{"id":103993,"date":"2025-08-28T21:37:10","date_gmt":"2025-08-28T21:37:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/103993\/"},"modified":"2025-08-28T21:37:10","modified_gmt":"2025-08-28T21:37:10","slug":"bank-bosses-strike-cautious-tone-on-earnings-calls-as-trade-uncertainty-lingers","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/103993\/","title":{"rendered":"Bank bosses strike cautious tone on earnings calls as trade uncertainty lingers"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">The tone was more cautious than doom-and-gloom this week as executives at Canada&#8217;s big six banks released third-quarter results and discussed how geopolitical unrest and trade turmoil is likely to continue clouding the picture in the months ahead.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">&#8220;Global trade tensions may result in slower growth and higher inflation in many countries, including Canada and the United States,&#8221; soon-to-retire CIBC chief executive Victor Dodig told analysts on a conference call Thursday.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">&#8220;However, we anticipate that declining interest rates will help support economic growth, while fiscal policy will offer targeted relief to the sectors most affected by trade negotiations.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">CIBC, whose profits for the quarter topped $2 billion and beat market expectations, is well positioned to weather the volatility, Dodig added.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">&#8220;Regardless of what the macroeconomic environment serves up, we&#8217;re going to continue to execute against our strategy. We&#8217;re going to continue to support our clients. We&#8217;re going to continue to control what we control and position CIBC for continued strength.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">There appeared to be a common sentiment among top bank bosses that while there&#8217;s reason for cautious optimism around the economy, prudence is warranted while the fate of the Canada-U.S.-Mexico trade agreement remains unsettled.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">&#8220;Early this year, my uncertainty meter was very high and today it&#8217;s less high,&#8221; BMO Financial Group chief executive Darryl White told a conference call Tuesday as his bank reported a 25 per cent jump in quarterly net income to $2.33 billion.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">&#8220;It doesn&#8217;t mean there&#8217;s no uncertainty.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">TD Bank Group CEO Raymond Chun said Thursday that global trade dynamics \u201ccontinue to be fluid\u201d with a CUSMA review set for next year.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">\u201cWhile Canadian companies have benefited from that trade agreement, tariffs and especially sector-specific tariffs create business uncertainty and economic distortions with significant impacts to the most exposed sectors,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">The Canadian and U.S. economies have shown resilience despite the uncertainty, but momentum has eased.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">\u201cThese remain early days,&#8221; Chun said. &#8220;It will likely be a long road before the full impact of tariffs is well understood.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">TD reversed a year-ago loss to book a quarterly profit of $3.3 billion.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">The Bank of Nova Scotia saw a drop in provisions for credit losses \u2014 money set aside for loans that might not be repaid \u2014 to $1.04 billion from $1.05 billion, but chief risk officer Phil Thomas told analysts Tuesday that it&#8217;s not clear how sustainable that trend is.<\/p>\n<p> Story Continues <\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">&#8220;There&#8217;s obviously a lot going on in the Canadian economy, particularly. We still have trade uncertainty that&#8217;s hitting us. The Canadian consumer is still showing some signs of stress,&#8221; he said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Scotiabank reported a 32 per cent jump in quarterly profits to $2.53 billion.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Royal Bank of Canada said its provisions for credit losses rose from a year ago to $881 million, and its chief risk officer said that measure is expected to stay elevated as trade tensions persist.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">&#8220;In the ongoing uncertainty this quarter, we have maintained our prudent posture and retained the elevated weightings to our downside scenarios in line with last quarter,&#8221; Graeme Hepworth told analysts Wednesday.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Canada&#8217;s biggest bank posted a 20 per cent jump in quarterly earnings to $5.4 billion.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">The CEO of Montreal-based National Bank said he was encouraged by how the federal and provincial governments are looking to make lasting changes to boost productivity and economic resilience.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">&#8220;Investments in energy, security, and nation-building infrastructure will stimulate growth and put us on the right path,&#8221; said Laurent Ferreira.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">National Bank&#8217;s quarterly profits edged up to $1.07 billion from $1.03 billion a year earlier.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Each of the banks&#8217; adjusted earnings per share beat the average analyst estimate compiled by LSEG Data &amp; Analytics, except for a one-cent miss from National Bank.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Earlier Thursday, CIBC reported a third-quarter profit of $2.10 billion, up from $1.80 billion in the same quarter last year.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">That amounted to $2.15 per share for the quarter ending July 31, up from $1.82 per share last year.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Revenue totalled $7.25 billion, up from $6.60 billion.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">The bank&#8217;s provisions for credit losses totalled $559 million, up from $483 million last year.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">On an adjusted basis, CIBC earned $2.16 per share in the quarter, up from $1.93 per share last year.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Analysts on average had expected earnings of $2.00 per share, according to LSEG Data &amp; Analytics.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">The bank&#8217;s personal and business banking segment reported a net income of $812 million in the third quarter, up $119 million or 17 per cent from a year earlier. Canadian commercial banking and wealth management reported a net income of $598 million, up $97 million or 19 per cent from last year.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Capital markets profit was $540 million, up $251 million or 87 per cent from last year.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Meanwhile, its U.S. commercial banking and wealth management division posted a net income of $254 million, up $38 million or 17 per cent from a year ago.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">This report by The Canadian Press was first published Aug. 28, 2025.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Companies in this story: (TSX:CM) (TSX:RY) (TSX:CM) (TSX:NA) (TSX:BMO) (TSX:TD)<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Lauren Krugel, The Canadian Press<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The tone was more cautious than doom-and-gloom this week as executives at Canada&#8217;s big six banks released third-quarter&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":103994,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[45,49,48,13834,2445,11346,59685,59686,3916,55204,17784,10655,59684],"class_list":["post-103993","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-business","tag-business","tag-ca","tag-canada","tag-cibc","tag-economic-growth","tag-global-trade","tag-quarterly-profit","tag-quarterly-profits","tag-royal-bank-of-canada","tag-td-bank","tag-trade-tensions","tag-uncertainty","tag-victor-dodig"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103993","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=103993"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103993\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/103994"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=103993"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=103993"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=103993"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}