{"id":10888,"date":"2025-07-20T16:42:07","date_gmt":"2025-07-20T16:42:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/10888\/"},"modified":"2025-07-20T16:42:07","modified_gmt":"2025-07-20T16:42:07","slug":"uncertainty-grips-global-economy-in-first-6-months-of-trump-2-0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/10888\/","title":{"rendered":"Uncertainty grips global economy in first 6 months of Trump 2.0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Six months into his second term, one of the defining features of U.S. President Donald Trump\u2019s time in office appears to be his continued use of tariffs as a key policy tool.<\/p>\n<p>From China to Mexico <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dailysabah.com\/business\/economy\/eu-faces-inescapable-tariff-dance-as-trump-looms-large\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">to the European Union,<\/a> Trump has reignited trade tensions with a barrage of new levies, fulfilling campaign promises but causing great uncertainty in financial markets and global supply chains.<\/p>\n<p>Trump\u2019s renewed focus on his protectionist economic policy has sparked sharp reactions in global markets, commodity prices, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dailysabah.com\/business\/economy\/silver-prices-hit-highest-level-since-2011-amid-trade-tensions\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">precious metals <\/a>and oil.<\/p>\n<p>Trump first introduced his &#8220;reciprocal&#8221; tariffs in April, imposing tariffs ranging from 10% to 50% on most countries. He suspended those tariffs for 90 days, except for China, on April 9.<\/p>\n<p>After a back-and-forth tariff standoff with China, Washington agreed to a trade deal following a meeting in London last month, as the two sides agreed to roll back some punitive tariffs and other restrictive measures.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, many countries have been attempting to negotiate a more favorable trade agreement, which includes lower tariff rates than those introduced in April by the U.S.<\/p>\n<p>Other countries with which the U.S. has announced trade deals are the U.K., Vietnam and Indonesia.<\/p>\n<p>Additionally, the U.S. president has sent letters to numerous countries, informing them of the tariff rate they will be paying as of Aug. 1.<\/p>\n<p>They include the EU and Mexico at 30% and Canada at 35%.<\/p>\n<p>Trump also introduced new sectoral tariffs, which included a 25% tariff rate for all automotive imports in April.<\/p>\n<p>He also introduced 50% levies on copper imports starting Aug. 1 and a 200% rate on pharma products coming into the U.S.<\/p>\n<p>Buy the dip, sell the rip<\/p>\n<p>During the first four months of Trump&#8217;s second term, the New York Stock Exchange experienced significant turbulence, frequently plunging into the red and wiping away substantial gains from the previous year.<\/p>\n<p>The Dow, a key indicator of the performance of America&#8217;s largest corporations, experienced a notable decline of approximately 11.5% over four months.<\/p>\n<p>Following the trade agreements and the easing of uncertainty, the index recovered, settling at around 44,340 points as of late July, with a 0.72% rise in the last six months.<\/p>\n<p>Similarly, the S&amp;P 500, another key indicator of U.S. economic health, had declined by approximately 18% over the preceding four months. It had briefly fallen below the psychologically significant 5,000-point mark, illustrating the breadth of market uncertainty.<\/p>\n<p>As of late July, the index stood at approximately 6,296 points, up around 4% over the previous six months, reaching record levels in early July.<\/p>\n<p>The technology-heavy Nasdaq had borne the brunt of market anxieties, experiencing the largest decline of the major indices. It plummeted 24% to 15,270 points, demonstrating investors&#8217; growing apprehension about technology firms and their global supply chains.<\/p>\n<p>However, over the last six months, the Nasdaq rose 5.76% to record levels of 20,895, with chip company<a href=\"https:\/\/www.dailysabah.com\/business\/tech\/nvidia-makes-history-as-1st-company-to-surpass-4-trillion-market-value\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"> Nvidia leading the gains.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The VIX volatility index, often referred to as Wall Street&#8217;s &#8220;fear&#8221; gauge, had surged dramatically. It rose an alarming 66.6% to 25, spiking briefly beyond 52 points \u2013 a record in recent years.<\/p>\n<p>The fear index settled around 16.4 as of late July, as tariff fears eased following the uncertainty.<\/p>\n<p>Alongside equity markets, currency markets also saw volatility. The U.S. dollar index, which measures the dollar&#8217;s strength against major global currencies, fell 10%, declining to around 98.50.<\/p>\n<p>Conversely, the euro surged significantly, climbing approximately 13% against the dollar, settling at $1.16, compared to $1.04 six months earlier.<\/p>\n<p>Safe-havens spike, oil dips<\/p>\n<p>With greater initial uncertainty, investors rushed toward safer investment havens, most notably gold.