{"id":114690,"date":"2025-09-02T17:04:08","date_gmt":"2025-09-02T17:04:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/114690\/"},"modified":"2025-09-02T17:04:08","modified_gmt":"2025-09-02T17:04:08","slug":"2025-week-1-nfl-picks-odds-best-bets-by-computer-simulation-this-5-way-football-parlay-could-return-25-1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/114690\/","title":{"rendered":"2025 Week 1 NFL picks, odds, best bets by computer simulation: This 5-way football parlay could return 25-1"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The pressure starts on Day 1 for the Cincinnati Bengals when they travel to Cleveland to open the 2025 NFL regular season on Sunday. Cincinnati failed to make the playoffs last year despite a near-MVP year by quarterback Joe Burrow. The Bengals, who closed 2024 by winning their final five games, will face a Cleveland Browns team that named Joe Flacco their Week 1 starter. The Bengals are 5.5-point favorites, but Burrow is just 3-5 in his career versus Cleveland. Should you trust the Bengals to cover with your Week 1 NFL parlay picks?<\/p>\n<p>Aaron Rodgers faces his former team when the Pittsburgh Steelers travel to take on the New York Jets in Week 1. According to the latest Week 1 NFL odds, the Steelers are 2.5-point favorites on the road, while the over\/under for total points scored is 38.5, making it the only game with a total of less than 40. Which team has value to include in Week 1 NFL bets, and which side of the NFL odds should you target? Before locking in any Week 1 NFL picks or NFL parlays, be sure to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/nfl-odds-lines-spreads-2025-week-1-picks-predictions-from-proven-model-5-way-parlay-pays-25-1\/#ttag=09072025_agg_cbssports_picks_football_nfl_model_Week1NFLparlay\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine&#8217;s proven computer model<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/nfl\/picks\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">NFL picks<\/a>\u00a0since its inception. The model went 31-15 on top-rated picks in 2024. Anybody following its\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/news\/nfl\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">NFL betting<\/a>\u00a0picks at\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/news\/best-betting-apps\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">sportsbooks<\/a>\u00a0and on\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/news\/best-betting-apps\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">betting sites<\/a>\u00a0could have seen strong returns.<\/p>\n<p>Now, the model has scoured the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/odds\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Week 1 NFL odds<\/a> and locked in five confident NFL best bets. If you successfully parlay its sports betting picks, you&#8217;d be looking at a massive payout of nearly 25-1. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/nfl-odds-lines-spreads-2025-week-1-picks-predictions-from-proven-model-5-way-parlay-pays-25-1\/#ttag=09072025_agg_cbssports_picks_football_nfl_model_Week1NFLparlay\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">You can only see the model&#8217;s Week 1 NFL picks at SportsLine<\/a>, and new users can also target the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/news\/draftkings-promo-code\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">DraftKings promo code<\/a>, which offers\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/martech.cbssports.com\/bt\/redirect\/prod?b=draftkings&amp;c=sport\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" class=\"mtech-link\">$300 in bonus bets instantly plus over $200 off NFL Sunday Ticket<\/a>:<\/p>\n<p>Top Week 1 NFL picks<\/p>\n<p>After simulating every game 10,000 times, the model is high on the <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/teams\/WAS\/washington-commanders\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Washington Commanders<\/a> (-6, 45.5) to cover against the <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/teams\/NYG\/new-york-giants\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">New York Giants<\/a>. Washington reached the NFC Championship Game last season. The Commanders had won seven consecutive games going into that game behind Jayden Daniels, now in his second season. Daniels was dominant in 2024. He completed 69% of his passes for 3,568 yards, 25 touchdowns with just nine interceptions. In a 45-31 divisional round win over the Detroit Lions, Daniels completed 22 of 31 passes for 299 yards and two touchdowns with zero interceptions.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>After some drama involving his contract, top receiver Terry McLaurin now has a new deal as well, putting him position to be in the lineup for the opener. The Commanders won both meetings last season, and the model has them covering in more than 60% of simulations in an A-rated pick.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/nfl-odds-lines-spreads-2025-week-1-picks-predictions-from-proven-model-5-way-parlay-pays-25-1\/#ttag=09072025_agg_cbssports_picks_football_nfl_model_Week1NFLparlay\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">See which other NFL parlay picks to make here<\/a>\u00a0and bet the Commanders to cover here:<\/p>\n<p>How to make Week 1 NFL parlays<\/p>\n<p>The model also jumped on four other NFL matchups where it says the line is way off, including backing an underdog that it says will not only cover, but win outright. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/nfl-odds-lines-spreads-2025-week-1-picks-predictions-from-proven-model-5-way-parlay-pays-25-1\/#ttag=09072025_agg_cbssports_picks_football_nfl_model_Week1NFLparlay\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">You can only see the model&#8217;s Week 1 NFL best bets and NFL parlay at SportsLine<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>What are the model&#8217;s top Week 1 NFL picks, and which NFL matchups should you target for an epic 25-1 payout? <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/nfl-odds-lines-spreads-2025-week-1-picks-predictions-from-proven-model-5-way-parlay-pays-25-1\/#ttag=09072025_agg_cbssports_picks_football_nfl_model_Week1NFLparlay\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Visit SportsLine now to see the Week 1 NFL best bets from a model on an 31-15 run on top-rated picks,<\/a> and find out.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The pressure starts on Day 1 for the Cincinnati Bengals when they travel to Cleveland to open the&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":114691,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[436],"tags":[49,48,1728,514,82,1758],"class_list":["post-114690","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-nfl","tag-ca","tag-canada","tag-new-york-giants","tag-nfl","tag-sports","tag-washington-commanders"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/114690","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=114690"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/114690\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/114691"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=114690"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=114690"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=114690"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}