{"id":159431,"date":"2025-09-21T14:46:08","date_gmt":"2025-09-21T14:46:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/159431\/"},"modified":"2025-09-21T14:46:08","modified_gmt":"2025-09-21T14:46:08","slug":"free-mlb-home-run-picks-odds-for-sept-21-eugenio-suarez-among-best-bets-for-sunday-hr-player-props","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/159431\/","title":{"rendered":"Free MLB home run picks, odds for Sept. 21: Eugenio Suarez among best bets for Sunday HR player props"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Despite a midseason trade from the <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/mlb\/teams\/ARI\/arizona-diamondbacks\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Diamondbacks<\/a> to the <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/mlb\/teams\/SEA\/seattle-mariners\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Mariners<\/a>, <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/mlb\/players\/1960254\/eugenio-suarez\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Eugenio Suarez<\/a> is sitting on 47 home runs for the season entering a critical matchup on Sunday with the <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/mlb\/teams\/HOU\/houston-astros\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Astros<\/a>. Suarez&#8217;s career best is 49 home runs, so he has a chance to set a personal milestone and become the 35th different player in <a href=\"https:\/\/cbssports.com\/mlb\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">MLB<\/a> history to hit 50 or more home runs in a season if he can continue his recent hot streak. He&#8217;s hammered two home runs in his last four games and has seven hits during that span, yet is priced as high as +443 in the latest MLB home run odds.<\/p>\n<p>He&#8217;ll play in hitter-friendly Daikin Park tonight at 7:10 p.m. ET and is one of our top MLB HR picks for Sunday. MLB home run props are available for almost every player in every game at various\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/news\/best-betting-apps\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">sportsbooks<\/a>, and SportsLine&#8217;s proven computer model can help you find value for your\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/news\/mlb\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">MLB betting<\/a>\u00a0picks. New users can also use the latest <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/news\/draftkings-promo-code\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">DraftKings promo code<\/a>\u00a0to get\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/martech.cbssports.com\/bt\/redirect\/prod?b=draftkings&amp;c=sport\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" class=\"mtech-link\">$200 in bonus bets instantly plus over $200 off NFL Sunday Ticket<\/a>, and take advantage of one of the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/news\/sportsbook-promos\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">best sportsbook promos<\/a>:<\/p>\n<p>The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It&#8217;s up 25.45 units on its individual MLB HR picks this season after calling <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/mlb\/players\/29426033\/nick-kurtz\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Nick Kurtz<\/a> (+320) to homer on Friday, and it has hit two three-leg parlays paying at least 80-1. Now, the model and SportsLine&#8217;s team of Data Scientists have revealed their\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">betting<\/a>\u00a0projections for some of the most-bet MLB HR prop bets on Sunday.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/news\/inside-the-lines-best-bets\/live\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">You can find even more picks in their daily blog<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Best MLB home run picks for Sunday, September 21:<\/p>\n<p>MLB Best Home Run Bets 9\/21<\/p>\n<p>For more real-time, free picks every day:\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/news\/inside-the-lines-best-bets\/live\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Inside the Lines Blog<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Kyle Manzardo, Guardians (+360, BetMGM)<\/p>\n<p>This is a favorable matchup for Manzardo. He&#8217;s 3-for-4 with a HR in his career against Simeon Woods-Richardson. Manzardo has hit 23 of his 26 HRs this season in games where the opposing starter is right-handed. We set the line at +355 for Manzardo to homer, and you can also use the latest <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/news\/betmgm-promo-code\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">BetMGM promo code<\/a> to get up to <a href=\"https:\/\/martech.cbssports.com\/bt\/redirect\/prod?b=betmgm&amp;c=sport\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" class=\"mtech-link\">$1,500 back in bonus bets if your first bet loses<\/a>. \u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Nick Kurtz, Athletics (+443, DraftKings)<\/p>\n<p>We&#8217;re going back to Kurtz for a third day in a row with his line at +419 on DraftKings, as it&#8217;s as low as +320 on other books. <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/mlb\/teams\/PIT\/pittsburgh-pirates\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Pirates<\/a>&#8216; SP Mike Burrows has allowed 10 of his 12 HRs at home this season. While Burrows has been good against left-handed hitters, Kurtz is dominant against right-handed pitchers, and we give him the advantage here. We set the line at +300 for Kurtz to homer, and you can bet this prop at DraftKings to get\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/martech.cbssports.com\/bt\/redirect\/prod?b=draftkings&amp;c=sport\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" class=\"mtech-link\">$200 in bonus bets instantly plus over $200 off NFL Sunday Ticket<\/a>:<\/p>\n<p>Eugenio Suarez, Mariners (+419, DraftKings)<\/p>\n<p>Suarez is extremely streaky. After a stretch in which he went 0-for-28 at the plate, he now has 7 hits and 3 HRs over his last 4 games played. DraftKings has a bit of an outlier line here, as all other major books have Suarez below +400. Astros&#8217; SP <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/mlb\/players\/2846092\/jason-alexander\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Jason Alexander<\/a> has an .897 OPS against him in 8 home starts with 8 home runs allowed, compared to a .599 OPS and 4 HRs allowed in 8 road starts. We set Suarez&#8217;s line at +420 to homer. You can get <a href=\"https:\/\/martech.cbssports.com\/bt\/redirect\/prod?b=fanduel&amp;c=sport\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" class=\"mtech-link\">$300 in bonus bet if your first $5+ bet wins at FanDuel:<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Where to bet MLB props on Sunday<\/p>\n<p>Here is a look at\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/news\/best-betting-apps\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">betting sites<\/a>\u00a0that will offer MLB HR props on Sunday:\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>More MLB picks for Sunday\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>You&#8217;ve seen the model&#8217;s MLB HR prop picks for several players on Sunday. Now,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/mlb\/picks\/#ttag=09212025_agg_cbssports_picks_baseball_MLB_model_September21MLBHRPropsFree\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">get MLB projections for every player prop at SportsLine<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Need more from SportsLine?\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/experts\/51295899\/angelo-magliocca\/?league=mlb#ttag=09212025_agg_cbssports_picks_baseball_MLB_model_September21MLBHRPropsFree\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">See today&#8217;s best MLB picks from SportsLine&#8217;s Angelo Magliocca<\/a>, who is on a 79-56 roll (+1611) on MLB picks.\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Despite a midseason trade from the Diamondbacks to the Mariners, Eugenio Suarez is sitting on 47 home runs&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":45947,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[435],"tags":[495,49,48,491,1514,78928,462,4012,470,82],"class_list":["post-159431","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-mlb","tag-athletics","tag-ca","tag-canada","tag-cleveland-guardians","tag-eugenio-suarez","tag-kyle-manzardo","tag-mlb","tag-nick-kurtz","tag-seattle-mariners","tag-sports"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/159431","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=159431"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/159431\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/45947"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=159431"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=159431"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=159431"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}