{"id":167894,"date":"2025-09-25T07:23:30","date_gmt":"2025-09-25T07:23:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/167894\/"},"modified":"2025-09-25T07:23:30","modified_gmt":"2025-09-25T07:23:30","slug":"ufc-perth-odds-best-betting-props-parlays-and-picks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/167894\/","title":{"rendered":"UFC Perth odds: Best betting props, parlays and picks"},"content":{"rendered":"

UFC Perth <\/a>goes down this weekend (Sat., Sept. 27, 2025) inside RAC Arena in Perth, Australia. The main event features two rising Light Heavyweights with Carlos Ulberg vs. Dominick Reyes<\/a>, while Jimmy Crute vs. Ivan Erslan will serve as the co-headliner. This fight was elevated to this spot after Ibo Aslan vs. Junior Tafa fell by the wayside (full details here<\/a>).<\/p>\n

Rounding out ESPN+\u2019s main card on Saturday is Jack Jenkins vs. Ramon Taveras, Jake Matthews vs. Neil Magny and Tom Nolan vs. Charlie Campbell.<\/p>\n

UFC Perth\u2019s \u201cPrelims\u201d are headlined by Justin Tafa vs. Louis Sutherland. The \u201cPrelims\u201d will also feature Navajo Stirling vs. Rodolfo Bellato, Loma Lookboonmee vs. Alexia Thainara and Oban Elliott vs. Jonathan Micallef.<\/p>\n

As always, there\u2019s lots to bet on this card and we\u2019ve got odds for all the fights below:<\/p>\n

UFC Perth Main Card Money Line Odds<\/p>\n

\"Black<\/a><\/p>\n

Black Jag vs. Dominator is our UFC Perth main event. Paul Kane\/Zuffa LLC<\/p>\n

Carlos Ulberg (-265) vs. Dominick Reyes (+215)<\/p>\n

Ulberg got the best win of his career in March, taking a careful decision over Jan Blachowicz. This fight didn\u2019t showcase his explosive striking, like his knockouts over Alonzo Menifield (see that here<\/a>) and Tafon Nchukwi, but it did prove he knows how to win against good opposition in the Octagon.<\/p>\n

That was Ulberg\u2019s eighth win in a row and it followed his decision over Volkan Oezdemir. Those wins have Ulberg now at 12-1. The only loss was a technical knockout defeat to Kennedy Nzechukwu in his proper UFC debut.<\/p>\n

Reyes\u2019 comeback story has been one of the feel good stories of the past 18 months. It started in June last year when he finished Dustin Jacoby (see it here<\/a>) to snap a four-fight losing streak (that included three T\/KOs). After that, he finished Anthony Smith in Dec. 2024 and then, in April, he finished Nikita Krylov (see it here<\/a>).<\/p>\n

Reyes\u2019 resurgence has been a great story. However, when you look at those three fights, there\u2019s reasons to not get carried away.<\/p>\n

The win over Jacoby was solid. But, Jacoby was on a 1-3 run then, having lost to Menifield, Azamat Murzakanov and Khalil Rountree Jr., albeit all by decisions.<\/p>\n

The Smith fight was a weird one. This happened right after the death of Smith\u2019s best friend and corner man. Smith was in no shape to compete that night<\/a>. He wept on his way to the cage and seemed almost eager to take a beating.<\/p>\n

The Krylov fight was also a little strange. For some reason, Krylov was the favorite there, much to my bemusement. Krylov was coming off a two-year absence for that fight. He has since been slept in the first round by Bogdan Grad, too.<\/p>\n

When you consider all of that, Reyes\u2019 three-fight win streak isn\u2019t all that impressive. Ulberg\u2019s streak, on the other hand, looks pretty good. Blachowicz was coming off a two-year hiatus, too. But, a rusty Blachowicz is a far tougher opponent than a rusty Krylov, a bereft Smith or even a tip-top shape Jacoby.<\/p>\n

Based on the eye test in these recent fights, it\u2019s going to take a lot for me to pick Reyes in this one.<\/p>\n

Size-wise, these two are dead even in both height and reach. I would argue that Ulberg is the stronger and more athletic of the two, though, based on their physiques.<\/p>\n

Their striking stats are pretty similar. Ulberg lands 6.77 significant strikes a minute (the most in the division). Reyes lands close to that, with 5.58 (making him fifth in the division). Their accuracy is 55 and 54 percent, respectively. Ulberg absorbs 4.21 significant strikes per-minute. Reyes absorbs 3.54, Their defense is 51 and 50 percent, respectively.<\/p>\n

