{"id":149009,"date":"2025-09-16T22:23:10","date_gmt":"2025-09-16T22:23:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/149009\/"},"modified":"2025-09-16T22:23:10","modified_gmt":"2025-09-16T22:23:10","slug":"are-indian-tigers-getting-aggressive-answer-lies-in-the-numbers","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/149009\/","title":{"rendered":"Are Indian tigers getting aggressive? Answer lies in the numbers"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The rise in such attacks across India is driving two questions: Are India\u2019s tigers becoming more aggressive? Is India running out of space for its burgeoning tiger population?<\/p>\n<p>An estimated 3,682 tigers place India as the host to more than 75 per cent of the world\u2019s tiger population currently, 52 years after Project Tiger began. This resounding success, though, has come with increasing tiger-human conflicts. Scientists, forest officials, and conservationists attribute it to everything from the nature of the terrain to a lack of prey base to an increased familiarity with human presence. But one thing\u2019s for sure, according to the architects of Project Tiger \u2014 India is nearing its tiger carrying capacity.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-2744318\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Tiger-Story_States-with-highest-tiger-attack-cases-from-2020-2024.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1200\" height=\"974\"  \/><\/p>\n<p>\u201cNo one has actually given much thought to what exactly the current potential for a safe tiger population in India is now, and beyond that, how will we control them?\u201d said YV Jhala, a conservationist and key figure in implementing Project Tiger. \u201cAnd given how many tigers we already have, this question is a ticking time bomb.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Gumtara would have added to the litany of incidents in the country this year where a tiger attack led to a human\u2019s death. Last year, there were 73 such attacks in the country; the number has been in the double digits for over a decade now. Maharashtra, MP, and UP lead with the most cases, but this year, Rajasthan\u2019s Ranthambore too has joined the ranks with three deaths in two months\u2014something that has invited the National Tiger Conservation Authority\u2019s involvement.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWhat\u2019s so great about humans that tigers won\u2019t kill us? Everything is fair game; it\u2019s just that for years, the tigers have been cultured to avoid humans,\u201d said Jhala. \u201cBut culture can be changed. Tigers are learning that.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\n<img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-2744312\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/feature-image-2025-09-16T122950.265.jpg\" alt=\"A tiger prowling through tall grasses inside the Tadoba Tiger Reserve | Siddhartha Patil\" width=\"1200\" height=\"675\"  \/>A tiger prowling through tall grasses inside the Tadoba Tiger Reserve | Siddhartha Patil\n<\/p>\n<p>Are rising tiger attacks a pattern?<\/p>\n<p>A 74-year-old farmer, Pandurang Chachane, in Tadoba\u2019s Chandrapur, and a 70-year-old priest, Radheshyam Mali, in Ranthambore, met similar fates this year \u2014 both were living near tiger reserves, out for work early in the morning, and both were killed by tigers.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>But this is where their similarity ends. While one case is an age-old saga of humans risking their lives and venturing into tiger territory, the other is a more recent result of actions by forest officials that made tigers venture into human territory.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u201cNo tiger is born a maneater; we don\u2019t even feature within their food spectrum,\u201d asserted Rajesh Gopal, Secretary General of the Global Tiger Forum and former national coordinator of Project Tiger. \u201cBut in the murky world of human-animal interactions, they can be lured, they can be conditioned, and they can become habituated.\u201d\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Chachane belonged to Maharashtra\u2019s Chandrapur district, infamous for its tiger-human conflicts. Like clockwork, this year too Chandrapur has chalked up a long list of tiger victims, with 11 attacks happening just in May and Chachane\u2019s being the latest one on 4 September. Maharashtra has remained the state with the highest tiger attacks, with most happening near Tadoba. In 2022, 80 per cent of the country\u2019s attacks occurred in Maharashtra. But the attacks are never by the same tiger, and for the forest department, the case is an open-and-shut one.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-2744319\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Tiger-Story_Total-tiger-fatalities-across-India-from-2020-to-2024.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1200\" height=\"984\"  \/><\/p>\n<p>Tadoba is one of the most densely populated reserves in the country, with 115 tigers, according to the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tadobanationalparkonline.in\/tigers-of-tadoba.php\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">latest estimate by the<\/a> national park. If you add to that the rich teak and tendu forests and over 50,000 villagers depending on it, the stage is set for deadly encounters.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThese are not recent deaths. This is an old phenomenon that has been happening for the last 15 years. Most of these (May) deaths happened inside the forests because of the tendu leaf collection season of 15-20 days,\u201d Dr Jitendra Ramgoankar, Chandrapur\u2019s chief conservator of forests (CCF),<a href=\"https:\/\/theprint.in\/environment\/11-killed-in-tiger-attacks-in-may-in-maharashtras-chandrapur-as-humans-venture-deep-into-forest\/2657731\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"> had told ThePrint<\/a> after the May attacks.