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Stock image of USAID supplies.<\/p>\n
The study modeled three scenarios: minimal impact, where countries recover tuberculosis service in 3 months; moderate impact, where it takes a year to recover service; and the worst-case scenario, which is \u201clong-term service reduction\u201d in 26 countries with a high burden of tuberculosis cases.<\/p>\n
According to the study, the best-case scenario of additional tuberculosis cases in the next five years were 630,000 new cases, and 99,000 new deaths. The moderate impact scenario predicts 1.66 million new cases, and 268,600 deaths.<\/p>\n
The worst-case scenario \u2014 where there’s a long-term disruption of service \u2014 estimates 10.67 million new cases, and 2,243,700 deaths.<\/p>\n
The countries impacted include: Afghanistan, Angola, Bangladesh, Cameroon, Congo, Ethiopia, Ghana, India, Indonesia, Kenya, Madagascar, Mozambique, Myanmar, Nepal, Nigeria, Pakistan, Peru, Philippines, South Africa, Tanzania,Thailand, Uganda, Ukraine, Vietnam, Zambia and Zimbabwe.<\/p>\n
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Stock image of a tuberculosis X-ray.<\/p>\n
But tuberculosis is also a concern stateside \u2014 in January, Kentucky recorded its largest outbreak<\/a> ever of the disease, and some said it may have been the largest U.S. surge of cases ever. At press time, there were 68 active cases and 107 latent cases of tuberculosis, per the Kentucky Division of Public Health.<\/a><\/p>\n Tuberculosis, as PBS<\/a> notes, was called consumption when it killed one in seven people in the 1800s. Symptoms include a bad cough, chest pain, and coughing up blood. The Cleveland Clinic<\/a> says that while most people\u2019s immune systems are able to fight the infection, it may remain in their system as a \u201clatent TB infection\u201d \u2014 later becoming active if your immune system is weakened.<\/p>\n The disease, caused by the bacterium Mycobacterium tuberculosis, is treated with specific antibiotics \u2014 sometimes for as long as nine months, the Cleveland Clinic says. It can be fatal if not treated.<\/p>\n As\u00a0California Rep. Sara Jacobs told PEOPLE<\/a> when USAID was gutted, \u201cPeople will starve, babies will die, and poverty will skyrocket.\u201d<\/p>\n \u201cWhile some nations may adapt, short-term disruptions will severely impact vulnerable populations,\u201d the study says. \u201cUrgent alternative funding is needed to sustain critical TB prevention and treatment efforts.\u201d<\/p>\n Never miss a story \u2014 sign up for\u00a0PEOPLE’s free daily newsletter<\/a>\u00a0to stay up-to-date on the best of what PEOPLE has to offer, from celebrity news to compelling human interest stories.<\/p>\n