There\u2019s not a lot between them there.<\/p>\n

They are both also in the top ten for most knockdowns per 15 minutes in the Light Heavyweight division.<\/p>\n

A lot of these stats take into account Reyes\u2019 early success in UFC and this recent purple patch (which has some caveats, as I\u2019ve pointed out). Reyes\u2019 numbers are also inflated by his 121 significant strikes landed on Smith, who wasn\u2019t really defending himself (and who only offered up 49 total strike attempts of his own).<\/p>\n

Despite the similarities in these numbers, Ulberg feels like the better striker right now and someone who might show us the reason(s) Reyes had all those stoppage losses a few years ago.<\/p>\n

The round total for this fight is 2.5. The over is +120 and the under is -154. The bookies clearly think this fight won\u2019t go the distance and, reading between the lines, they think Ulberg is going to stop Reyes\u2019 quickly.<\/p>\n

I think they might be wrong there. Since the competition level has increased for Ulberg, he\u2019s become more of a sniper than a machine gunner. He\u2019s been very patient in the cage lately and it\u2019s worked for him. This fight could give him a title shot, so I don\u2019t think he\u2019s going to be blitzing Reyes in the first round. Reyes might bomb forwards himself and get slept on an early counter, but I really see this one getting into at least the third round.<\/p>\n

I think there\u2019s a good chance this goes to a decision, like Ulberg\u2019s past two fights. Ulberg to win by decision is +550 (he\u2019s -145 to win by KO\/TKO\/DQ). Five rounds is a long time for Reyes not to get stopped. So, I\u2019m not brave enough to bet on this going any deeper than that 2.5-3 round sweet spot I\u2019m picturing this fight potentially ending in.<\/p>\n

I have something more precise in my Long Shots section below, but for right here, I\u2019m happy to go with the simple over.<\/p>\n

Best bet: Over 2.5 rounds (+120)<\/p>\n

\"Jack<\/a><\/p>\n

Jack Jenkins looks to rebound at UFC Perth. Jeff Bottari\/Zuffa LLC<\/p>\n

Jack Jenkins (-278) vs. Ramon Taveras (+225)<\/p>\n

Jenkins has put on some fun brawls in UFC so far and his boxing (and leg kicks) are very easy on the eye. He lost his last fight, but that\u2019s because he ran up against Gabriel Santos. Mosquitinho is one of the best under-the-radar talents in UFC right now. So, I\u2019m not mad a Jenkins losing that fight by submission (see it here<\/a>). Prior to that, he blew away Herbert Burns.<\/p>\n

Taveras hasn\u2019t fought since Dec. 2024. That\u2019s when got out-worked by the savvy veteran Davey Grant. Prior to that, he took a split decision over Serhiy Sidey. He missed weight for that Bantamweight fight. That was the second time he missed the 136-pound limit. That\u2019s why he\u2019s fighting at Featherweight here.<\/p>\n

Despite Tavares coming up in weight, he\u2019ll be the bigger man in this fight. He\u2019ll also have two inches of reach.<\/p>\n

I don\u2019t think that\u2019s going to count for much, though.<\/p>\n

Tavares is a pretty one-dimensional fighter. He\u2019s a southpaw who wants to get inside the pocket and trade. When he does that, though, he gets hit more often than he lands. He has landed 4.62 significant strikes per-minute through four UFC fights. During those bouts he\u2019s absorbed 7.41 significant strikes a minute. That negative sig. strike differential is a huge red flag for me. Taveras has absorbed that many strikes despite having a pretty good defense at 57 percent. That means he\u2019s really inviting opponents to throw a lot of strikes his way. That\u2019s a bad recipe against someone like Jenkins, who has a 61 percent accuracy on his sig. strikes (and lands 4.5 a minute while only taking 2.97).<\/p>\n

Against Grant, Taveras took 147 significant strikes while landing just 69 of his own. Grant came at Taveras with a very diverse arsenal of strikes, landing 34 percent of his shots to the head, 28 percent to the body and 37 percent to the legs. 91 percent of Taveras\u2019 strikes were to the head.<\/p>\n

Jenkins loves a body shot and he has great leg kicks. I think we\u2019re going to see a repeat of that Grant fight here for Taveras. Jenkins also has some nice wrestling and grappling to fall back on if he gets in trouble. That doesn\u2019t seem to be the case for Taveras.<\/p>\n

