since. He was tagged on Twitter as a Top 10 NBA sharp during the 2021 season and has been interviewed about basketball and his handicapping process on shows from Vancouver to India. Eric is now a jack-of-all-sports at Covers, where his predictions span the alphabet soup: NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, F1, WNBA, Euro, and Copa.
When making picks, he focuses on finding value first and foremost, and ensuring readers have all the information they need to make an informed choice.
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