{"id":122495,"date":"2025-09-05T19:09:07","date_gmt":"2025-09-05T19:09:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/122495\/"},"modified":"2025-09-05T19:09:07","modified_gmt":"2025-09-05T19:09:07","slug":"2025-nfl-futures-i-can-feel-in-my-plums","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/122495\/","title":{"rendered":"2025 NFL Futures I Can Feel In My Plums"},"content":{"rendered":"

(All odds are based on DraftKings Sportsbook<\/a>)<\/p>\n

Arite let’s get into it. Here’s my annual NFL Futures Bets I Can Feel In My Plums blog for the 2025 season.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Here’s what I like, and why.<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

Win Totals I\u2019m Leaning Into<\/p>\n

– Bengals UNDER 9.5 Wins (-150) Hear me out. Yes, Joe Burrow\u2019s back and sharper than ever. But their division is a bloodbath, and Cincinnati\u2019s line is a fucking joke once again. As good as the Burrow and Chase duo is (the best in the league), they can’t connect when Burrow is running for his life from a jail break every snap. I hope I’m wrong, but I don’t think he survives the season.<\/p>\n

– Commanders OVER 9.5 Wins (-125) – I love this bet so much that it feels like a trap play. It has to be a trap play right? Washington has Robert Saleh returning as DC with a defense that can bite, and the NFC East is wide open. You can even play the bold card here, Commanders to win the NFC (+850) or spring for the Ravens vs. Commanders Super Bowl exact (+6,500) for the fun of it.<\/p>\n

– Browns UNDER \u00a04.5 Wins (+135), with Alt: Under 3.5 (+240) This actually opened at 5.5 and got hammered down. Because Cleveland is in freefall- no QB stability, no culture, and a brutal schedule. Fan sentiment is in the shitter also as the team’s scumbag owners announced they’re moving the team out of downtown. Another monumental collapse is brewing.<\/p>\n

– Dolphins UNDER 7.5 Wins (-115) This number has to be a joke. Tua\u2019s durability and their porous OL are both ticking time bombs. Bet the under and enjoy the panic if things go south early.\u00a0<\/p>\n

– Chargers UNDER 9.5 Wins (-120)- \u00a0People are still drunk on Jim Harbaugh they\u2019re ignoring the fact that the AFC West is a nightmare and the Chargers aren\u2019t even the third-best team in it. No home field, no depth, and no identity. Fade them.<\/p>\n

– Cowboys OVER 7.5 Wins. – Keep an eye on Dallas. The win total is low (Over 7.5, +110) because everyone\u2019s spooked by all the drama and injuries, but they\u2019ve got an easy schedule and should start fast.\u00a0<\/p>\n

– Bills UNDER 11.5 Wins (+135) – You\u2019re playing with fire here. The Bills are in transition mode, even if they won\u2019t admit it. They lost Stefon Diggs. Josh Allen is due for a full-on Brett Favre turnover spiral. Their defense is older and didn’t improve. The division\u2019s tougher now that New England is relevant again. 11.5+ wins is steep in today\u2019s NFL unless you\u2019re running away with the conference- and they\u2019re not. I think this team regresses big time and am taking the under.<\/p>\n

FYI – Everybody LOVES Denver, and Seattle. Too much. There is so much money on their over, but the line never budged. Giant red flag.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Futures I\u2019m Riding<\/p>\n

– The Texans to Win AFC South (+105) – CJ Stroud is elite, they fortified the defense, and their division is not overly intimidating. Laugh all you want but this is a legitimate title-path if things break the right way for this team.<\/p>\n

– Packers to Win NFC North (+250)- The NFC North seems like a dog fight now, but I think we look back at the end of this season and it looks like it was always a cake walk for the Packers. Love\u2019s got weapons galore, and a favorable schedule. They\u2019re positioned to surprise. I won’t be surprised to see them in the NFC Championship game.<\/p>\n

– Buccaneers to Win NFC South (-105) – Weak division + strong offense (29.5 PPG in 2024) + new defensive juice = a no-brainer. Saints are cap-strapped, Falcons and Panthers are shaky. The Bucs might be chalk but are low-risk winners.<\/p>\n

– 49ers to Win NFC West (+150)- People LOVE Seattle to win this division here, but I’m sticking the San Fran. Injuries tanked them last year- but now healthy, they benefit from a favorable schedule thanks to \u201cstandings-based\u201d matchups (Giants, Browns, Bears) versus division foes grinding tougher opponents. They\u2019re overdue for a rebound.<\/p>\n

– Ravens to Win AFC (+330) – This is a value bet based on their high ceiling, an elite QB, and postseason chops- they are always a threat. (Until Harbaugh tanks them) (Sidebar – I really like Pittsburgh this season. They have an elite defense (possibly the best in the league), a great coach, and 7 home games this season. If they didn’t play in one of the two best divisions in football, and competing with Baltimore for home field, I’d like their chances a lot more.)<\/p>\n

Best Value Super Bowl Future Bet<\/p>\n

– 49ers to Win Super Bowl 60 (20\u20111) Again, it\u2019s Goldilocks territory. They are FINALLY healthy, disciplined, have a dominant schedule, and a relentless roster. If this doesn\u2019t scream value, what does? The Niners have the easiest schedule in the NFL thanks to last season\u2019s fluky 4th place finish. The Super Bowl is in San Francisco, too. Don\u2019t let that number slip away.<\/p>\n

– My non-value Super Bowl Future Bet is Green Bay vs. Baltimore, with Baltimore winning it all. But they’re chalk at a favorites +600. So just a sprinkle.\u00a0<\/p>\n

MVP Value Plays I\u2019m Loving<\/p>\n

– Jalen Hurts (18\u20111) – He\u2019s a fucking specimen. There’s nothing he can’t do. Philly\u2019s not just good, they’re great. He plays behind the best line in football. People underrate him, but the stats will be there. Value play for sure.\u00a0<\/p>\n

– Jordan Love (18\u20111 or better) – High-powered start, under-the-radar hype, he might be flying on the leaderboard come midseason. Lock and load early on this while he’s still close to 20-1 on some books.<\/p>\n

Let me know your thoughts and what you like in the comments below.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"(All odds are based on DraftKings Sportsbook) Arite let’s get into it. Here’s my annual NFL Futures Bets…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":122496,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[436],"tags":[67944,5462,11442,49,48,67943,10499,24525,2213,16144,32044,514,5457,6903,7675,82,2341,17838,21683],"class_list":["post-122495","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-nfl","tag-afc-south","tag-baltimore","tag-browns","tag-ca","tag-canada","tag-commanders-super-bowl","tag-defense","tag-division","tag-joe-burrow","tag-line","tag-nfc","tag-nfl","tag-ravens","tag-season","tag-seattle","tag-sports","tag-team","tag-thing","tag-win"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/122495","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=122495"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/122495\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/122496"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=122495"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=122495"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=122495"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}