I\u2019ll take Jenkins minus the points to get a bit more value here.<\/p>\n

Best bet: Jack Jenkins -3.5 (-120)<\/p>\n

\"Jimmy<\/a><\/p>\n

Jimmy Crute comes into UFC Perth off a win. Jonathan Bachman\/Getty Images<\/p>\n

Jimmy Crute (-185) vs. Ivan Erslan (+154)<\/p>\n

Crute got a quick armbar on Marcin Prachnio in July (see it here<\/a>). That followed his draw with Rodolfo Bellato. He almost finished Bellato in the first round, earning a 10-8. He lost the next two rounds, though. The Prachnio win was his first win since he beat Modestas Bukauskas in 2020.<\/p>\n

Erslan is yet to find his footing in UFC. So far he\u2019s lost decisions to Ion Cutelaba and Navajo Stirling. In the Stirling fight, he was out struck 110 to 36 on significant strikes.<\/p>\n

Erslan has some big knockouts in KSW and the like, but in UFC he\u2019s been very gun shy, landing just 2.5 significant strikes per-minute. I don\u2019t think he\u2019s going to be able to breakthrough in the promotion off the back of Crute, who should be able to avoid that lackluster offense and get this to the ground.<\/p>\n

Erslan was taken down three times on five attempts by Stirling. Cutelaba took him down three times, too (though he had 12 attempts at doing so).<\/p>\n

Crute is more of a submission threat than both Stirling and Cutelaba. I think he\u2019s probably going to be able to crawl into good positions on Erslan and spend a lot of time on top or on the back. He might get the finish there, but I think it\u2019s more likely he just sucks up a lot of control time and gets another win on home soil.<\/p>\n

Best bet: Jimmy Crute moneyline (-185)<\/p>\n

\"Jake<\/a><\/p>\n

Jake Matthews gets a home game at UFC Perth. Jeff Bottari\/Zuffa LLC<\/p>\n

Jake Matthews (-395) vs. Neil Magny (+310)<\/p>\n

Can you believe this fight hasn\u2019t happened yet?<\/p>\n

Matthews has fought 22 times in UFC. Magny has done it 35 times. They\u2019ve both been in the promotion since 2014 and have mostly been in the same weight class (Matthews was a Lightweight early on). Yet, this is the first time their paths are crossing.<\/p>\n

Matthews comes into this veteran match-up in better form. He submitted Chidi Njokuani in the first round in July. That\u2019s his third win in a row. His last loss was to Michael Morales, but it was by decision.<\/p>\n

Magny was stopped in the first round by Morales back in Aug. 2024. After that, he was stopped in the first round by Carlos Prates (see it here<\/a>). Most recently, he got a win over Elizeu Zaleski, with punches from back mount (see it here<\/a>).<\/p>\n

Zaleski looked pretty old and slow in that fight (and the previous one, too), so it\u2019s hard to get too excited about Magny based on that.<\/p>\n

Magny will have a lot of size on Matthews. He\u2019s four inches taller and has a seven inch reach advantage. Matthews is seven years younger, though. I think that makes up for the size disadvantage. Matthews also hasn\u2019t taken the amount of punishment Magny has over the past three years.<\/p>\n

Matthews just has one (technical) knockout loss in his career \u2014 a 2016 defeat to a prime Kevin Lee. His durability should help him get past Magny\u2019s jab and let him do some damage on the inside. Matthews is also good in the clinch, so I don\u2019t think Magny will be able to find much respite there or be able to get off much of his own offense like that.<\/p>\n

Matthews is one of the bigger favorite on the card. You can get him -3.5 for -165. I don\u2019t like that, because I can see a potential for some close rounds where not a lot seems to happen against the fence.<\/p>\n

The round total is 2.5. I think we\u2019re likely going to a decision here. Most of Matthews finishes are by submission and Magny is pretty good at defending those. He\u2019s only ever been submitted by elite grapplers (Gilbert Burns, Shavkat Rakhmonov, Rafael dos Anjos and Demian Maia).<\/p>\n

Best bet: Over 2.5 rounds (-140)<\/p>\n

\"Tom<\/a><\/p>\n

Tom Nolan gets a short notice opponent at UFC Perth. Jeff Bottari\/Zuffa LLC<\/p>\n

