{"id":202329,"date":"2025-10-10T09:31:13","date_gmt":"2025-10-10T09:31:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/202329\/"},"modified":"2025-10-10T09:31:13","modified_gmt":"2025-10-10T09:31:13","slug":"mma-dfs-and-betting-breakdown-ufc-fight-night-5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/202329\/","title":{"rendered":"MMA DFS and Betting Breakdown: UFC Fight Night"},"content":{"rendered":"

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\"Kowalkiewicz<\/p>\n

Liam Heslin (aka LiamPicksFights) is a massive combat sports fan with over a decade of experience competing in wrestling and grappling martial arts. For each UFC event, he produces the MMA DFS<\/a> and sports betting<\/a> breakdown for RotoGrinders.<\/p>\n

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The octagon returns to Rio de Janeiro with a card headlined by the beloved former lightweight champion and global superstar, Charles \u201cDo Bronx\u201d Oliveira (23-11 UFC) across from fellow grappling ace and suitable short-notice replacement Mateusz Gamrot (8-3 UFC). The Polish \u201cGamer\u201d is looking to establish himself as a threat to the lightweight crown while Oliveira is looking to reassert himself atop the division he once ruled over.<\/p>\n

Editor\u2019s Note: Analysis of remaining fights is coming soon.<\/p>\n

Note: All DFS salaries listed are from DraftKings & all odds quoted are from FanDuel Sportsbook.<\/a><\/p>\n

Editor\u2019s Note: Looking for more places to play? Check out our Underdog promo code<\/a> and PrizePicks promo code<\/a>, two of the best DFS apps<\/a> available today.<\/p>\n

MMA DFS and Betting Breakdown: UFC Fight Night \u2013 Oliveira vs. Gamrot Luan Lacerda ($8,900) vs. Saimon Oliveira ($7,300) <\/p>\n

Fight Odds: -250 Lacerda vs. +198 Oliveira
Weight Class: 135lb. (Bantamweight)<\/p>\n

\"SaimonOliveiraUFC\"\/<\/p>\n

Luan Lacerda (0-2 UFC) and Saimon Oliveira (0-3 UFC) are both winless in the organization and looking to give the matchmakers a reason to give them another contract. With a typical four-fight contract, maximal pressure is on Saimon Oliveira here as a loss could mean the end of his UFC journey. Neither man has been impressive yet inside the octagon, but they have been losing against credible opponents. Lacerda hasn\u2019t competed in more than two years, but his two losses in the big show were in early 2023 against Cody Stamann (7-7-1 UFC) in his January debut and Da\u2019Mon Blackshear (5-4-1 UFC) in June. Lacerda has decent technique, but he has never recorded a win by knockout, he has lost by all methods of victory in martial arts, and his reliance on the submission may cost him against a fighter who has never been submitted.<\/p>\n

Saimon Oliveira is 0-3 in the UFC, but he does boast an impressive 11-0 professional record to the submission prop. His losses came against stiff competition in the forms of Tony Gravely (4-4 UFC), Daniel Marcos (4-1 UFC), and David Martinez (2-0 UFC; #11 ranked bantamweight). What jumps off the page breaking down this fight is that Oliveira has 24 pro fights compared to just 15 for Lacerda, he has never been submitted (unlike Lacerda), he has 5 wins by KO\/TKO (compared to 0 for Lacerda), and he fought earlier this year in March of 2025. Oliveira has a potent front head lock series, he can snatch up guillotines, and his 16-2 record in fights that end inside the distance shows that he can find fight-ending positions.<\/p>\n

I think both of these guys have a lot to prove in the UFC, but I will trust the recent activity, the depth of professional experience, and the more proven KO upside with Saimon Oliveira.<\/p>\n

Prediction: Saimon Oliveira defeats Luan Lacerda via Stoppage \u2013 <\/p>\n

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This content can help you make better MMA DFS picks To access this content, subscribe to MMA Premium or purchase a 3-day trial. An MMA subscription will allow you to access this content and much more! Buy MMA Premium!<\/a> <\/p>\n

About the Author <\/p>\n

\"LiamPicksFights\" Liam Heslin (LiamPicksFights)<\/a> <\/p>\n

Liam (aka LiamPicksFights) is a massive combat sports fan with over a decade of experience competing in wrestling and grappling martial arts. Each week, he produces original content about the world of mixed martial arts from a betting perspective alongside an ever-changing panel of guest handicappers. When he\u2019s not handicapping fights or producing content, he\u2019s training jiu-jitsu, coaching youth wrestling, or daydreaming about doing one of the former. Follow Liam on Twitter \u2013 @LiamPicksFights<\/a> <\/p>\n