<\/p>\n<p>However, when Mali was mauled to death by a young tigress in Ranthambore \u2013 the poster child of tiger conservation in India \u2013 in June this year, the National Tiger Conservation Authority (NTCA) had to intervene. This was the third attack this year; the first two victims were a 7-year-old boy and a forest guard. They were suspected to be killed by the three cubs of the famed tigress Arrowhead, and after Mali died, the NTCA approved the order to relocate them to another reserve.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWith Ranthambore, the blame rests squarely on the forest management that decided to live-bait the tigers in the first place,\u201d said Rajesh Gopal.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Citing the case of Ranthambore officials feeding live animals to tigresses Arrowhead and her grandmother, Machhli, when they couldn\u2019t hunt, Gopal called it highly unprofessional and said it worsened human-animal interactions.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAny tiger learns from their mother, and if the cubs saw Arrowhead being fed from a gypsy, they began associating people with the arrival of food, then little can be said about how they view humans now,\u201d explained Gopal.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-2744321\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Tiger-Story_States-with-highest-tiger-populations-.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1200\" height=\"913\"  \/><\/p>\n<p>Context matters<\/p>\n<p>The differing cases of the two reserves in Maharashtra and Rajasthan sum up everything that experts like Jhala and Gopal, and even other wildlife ecologists, have to say about tiger attacks in the country \u2013 context matters.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u201cHuman casualties attributed to attacks by tigers occur under diverse circumstances. The only generalisation I would make is that most such occurrences happen when people unknowingly come in very close proximity to usually concealed tigers,\u201d said Pranav Chanchani, a wildlife ecologist at WWF-India. \u201cBut even then, in most cases, neither the people impacted by the conflict nor the tigers themselves are at fault.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>To look for any one discernible pattern or reason connecting all the tiger attacks in the country would be a fool\u2019s errand. It ignores years of research gone into understanding India\u2019s forests, tiger behaviour and ecology, and their ever-evolving relationship with humans.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cGiven our overall tiger population and the potential for conflict in this country, the actual rate is quite low,\u201d said Jhala. \u201cThere\u2019s no ploy by tigers to attack humans to eat them. Actual cases of \u2018problem tigers\u2019 that solely attack humans are quite low, and they are dealt with immediately by being put in wildlife centres.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Another \u2018hotspot\u2019 of tiger killings is the Pilibhit Reserve in Madhya Pradesh. Over the past 7 months, Pilibhit has seen around 10 tiger attacks on people, largely in the sugarcane fields that dot the landscape. There were <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wwfindia.org\/news_facts\/feature_stories\/man_eater_crisis\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">rumours of \u2018man-eating tigers\u2019 being released into Pilibhit<\/a>, and the forest department even ordered to capture a tiger and translocate it. Jhala and Gopal had a much simpler explanation.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe high grasslands of Terai look exactly like large sugarcane fields \u2013 when the fields are adjoining the forest, it\u2019s unlikely the tiger will be able to tell the difference,\u201d said Gopal. \u201cWhen a human is hunched over working on the crops, it could very well be any other prey to the tiger. The attacks are purely coincidental.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>According to Jhala, the more pressing problem is to deal with the surrounding factors when tiger attacks come to the fore. The questions to answer are why tigers live so close to humans, why they leave forests to hunt, and how farms and buildings have taken over their habitat.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe\u2019ve changed their landscape and compelled ourselves to attach a pest status to the tiger \u2014 instead of our national animal, it\u2019s now a national pest,\u201d said Gopal.<\/p>\n<p>Why prey bases are important<\/p>\n<p>Most tiger attacks in the last decade can be directly traced back to a lack of sufficient prey bases in many tiger reserves, according to Qamar Qureshi, a professor at the Wildlife Institute of India and another pioneering figure in implementing Project Tiger.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe might have 58 tiger reserves in the country, but barring a few, most of them are empty of biodiversity. They\u2019re green deserts effectively,\u201d said Qureshi. \u201cWe\u2019ve spent so much energy shoring up tiger populations that we forgot about the other animals in the food chain.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>A 2025 report titled <a href=\"https:\/\/wii.gov.in\/news\/status-of-ungulates-in-tiger-habitats-of-india\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Status of Ungulates in Tiger Habitats of India,<\/a> co-authored by Qureshi, paints a grim picture of this phenomenon. Ungulates are the herbivorous mammals, like deer, antelopes, and boars, that form the prey base of carnivorous animals. The report used data from camera trapping images from the Tiger Survey of 2022 to estimate ungulate populations in the reserves and found them to be sorely lacking.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The report found that chital, sambar, and gaur populations have declined in 27 per cent of all tiger reserves since 2014. Areas like Odisha and Jharkhand have low ungulate populations because of bushmeat consumption by local people. What was more concerning was that areas like Tadoba in Maharashtra, Ratapani in MP, and Valmiki in Bihar had very high tiger densities but low prey populations.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Qureshi explained that a tiger will naturally venture out in search of food if it doesn\u2019t find it in the forest, and more often than not, it will venture right into an agricultural field or village next door to prey on cattle.