Tom Nolan (-155) vs. Charlie Campbell (+130)<\/p>\n

Nolan has had a somewhat odd UFC career to date. He came off Contender Series with a technical knockout over Bogdan Grad. He was then stopped by Nikolas Motta. In his next fight, he beat Victor Martinez as a -500 favorite. He then beat Alex Reyes as a -1100 favorite. Most recently he took a decision over Viacheslav Borshchev where he was at +100. He got touched up in all those wins.<\/p>\n

Campbell last fought in April, 2024; defeating Trevor Peek by decision. His other Octagon appearances are a technical knockout over Alex Reyes and a technical knockout loss to Chris Duncan (on Contender Series). He was supposed to fight Mauricio Ruffy in Nov. 2024, but had to pull out.<\/p>\n

I think this is a pretty close fight. Campbell handles pressure well and Nolan seems very susceptible to getting clipped on the counter.<\/p>\n

Campbell also has good wrestling (2.95 takedowns per 15 minutes) and we\u2019re yet to see Nolan really tested by that.<\/p>\n

The long lay-off for Campbell does concern me, though, along with the long trip \u201cDown Under.\u201d It\u2019s a shame he had that layoff because he looked great in the wins over Peek and Reyes. I\u2019m going to stick with Campbell here, since he seems like the better overall fighter and I\u2019m hoping that wins out over the situational things he has working against him.<\/p>\n

Best bet: Charlie Campbell moneyline (+130)<\/p>\n

\"Justin<\/a><\/p>\n

Justin Tafa draws a newcomer at UFC Perth. Jeff Bottari\/Zuffa LLC<\/p>\n

Justin Tafa (-118) vs. Louis Sutherland (-102)<\/p>\n

Tafa was easily dispatched of in his last fight thanks to Tallison Teixeira. The Brazilian prospect was able to get him out of there in 35 seconds (see it here<\/a>). Before that, Tafa was decisioned by Karl Williams (who now bores us over in PFL). Tafa\u2019s last win was a technical knockout over Austen Lane back in 2023.<\/p>\n

Sutherland, meanwhile, was the Heavyweight champ at Levels Fight League. That\u2019s a Euro promotion that\u2019s a wrung below KSW, OKTAGON and Cage Warriors. He\u2019s had some looks in PFL\/Bellator, though. He\u2019s 1-2 in those organizations.<\/p>\n

Who knows\u2019 what we\u2019re going to get out of the Vanilla Gorilla (Sutherland)?<\/p>\n

I guess you have to go Tafa, since he\u2019s got the home soil advantage and he\u2019s been under these bright lights before.<\/p>\n

Either way, hopefully it\u2019s over quickly. A long dull Heavyweight bout is the worst possible way to start a main card.<\/p>\n

Best bet: Justin Tafa moneyline (-118)<\/p>\n

UFC Perth \u2018Prelims\u2019 Under Card Odds<\/p>\n

\"Rodolfo<\/a><\/p>\n

Rodolfo Bellato\u2019s next performance is scheduled for UFC Perth. Cooper Neill\/Zuffa LLC<\/p>\n

Navajo Stirling (-238) vs. Rodolfo Bellato (+195)<\/p>\n

Stirling is still yet to launch as a top Light Heavyweight prospect despite being 2-0 in UFC (not counting his win in Contender Series). Both his wins under the big lights, decisions versus Ivan Erslan and Tuco Tokkos, have done little to excite fans and have them clamoring for him to get a big step up in competition.<\/p>\n

Bellato comes into this one after pretty much faking a fugue state <\/a>in the cage during his fight with Paul Craig. My take? I think Bellato saw that Craig had hit him with an illegal upkick and that he thought he might be able to turn that into a point deduction. However, that harebrained scheme led to an escalation that was out of his control. That \u201cNo Contest\u201d followed a draw with Jimmy Crute (where Bellato was almost finished \u2014 for realsies \u2014 in the first round).<\/p>\n

This fight has stinker written all over it.<\/p>\n

However, if Stirling\u2019s lacklustre performances are due to him slowly getting comfortable out there, maybe we see him actually start to deliver on his hype (and put his crazy proportions to good use).<\/p>\n

It\u2019s really hard to side with Bellato after that past performance and I\u2019m a little stunned he\u2019s been retained by the company. I think that might be a sign that Dana White isn\u2019t paying much attention nowadays (remember what he did to Pedro Nobre?<\/a>).<\/p>\n

