{"id":187426,"date":"2025-10-03T13:08:15","date_gmt":"2025-10-03T13:08:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/187426\/"},"modified":"2025-10-03T13:08:15","modified_gmt":"2025-10-03T13:08:15","slug":"absence-of-new-u-s-jobs-data-disrupts-wall-streets-effort-to-read-the-economy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/187426\/","title":{"rendered":"Absence of new U.S. jobs data disrupts Wall Street\u2019s effort to read the economy"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a style=\"display:block\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/resizer\/v2\/BDSZYAHUOZNLJFFQM4BIYWANJE.jpg?auth=c3082a2c33237334577773120b5b6df7619b6a46f987ba7b75d16f67d744f899&amp;width=600&amp;height=400&amp;quality=80&amp;smart=true\" aria-haspopup=\"true\" data-photo-viewer-index=\"0\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Open this photo in gallery:<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"figcap-text\">Pedestrians walk past a &#8216;Now Hiring&#8217; sign in Arlington, Va., in 2022. An absence of new U.S. jobs data will upend the work of many on Wall Street.STEFANI REYNOLDS\/AFP\/Getty Images<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">The release of U.S. jobs data typically has traders and investors glued to their screens at 8:30 am waiting for the all-important numbers. This Friday, however, is giving some a sudden surplus of free time along with the problem of trying to piece together the economic jigsaw puzzle from other sources. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">With the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/world\/us-politics\/article-us-government-shutdown-trump-furlough-meaning-flight-delays\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/world\/us-politics\/article-us-government-shutdown-trump-furlough-meaning-flight-delays\/\">U.S. government shutting down<\/a> much of its operations on Wednesday as deep partisan divisions prevented Congress and the White House from reaching a funding deal, the U.S. Labour Department will suspend economic data releases, including the closely watched monthly employment report, due Friday.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">Cue an unusual quiet on trading floors and in investment firms.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">\u201cFriday does have all the makings of a rather long lunch somewhere now,\u201d quipped Michael Brown, senior research strategist at Pepperstone in London. For him, the report would normally land in the afternoon.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">The data disruption will upend the usual Friday routine for many on Wall Street.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">\u201cUsually economists and strategists are dialled in at 8:30 in the morning; now you can potentially get some other work done,\u201d Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at Manulife John Hancock Investments, said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">\u201cIt\u2019ll be nice to have a Friday morning where your eye\u2019s not twitching waiting minutes until that jobs report hits,\u201d Miskin said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text mv-16 l-inset text-pb-8\" data-sophi-feature=\"interstitial\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/business\/article-bay-street-ma-league-tables-takeovers-debt-stock\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Bay Street reaps the rewards from a deluge of takeovers, stock sales and debt deals<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">Still, the timing is awkward. Investors are laser-focused on the labour market for clues to how the Federal Reserve\u2019s newly-resumed rate cutting efforts might unfold. It also comes not long after a market-shocking weak scorecard on U.S. jobs prompted President Donald Trump to fire a top Labour Department official.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">\u201cA few weeks ago we were questioning the accuracy of the data, and now all of a sudden we can\u2019t live without it,\u201d Michael Arone, chief investment strategist at State Street Investment Management, said. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">It\u2019s not just trading desks that will miss the familiar ritual. Social media usually lights up with #NFP and #NFPguessposts, a reference to the closely watched nonfarm payrolls figure. Those posts can number 10,000 to 50,000, in the 24 hours around the release, with activity spiking on big surprises, according to Grok, an AI chatbot on X.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">For Interactive Brokers Chief Strategist Steve Sosnick, a frequent guest on financial news shows breaking down the U.S. jobs report, Friday will be different.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">\u201cI\u2019ll just sleep in,\u201d he joked about his plans for Friday.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">For others, like James Cordier, head trader at Alternative Options, far from affording extra sleep, the lack of data can spell sleepless nights, he said. Should the data drought last beyond mid October, Cordier, who trades commodities, might have to prematurely close trades because the risk of keeping them in place in the absence of data is too great.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">Interactive Brokers\u2019 Sosnick said missing out on the payrolls update was particularly problematic.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">\u201cIt is really sort of the king of the numbers, so to speak. The king, I guess, takes a vacation now.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">The data disruption, something that hasn\u2019t happened since the 2013 government shutdown delayed the employment report by a couple of weeks, could even make traders more jumpy.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">\u201cInvestors will fill the informational void left by the government shutdown with new trading narratives based on incomplete and misleading private-sector data releases, unfounded anecdotes, and flimsy rumours,\u201d Karl Schamotta, chief market strategist with payments company Corpay in Toronto, said<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">\u201cThe risk of overreaction will grow.\u201d <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Open this photo in gallery: Pedestrians walk past a &#8216;Now Hiring&#8217; sign in Arlington, Va., in 2022. An&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":187427,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[901,888,902,879,877,903,45,49,48,876,895,896,891,878,875,46,549,295,894,887,914,880,881,893,889,890,884,904,885,909,910,912,907,911,905,908,882,898,899,714,897,906,865,61,900,892,886,883,913],"class_list":["post-187426","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-business","tag-alberta","tag-arts-news","tag-bc","tag-breaking-news","tag-breaking-news-video","tag-british-columbia","tag-business","tag-ca","tag-canada","tag-canada-news","tag-canada-sports","tag-canada-sports-news","tag-canada-trafficcanada-weather","tag-canadian-breaking-news","tag-canadian-news","tag-economy","tag-education","tag-environment","tag-federal-government","tag-foreign-news","tag-globe-and-mail","tag-globe-and-mail-breaking-news","tag-globe-and-mail-canada-news","tag-government","tag-life-news","tag-lifestyle","tag-local-news","tag-manitoba","tag-national-news","tag-new-brunswick","tag-newfoundland-and-labrador","tag-northwest-territories","tag-nova-scotia","tag-nunavut","tag-ontario","tag-pei","tag-photos","tag-political-news","tag-political-opinion","tag-politics","tag-politics-news","tag-quebec","tag-sports-news","tag-technology","tag-travel","tag-trudeau","tag-us-news","tag-world-news","tag-yukon"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/187426","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=187426"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/187426\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/187427"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=187426"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=187426"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=187426"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}