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt is a simple question \u2013 if you have tigers, which are naturally predators and naturally territorial \u2013 where do you expect them to go?\u201d asked Qureshi. \u201cYou\u2019re reducing their prey base inside the reserve, at the same time nibbling away at the forests where they live. What choice do they have but to then go to the next village and survive on livestock and cattle?\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Is India\u2019s tiger appetite waning?<\/p>\n<p>A hunting crisis, nine carved-out tiger reserves, Rs 3 crore, and a lofty goal \u2014 India\u2019s Project Tiger in 1973 wanted to bring the beast back into business. Now, more than half a century later, the country is grappling with its burgeoning tiger population.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIndia is already at its carrying capacity \u2013 maybe we have space for 500 more tigers, but we\u2019re there already,\u201d said Gopal. \u201cIf we get any more, you\u2019ll be seeing tigers walking through East of Kailash,\u201d he joked.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>A carrying capacity is determined by how many tigers a landscape can sustain without overburdening the biodiversity. Tigers are territorial animals that need at least 50-100 sq km of space, and also a significant amount of prey. When any one reserve goes beyond its carrying capacity, it leads to territorial fights and deaths between the tigers.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u201cRight now, India\u2019s tiger population is not spread evenly across all reserves. Some have abundant tigers and are seen as \u2018sources\u2019 from where tigers migrate and populate other areas,\u201d explained Qureshi.<\/p>\n<p>Reserves like Corbett, Ranthambore, Tadoba-Andhari, Nagarhole, Pench, and Sunderban are all close to their ecological carrying capacity. In terms of a state-wide population, Madhya Pradesh leads with 785 tigers, Karnataka and Uttarakhand following with 563 and 560 each. Maharashtra is next with 444 tigers.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The plan, according to Gopal, was always to establish a functioning tiger population and hope that nature would then take care of the rest.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u201cTigers are naturally curious and venture out of their mother\u2019s land soon after birth to find their own territory. Every reserve in the country is obviously not packed, but we have high-density and low-density areas, and we have ways for tigers to travel within them,\u201d explained Gopal.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Unlike Jhala and Qureshi, however, Gopal isn\u2019t worried about India \u2018breaching\u2019 its natural carrying capacity for tigers in the next few years. He believes that nature has a way of controlling these things by itself.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThere are signals of stress when any region has reached its maximum capacity of tigers. You\u2019ll start seeing more territorial fights, more incapacitated cubs killed by male tigers, more tigers wandering out of their own territory,\u201d he said. \u201cThat\u2019s nature course correcting.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\n<img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-2744314\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/feature-image-2025-09-16T123210.820.jpg\" alt=\"Two tigers play-fighting in the Tadoba Andhari Tiger Reserve, Maharashtra| Siddhartha Patil\" width=\"1200\" height=\"675\"  \/>Two tigers play-fighting in the Tadoba Andhari Tiger Reserve, Maharashtra| Siddhartha Patil\n<\/p>\n<p>Also read: <a title=\"DDA and Delhi University combo brought a biodiversity park revolution. Other cities envy\" href=\"https:\/\/theprint.in\/ground-reports\/dda-delhi-university-biodiversity-park-revolution\/2739624\/\" rel=\"bookmark nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">DDA and Delhi University combo brought a biodiversity park revolution. Other cities envy<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Tiger-human conflict\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The case of Pilibhit\u2019s and Ranthambore\u2019s \u2018problem\u2019 tigers this year, though, highlighted another pain point in India\u2019s wildlife conflict management strategy. Qureshi said that while putting away tigers in rescue centres is the current solution to manage this conflict, it is an extremely \u2018short-sighted\u2019 one.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe\u2019re not thinking about this either at a policy level or at a forest management level; instead, we\u2019re brushing the issue under the carpet,\u201d he said. \u201cHow many tigers will we put away until there aren\u2019t any left?\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Instead, we should invest in making tiger reserves adequate for the animals, he said. The way to reduce human-animal conflicts, according to Qureshi, is to invest in studying India\u2019s ungulates, building up prey bases and buffer zones inside reserves, and ensuring tiger habitats remain untouched by development projects. Cases like the recent order to <a href=\"https:\/\/theprint.in\/india\/wildlife-panel-approves-alteration-of-sariska-tiger-reserves-boundaries\/2686509\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">alter the Sariska Tiger Reserve\u2019s<\/a> boundaries for mining are a reminder of how India is slowly chipping away at its tiger habitats, leaving the big cats with no choice but to come out.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe solution rests in science,\u201d said Qureshi. \u201cInstead of quick fixes and scientists playing catch-up, science should lead the way in this new phase of tiger conservation in the country.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>(Edited by Ratan Priya)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The rise in such attacks across India is driving two questions: Are India\u2019s tigers becoming more aggressive? 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