Past antics aside, Bellato eats six significant strikes per-minute and has a 45 percent defense against them. Stirling\u2019s 79-inch reach and 6.43 significant strikes landed a minute should help him out hit Bellato and earn another ho-hum decision.<\/p>\n

Best bet: Navajo Stirling moneyline (-238)<\/p>\n

\"Alexia<\/a><\/p>\n

Alexia Thainara might bring some fun to UFC Perth. Jeff Bottari\/Zuffa LLC<\/p>\n

Loma Lookboonmee (+195) vs. Alexia Thainara (-238)<\/p>\n

Lookboonmee inched her way past Istela Nunes in her last fight, earning the nod thanks to a trio of takedowns. That was her fourth win in a row. Her best win in that stretch is the decision she earned over power-hitter Denise Gomes.<\/p>\n

Thainara, on the other hand, retired Molly McCann in her last fight. She choked out \u201cMeatball\u201d in round one in front of her home crowd (see it here<\/a>). She then flew across the cage and twerked on the canvas. She\u2019s a character. And she might be a good fighter, too.<\/p>\n

Vegas is riding with Thainara and so am I.<\/p>\n

I enjoy Lookboonmee\u2019s patient Muay Thai striking approach, but I think Thainara is going to be too chaotic for her to piece apart from range. I think Thainara will be in her face and forcing her into uncomfortable positions. Thainara\u2019s efforts to do this will be aided by her six-inch reach advantage.<\/p>\n

Lookboonmee has good takedown defense, but Thainara is a lot bigger than her. I think she gets her down and gets the submission.<\/p>\n

Best bet: Under 2.5 rounds (+200)<\/p>\n

Betting on sports involves risk, so please only wager amounts you can afford to lose. If you or someone you know if struggling with gambling help can be found with the organizations listed below:<\/p>\n

USA: National Problem Gambling Helpline \u2014 Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER to receive support and learn about available services.UK: GamCare – Call 0808 8020 133 to speak to an advisor about gambling (or visit gamecare.org.uk for live chat and forum options).Canada: Visit responsiblegambling.org for resources on helplines in Canada\u2019s various provinces and territories.Australia\/New Zealand: National Gambling Helpline \u2014 Call (800) 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.\"Oban<\/a><\/p>\n

Oban Elliott will look to get back to winning ways at UFC Perth. Chris Unger\/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images<\/p>\n

Jonathan Micallef (+102) vs. Oban Elliott (-122)<\/p>\n

Micallef looked great in his proper UFC debut back at UFC 312<\/a> in Sydney. He used his kicking game to unsettle and out-score Kevin Jousset. That fight ended up landing Jousset in Professional Fighters League (PFL).<\/p>\n

Elliott had the opposite experience to Micallef in his last fight. He was totally out-classed by Seok Hyeon Ko, who was making his proper UFC debut. Elliott had been preparing for Ramiz Brahimaj and looked totally shell shocked by the wrestling and striking of Ko, who I think might have had one of the more impressive UFC debuts ever.<\/p>\n

Micallef is an excellent range fighter and he\u2019ll have a commanding reach advantage over Elliott. He\u2019s got a 77-inch reach (five inches longer than Elliott). But, his legs are long, too, and his constant body kicks and front kicks are going to prevent Elliott settling down into his boxing game.<\/p>\n

And I don\u2019t think Elliott has the wrestling game to prevent Micallef spamming kicks the way he did against Jousset.<\/p>\n

Micallef showed a lot of character in the Jousset fight, too. He was very composed and controlled in his debut, despite it being in a big arena with a partisan crowd on his side. In Elliott\u2019s last fight, he looked broken once he saw things weren\u2019t going his way against Ko. I fear that, if Micallef has early success with his kicks, we might see Elliott\u2019s head drop again.<\/p>\n

Best bet: Jonathan Micallef moneyline (+102)<\/p>\n

\"Andre<\/a><\/p>\n

Andre Petroski is making a long trip to down under for UFC Perth. Cooper Neill\/Zuffa LLC<\/p>\n

Cam Rowston (+124) vs. Andre Petroski (-148)<\/p>\n

Rowston is another City Kickboxing fighter on the card. He\u2019s also coming off Contender Series with a first round technical knockout. He lost on Contender Series in 2024 against Torrez Finney. He has the rather excellent nickname of \u201cBattle Giraffe.\u201d<\/p>\n