<\/p>\n<p>Gold prices soared dramatically as uncertainty spread throughout financial markets. During Trump&#8217;s first six months in office, the price surged 24%, jumping from around $2,700 per ounce in late January to $3,350 by late July.<\/p>\n<p>In late April, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dailysabah.com\/business\/economy\/gold-prices-break-above-3500-amid-trumps-anti-powell-tirade\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">gold reached a historic <\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.dailysabah.com\/business\/economy\/gold-prices-break-above-3500-amid-trumps-anti-powell-tirade\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">high, <\/a>surpassing $3,500, reflecting growing concerns about global economic turmoil.<\/p>\n<p>Conversely, oil markets faced downward pressure. Brent crude, the global benchmark, fell approximately 14.3%, dropping from nearly $80.2 per barrel in late January to around $68.60 by late July.<\/p>\n<p>Market analysts attribute the slump partly to concerns that Trump&#8217;s tariffs would dampen global trade activity, reducing oil demand worldwide.<\/p>\n<p>On the other hand, oil experienced a short-lived spike in June, after Israel and the U.S. attacked Iranian nuclear capabilities.<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin, another asset closely watched due to Trump&#8217;s past enthusiasm for cryptocurrency, also witnessed initial volatility before reaching all-time highs.<\/p>\n<p>Initially buoyed by Trump&#8217;s campaign pledge to make the U.S. the global crypto capital, bitcoin had sharply declined by around 8.5% during Trump&#8217;s first three months in office.<\/p>\n<p>However, following the easing of uncertainty after trade deal announcements and regulatory optimism, the world&#8217;s largest cryptocurrency <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dailysabah.com\/business\/tech\/bitcoin-tops-123000-for-1st-time-as-us-heads-into-crypto-week\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">exceeded the $120,000 threshold in July.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Magnificent Seven<\/p>\n<p>Perhaps most notably affected by market uncertainty were shares of technology and innovation-driven companies, often collectively referred to as the &#8220;Magnificent Seven.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Electric vehicle (EV) manufacturer Tesla, whose CEO, Elon Musk, was one of Trump&#8217;s staunchest financial supporters, contributing more than $130 million to the president\u2019s election campaign, suffered <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dailysabah.com\/business\/automotive\/elon-musks-stand-risks-putting-eu-buyers-off-tesla-analysts\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">the sharpest losses in the group.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Tesla&#8217;s shares fell dramatically, plummeting 20% over the past six months. Although Trump&#8217;s initial election victory had provided a substantial boost to Tesla shares due to his enthusiasm for tech innovation, the realities of global economic uncertainty and reduced investor confidence took their toll on the company&#8217;s valuation.<\/p>\n<p>Especially after Musk parted ways with the U.S. president, Tesla&#8217;s shares declined by around 10% in less than a month. Over the last six months, the EV giant&#8217;s shares have plummeted by more than 22%.<\/p>\n<p>Following Tesla in losses was Apple, which experienced a 5.1% decline since Jan. 20. Google&#8217;s parent company, Alphabet, also suffered a 6.8% decline.<\/p>\n<p>E-commerce and tech giant Amazon also saw a decline of around 2% in the same period.<\/p>\n<p>The losses were significantly lower than they were just two months ago, as announcements of trade agreements and suspensions alleviated fears and uncertainty in the markets.<\/p>\n<p>Conversely, Nvidia saw a 22.4% climb in its stock price within six months as the demand for artificial intelligence technologies continues to grow.<\/p>\n<p>It also became the first publicly traded company to reach a $4 trillion market value.<\/p>\n<p>Microsoft shares rose 19% and Meta shares increased 14.2% over the same period.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Six months into his second term, one of the defining features of U.S. President Donald Trump\u2019s time in&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":10889,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[45,49,48,10656,1376,46,7898,3242,10657,176,4992,10658,10655],"class_list":["post-10888","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-business","tag-ca","tag-canada","tag-dollar","tag-donald-trump","tag-economy","tag-global-economy","tag-gold","tag-safe-havens","tag-stocks","tag-tariffs","tag-trump-2-0","tag-uncertainty"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10888","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10888"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10888\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/10889"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10888"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10888"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10888"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}