{"id":121083,"date":"2025-09-05T05:17:04","date_gmt":"2025-09-05T05:17:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/121083\/"},"modified":"2025-09-05T05:17:04","modified_gmt":"2025-09-05T05:17:04","slug":"markets-bet-big-on-goldilocks-payrolls-number","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/121083\/","title":{"rendered":"Markets bet big on Goldilocks payrolls number"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Kevin Buckland<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Markets are in buoyant mood, clearly anticipating Friday&#8217;s hotly awaited U.S. payrolls report will keep the Fed on course to cut rates this month and once more by year-end.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">It was the previous month&#8217;s payrolls shocker that got speculation really going that U.S. monetary policy would need to come down fast, and economists predict an only slightly higher reading this time around.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Fed Chair Jay Powell surprised many at last month&#8217;s closely watched Jackson Hole symposium with a keynote that suggested a cut on September 17 is coming unless the data gets in the way.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Fedspeak from other officials has been leaning dovish on the whole, and the window for additional comments closes later today as the central bank enters a blackout period in the run-up to its policy gathering.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">U.S. stock futures are pointing higher after the S&amp;P 500 notched a record-high close overnight, and the Nasdaq Composite came within 6 points of doing the same.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">European futures are doing the same, and Asian markets from Japan to Taiwan to mainland China are rising about 1%.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Bond markets too, which had turned so volatile at the start of the week, have been calmed by a run of soft U.S. jobs data that has bolstered confidence for a non-farm payrolls report that will further the narrative for easier Fed policy.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">After surging to record highs on Wednesday, Japanese 30-year government bond yields have retraced about half of that day&#8217;s rise. Similarly dated U.S. Treasury yields have slipped to three-week lows, while two- and 10-year yields have eased to four-month troughs.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">British 30-year gilt yields are back at the levels from a week ago, before the four-day spike to the highest since 1998. German and French yields are down from multi-year peaks.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Gold is also biding its time, hovering below Wednesday&#8217;s all-time high following a breathless seven-day rally.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">That means there&#8217;s a lot riding on a benign U.S. payrolls reading. And there&#8217;s not a lot to distract from it in the lead-up, with German factory data, British retail sales and revised euro-area GDP the most noteworthy.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Key developments that could influence markets on Friday:<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">-U.S. payrolls<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">-Canada payrolls<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">-Euro zone revised GDP<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">-Germany industrial orders, manufacturing output<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">-UK retail sales, Halifax house prices<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">(Reporting by Kevin Buckland; Editing by Sam Holmes)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Kevin Buckland Markets are in buoyant&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":121084,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[45,49,48,67288,2297,67287,100,29338],"class_list":["post-121083","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-markets","tag-business","tag-ca","tag-canada","tag-chair-jay-powell","tag-global-markets","tag-kevin-buckland","tag-markets","tag-the-fed"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/121083","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=121083"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/121083\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/121084"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=121083"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=121083"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=121083"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}