Petroski is getting a relatively short turnaround here. He lost a decision to Edmen Shahbazyan in June. He was thoroughly out-struck in that fight and got too banged up to do anything productive with his wrestling. Prior to that, he took a very comfortable decision over Rodolfo Vieira.<\/p>\n

This feels like Petroski told his manager, or UFC, that he just wanted to get back out there as soon as possible to try and erase the result against Shahbazyan. History has shown that\u2019s not always the best idea.<\/p>\n

Even so, Petroski is a much more finished article than Rowston is. Rowston had trouble with a relentless wrestler in the form of Finney. He\u2019s probably going to struggle against Petroski, too.<\/p>\n

Best bet: Andre Petroski moneyline (-148)<\/p>\n

\"Colby<\/a><\/p>\n

Colby Thicknesse gets his second Octagon appearance at UFC Perth. Jeff Bottari\/Zuffa LLC<\/p>\n

Colby Thicknesse (+136) vs. Josias Musasa (-162)<\/p>\n

Thicknesse \u2014 protege of Alexander Volkanovski \u2014 came in on short notice for his debut to fight Aleksandre Topuria (brother of Ilia Topuria). He was a game opponent in that fight, but dropped a unanimous decision. That was his first professional loss.<\/p>\n

Musasa was an -800 favorite in his UFC debut against Carlos Vera. That was after winning his UFC contract with a split decision on Contender Series. Vera schooled him, hurting him on the feet and then submitting him for the big win. That was Musasa\u2019s first pro loss.<\/p>\n

Thicknesse was signed by UFC as a solid to Volaknovski and to get them out of a pinch. He probably got his second appearance as a thank you for stepping up on short notice. I don\u2019t think this match-up is very kind to him, though.<\/p>\n

Musasa looked terrible in his last fight, which he missed weight for. He kind of sleep walked his way through that fight before getting hurt. It makes you wonder if he was carrying an injury.<\/p>\n

In this fight he\u2019ll have a five inch reach advantage. I think that\u2019s going to be significant and he\u2019s going to get a similar finish to what he\u2019s gotten on the regional circuit (against essentially a regional circuit fighter here).<\/p>\n

Best bet: Josias Musasa moneyline (-162)<\/p>\n

\"Jamie<\/a><\/p>\n

Jamie Mullarkey returns at UFC Perth. Mike Roach\/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images<\/p>\n

Jamie Mullarkey (-108) vs. Rodolfo Bedoya (+112)<\/p>\n

Mullarkey took a long break after Mauricio Ruffy used him as a springboard to stardom back in May 2024. Mullarkey lost that fight via a first round flying knee (see it here<\/a>). Prior to that, he was KO\u2019d in the first round by Nasrat Haqparast.<\/p>\n

Bedoya is on a three-fight losing streak with all decisions. Last time out, he lost to Jai Herbert in Abu Dhabi back in Aug. 2024.<\/p>\n

Both these guys are desperate for a win. Both are brawlers, too, who will want to throw some leather. I worry for Mullarkey in that scenario. Bedoya is the more durable fighter (he\u2019s never been finished).<\/p>\n

Mullarkey has the better wrestling. Is he smart enough to use that, though? Or, is he just going to bite down on his mouthpiece and be willing to go out on his shield, again.<\/p>\n

Sadly, I\u2019m going to air on the side of Mullarkey choosing to do the wrong thing.<\/p>\n

Best bet: Rodolfo Bedoya moneyline (+112)<\/p>\n

\"Michelle<\/a><\/p>\n

Michelle Montague trades the SmartCage for the Octagon at UFC Perth. Leonardo Fernandez\/Getty Images<\/p>\n

Michelle Montague (-218) vs. Luana Carolina (+180)<\/p>\n

Montague is a Kiwi who has been signed over from PFL. I\u2019m sure PFL would have wanted to keep her. The undefeated fighter is 5-0 across PFL and Bellator appearances. The best name on her record is Claressa Shields-slayer Abby Montes. She\u2019s moving down from Featherweight for this Bantamweight fight.<\/p>\n

Carolina is 11-4 and is on a three-fight win streak. She\u2019s beaten Lucie Pudilova, Julija Stoliarenko and Ivana Petrovic. She\u2019s moving up from Flyweight for this fight.<\/p>\n

Both women are the same size with the same reach, so I don\u2019t think Montague will have any size advantage over Carolina, despite coming down in weight to meet her.<\/p>\n

