Eric Rosales
• Betting Analyst
27+ years betting experience
Updated:
May 23, 2026 , 10:37 AM ET
• 4 min read
Aside from a minor blip in their season opener, the reigning champions have been utterly dominant. Expect the Aces to stay hot and cross the Sparks off their list tonight.
Photo By – Reuters Connect. A’ja Wilson #22 and the Las Vegas Aces take on the Atlanta Dream at State Farm Arena.
After an opening game blowout blip, the reigning WNBA champs are rolling, as the Las Vegas Aces seek a fifth straight win when they host the Los Angeles Sparks.
L.A. kicked off a four-game road trip with a win in Phoenix and will try to move to .500 with another victory.
My Sparks vs. Aces predictions and WNBA picks are siding with the champs on Saturday, May 23, since they have been known to dominate this head-to-head series.
Sparks vs Aces prediction
Sparks vs Aces best bet: Aces -8.5 (-110)
They’re a pair of Top 4 scoring teams, but the similarities end there.
The Los Angeles Sparks allow a league-worst 96.2 points per game, with a gruesome 20.2% turnover rate per possession.
The Las Vegas Aces defense is up by holding teams to 40.4% shooting (1st) from the field and are fifth in points allowed.
That’s bared out in the recent head-to-head, where Vegas has won five of six, going 4-1-0 against the spread, with each victory coming by at least 15 points.
Vegas’ stout defense and efficient offense will punish the Sparks on both ends, and I’d be confident to take that line up to 11.5.
COVERS INTEL: The Aces live inside the paint, leading the league in paint points with 49.6 per game. The Sparks do not protect under the hoop that well, ranking Bottom-5 in paint points allowed this season.
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Sparks vs Aces same-game parlay
With the exception of a 45-bomb against Connecticut, A’ja Wilson has scored 22 points or less in her four other games, as the Aces have spread the scoring wealth around.
Los Angeles might be a chance for her to break out (again): Wilson has gone for 30+ against the Sparks in two of her last three games.
And Kelsey Plum is showing she’s more than a scorer, picking up at least seven assists in three straight games, and she’s got a gettable 5.5 line Saturday.
Sparks vs Aces SGP
Aces -8.5
A’ja Wilson Over 23.5 points
Kelsey Plum Over 5.5 assists
Sparks vs Aces first basket scorer: Stephanie Talbot (+1600)
The Aces have scored the first basket in each game during this four-game fun run, and Stephanie Talbot has done it twice, with Wilson and Chelsea Gray grabbing opening buckets the other two. There are some nice odds here hoping for Talbot to do it a third time in six games.
Eric Rosales’ 2026 Transparency Record
Best bet: 3-2, +0.73 units
SGP: 0-5, -5.0 units
First basket: 0-5, -5.0 units
Sparks vs Aces odds
Spread: Los Angeles +8.5 (-110) | Las Vegas -8.5 (-110)
Moneyline: Los Angeles +300 | Las Vegas -380
Over/Under: Over 182.5 (-110) | Under 182.5 (-110)
Sparks vs Aces trend
Vegas has 12 straight against teams with a losing record. Find more WNBA betting trends.
How to watch Sparks vs Aces
Location
Michelob Ultra Arena, Las Vegas, NV
Date
Saturday, May 23, 2026
Tip-off
8:00 p.m. ET
TV
CBS
Sparks vs Aces latest injuries
Sparks: Nneka Ogwumike (hand) day-to-day & Sania Feagin (leg) ruled out.
Aces: Dana Evans (leg) ruled out.
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Eric has been involved in sports media in many different capacities since graduating from journalism school in 1999, back when getting your own column in a newspaper was still considered a thing. He doubled down and graduated from broadcast journalism school five years later, which led to a move to Toronto and a career with The Sports Network (TSN). From behind-the-scenes production work, he moved into the digital realm, where he had his own hoops column (At the Buzzer), while regularly live streaming and chatting with fans during broadcasts as the character known as LeBlog James. He was also a key contributor to TSN and CTV’s Olympic programming during the 2012 London Games.
Eric eventually found his way into the sports betting field in 2016 and has been a mainstay ever since. He was tagged on Twitter as a Top 10 NBA sharp during the 2021 season and has been interviewed about basketball and his handicapping process on shows from Vancouver to India. Eric is now a jack-of-all-sports at Covers, where his predictions span the alphabet soup: NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, F1, WNBA, Euro, and Copa.
When making picks, he focuses on finding value first and foremost, and ensuring readers have all the information they need to make an informed choice.
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