{"id":135272,"date":"2025-09-11T03:42:14","date_gmt":"2025-09-11T03:42:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/135272\/"},"modified":"2025-09-11T03:42:14","modified_gmt":"2025-09-11T03:42:14","slug":"mark-carneys-climate-hinge-point-is-at-hand","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/135272\/","title":{"rendered":"Mark Carney&#8217;s climate hinge point is at hand"},"content":{"rendered":"<p dir=\"ltr\">Another day, another major climate policy watered down. On Friday, Prime Minister Mark Carney announced that he is pausing the EV mandate created by his predecessor as part of a broader review aimed at creating a \u201ccarbon competitiveness\u201d strategy. Given the Trump administration\u2019s open war on renewable energy and climate policy and the Carney government\u2019s determination to make life easier for the business community, it\u2019s fair to wonder if that strategy will include more strategic retreats \u2014 and if any of Canada\u2019s signature climate policies will survive the next few years as a result.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">It\u2019s also fair to point out that Carney is operating in a fundamentally different political and economic environment than former prime minister Justin Trudeau ever was. Where climate policy under Trudeau\u2019s government was mostly about establishing moral and political leadership, Carney is facing a much more existential menu of choices. You might even call it a hinge point \u2014 and Carney almost certainly would, given that he was in the process of writing a whole book about them. While China races ahead in the development and application of key low-carbon technologies, from wind and solar power to batteries and electric vehicles, the United States has effectively abandoned that race in order to advance the interests of fossil fuels.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">Case in point: despite claiming that America is in the midst of an \u201cenergy crisis,\u201d the Trump administration\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/09\/05\/climate\/wright-energy-offshore-wind-turbines.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">cancelled a nearly completed<\/a> $6.2-billion wind project off the coast of Rhode Island. It would have delivered power at 9.8 cents per kilowatt-hour, which is already cheaper than the average cost of electricity in New England, and locked that price in for two decades. They cancelled it, supposedly, because it was permitted\u00a0too quickly \u2014 despite the Trump administration\u2019s enthusiasm for permitting new oil and gas projects as quickly as possible.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">The real reason, I\u2019d suggest, is because it threatens the political and economic hegemony of the oil and gas industry. That\u2019s something US Secretary of Energy Chris Wright and the rest of his administration won\u2019t tolerate. His official social media account routinely posts false or misleading information about renewable energy and fossil fuels, all in an obvious attempt to boost the latter at the expense of the former. On Monday, for example,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/SecretaryWright\/status\/1965001922194133387\" rel=\"nofollow\">he wrote that<\/a> \u201cthe U.S. is rapidly becoming THE powerhouse of the fastest growing energy source on the planet: natural gas.\u201d In reality, a place the Trump administration inhabits with ever-declining frequency, solar actually grew 10 times faster \u2014\u00a010 times \u2014\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/CleanPowerDave\/status\/1965130929141416321\" rel=\"nofollow\">than natural gas did in 2024<\/a>. The United States, meanwhile, has been the world\u2019s\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/douglewinenergy\/status\/1965060103847244113\" rel=\"nofollow\">biggest gas producer since 2011<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">All the lies in the world won\u2019t change the ever-improving economics of renewable energy, much less what they say about the long-term demand for fossil fuels like oil and gas. But they do underscore the geopolitical realignment being driven by clean technology, one that increasingly pits a so-called \u201caxis of petrostates\u201d led by Saudi Arabia, Russia and the United States against China and its allies.\u00a0As historian Nils Gilman\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/foreignpolicy.com\/2025\/09\/01\/ecological-cold-war-climate-china-europe-usa-russia\/#cookie_message_anchor\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">wrote in a recent piece<\/a> for\u00a0Foreign Policy, \u201cas the green transition gathers momentum, underpinned by Chinese technological prowess, a reactionary counter-bloc has already begun to coalesce \u2014 not around a commitment to liberal democracy or human rights, but to the continued extraction and political centrality of hydrocarbons.\u201d<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">The alternative to that bloc isn\u2019t much better. Yes, China has made remarkable progress recently on the development of clean technology, and it could continue to deepen its economic and diplomatic relationship with Europe. But it remains a fundamentally illiberal state with little regard for freedom of speech, expression and numerous other rights Canadians take for granted. It\u2019s not hard to imagine Canada\u2019s Conservatives, and especially the ones in Alberta, eagerly siding with America\u2019s petro-nationalism over China\u2019s green authoritarianism.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">But maybe Canada doesn\u2019t have to choose between these two unpalatable orthodoxies. Maybe, if Carney plays our cards right, Canada can emerge as a kind of third way on climate, a country that\u2019s able to develop both conventional and renewable energy for as long as either are required. We don\u2019t have to engage in the same sort of ideological self-sabotage that America is consumed by right now, nor do we have to subsume our hard-won freedoms to the economic and political imperatives of the state, as tends to be the case in China. We can, and should, let the facts tell us where to go.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>  Climate policy is no longer merely about reducing emissions or averting a crisis in the future. It&#8217;s now a key part of the ongoing geopolitical conflict between China and the United States \u2014 one that presents a clear risk to Canada&#8217;s interests.   <\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">That means continuing to develop our oil and gas assets while preparing for a world in which they\u2019re not needed nearly as much. It means embracing the economic and environmental opportunities associated with wind and solar energy. And it means finding a way to skate to where the puck is inevitably going (I know, I know) without getting cross-checked by reality along the way.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">In that environment, a federal climate competitiveness strategy is more important than it might sound. This is no longer about whether we want to voluntarily reduce our emissions and to what degree, although those reductions do still have strategic value. Instead, it\u2019s about how we want to position ourselves in the deepening geopolitical conflict between China and the United States \u2014 and how to maximize our chances of surviving the fallout.\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Another day, another major climate policy watered down. On Friday, Prime Minister Mark Carney announced that he is&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":135273,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[22],"tags":[49,48,295,66],"class_list":["post-135272","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-environment","tag-ca","tag-canada","tag-environment","tag-science"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/135272","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=135272"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/135272\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/135273"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=135272"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=135272"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=135272"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}