I\u2019d rather be the person coming up a weight class than going down. That, plus Carolina having lots of Octagon experience has me siding with the Brazilian. That\u2019s in spite of this being a quasi home game for Montague. Carolina has lots of experience fighting on the road, though.<\/p>\n

Best bet: Luana Carolina moneyline (+180)<\/p>\n

\"We<\/a><\/p>\n

We don\u2019t have pictures of these guys in the database, so here\u2019s a shot from Australia\u2019s Great Barrier Reef instead. Reinhard Dirscherlullstein bild via Getty Images<\/p>\n

Brando Pericic (-198) vs. Elisha Ellison (+164)<\/p>\n

Pericic is a local fighter out of City Kickboxing. He\u2019s big boy, too, at 6\u2019 5.\u201d He\u2019s coming into the big show with a 4-1 record and all finishes. His loss is a submission to Randall Rayment in a HEX Fight Series Heavyweight title fight.<\/p>\n

Ellison, who fights out of Washington state, is 5-1, with all stoppages. His lone loss is also a submission, at something called Muckleshoot Fight Night.<\/p>\n

This was supposed to be a Contender Series fight. Instead of an hour flight to Vegas, Ellison is going half way around the world for this one. That, and HEX being a better proving ground than what-the-fuckleshoot, has me siding with Vegas and going with Brando for the win-o.<\/p>\n

Best bet: Brando Pericic moneyline (-198)<\/p>\n

\"Will<\/a><\/p>\n

Will Ulberg score a big KO at UFC Perth? Jeff Bottari\/Zuffa LLC<\/p>\n

Here\u2019s a couple of long shots for Saturday\u2019s action \u2026<\/p>\n

Carlos Ulberg to Win by KO\/TKO\/DQ in Round 3 (+900)<\/p>\n

Ulberg has shown himself to be more patient lately and Reyes has shown himself to be more durable. I think Ulberg is the better fighter in this match-up, though. And I think, even if he is picking his shots carefully, he\u2019ll eventually get through to Reyes\u2019 chin.<\/p>\n

Jimmy Crute by Submission, Round 1 (+500)<\/p>\n

I think we could see a repeat of Crute\u2019s last fight, where he blitzes, fumbles and finds a sub on a dry opponent. Erslan is yet to show he\u2019s cut out for this level and he was taken down, with ease, by Stirling in his last fight.<\/p>\n

Five-Fight Parlay: All ANZACs on the Main Card (+584)<\/p>\n

Mexico showed up at Noche UFC 3<\/a>! I like all the Aussies and the one Kiwi (Ulberg) on this main card to win. Let\u2019s put them all together and see if we get something similar to what happened last week.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

LIGHT HEAVYWEIGHT HOSTILITIES!<\/a> Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) returns to RAC Arena in Perth, Australia, on Sat., Sept. 27, 2025, for UFC Perth, with a stacked ESPN+ fight card<\/a>. In the main event, rising Light Heavyweight contender, Carlos Ulberg, faces resurgent former 205-pound title challenger<\/a>, Dominick Reyes, in a high-stakes clash scheduled for five, five-minute rounds. In UFC Perth\u2019s co-headliner, Australian favorite, Jimmy Crute, takes on Croatian powerhouse, Ivan Erslan, both of whom are vying for a pivotal win in the 205-pound division. All that and SO MUCH MORE!<\/p>\n

Read More<\/p>\n

Remember that MMAmania.com<\/a> will deliver LIVE round-by-round, blow-by-blow coverage of the entire UFC Perth fight card<\/a>, starting with the ESPN+<\/a> \u201cPrelims\u201d matches online, which are scheduled to begin at 7 p.m. ET, before the main card start time at 10 p.m. ET (also on ESPN+<\/a>).<\/p>\n

To checkout the latest and greatest UFC Perth: \u201cUlberg vs. Reyes\u201d news and notes be sure to hit up our comprehensive event archive right here<\/a>.<\/p>\n

0 Comments<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"UFC Perth goes down this weekend (Sat., Sept. 27, 2025) inside RAC Arena in Perth, Australia. The main…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":167895,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[444],"tags":[49,48,641,638,82,37644,17056,17055,8729],"class_list":["post-167894","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-mma","tag-ca","tag-canada","tag-fighting","tag-mma","tag-sports","tag-ufc-on-espn-fight-night","tag-ufc-odds","tag-ufc-predictions","tag-ufc-previews"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/167894","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=167894"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/167894\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/167895"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=167894"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=167894"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=167894"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}