{"id":207781,"date":"2025-10-12T15:42:12","date_gmt":"2025-10-12T15:42:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/207781\/"},"modified":"2025-10-12T15:42:12","modified_gmt":"2025-10-12T15:42:12","slug":"nascar-south-point-400-picks-predictions-odds-how-to-watch-las-vegas-speedway-race","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/207781\/","title":{"rendered":"NASCAR South Point 400 Picks, Predictions, Odds &#038; How to Watch Las Vegas Speedway Race"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Hamlin on pole: Vegas might finally reward a guy who\u2019s been rolling all season<\/p>\n<p>Reddick &amp; Elliott: Quietly positioned to cash while the books overrate a playoff pest<\/p>\n<p>Playoff drama ahead: Vegas is set to shake up the Round of 8 \u2014 read below for our top fades and value plays<\/p>\n<p>The Round of 8 fires up in Sin City, where the South Point 400 will deal the first hand of the semifinal round. Denny Hamlin starts on the pole, where he\u2019ll be joined by 2025\u2019s surprise qualifying ace, Chase Briscoe. Christopher Bell and Chase Elliott share the second row, which sounds less like a NASCAR lineup and more like a pair of dudes you\u2019d see covering Morgan Wallen songs in a Freemont street bar.<\/p>\n<p>We go green at 5:30 pm Eastern. The desert air, thin margins and \u2013 even worse \u2013 pit strategy will decide who cashes in first on the road to Phoenix.<\/p>\n<p>South Point 400 Odds<\/p>\n<p>Four drivers are priced at +550 or shorter to win: Kyle Larson (+350), Denny Hamlin (+450), Christopher Bell (+450), and William Byron (+550). No other drivers are shorter than +800. Those same four are the only odds-on favorites in the top-five finish odds. <\/p>\n<p> Odds as of 9:06am, October 12 at DraftKings. Claim the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsbettingdime.com\/promos\/draftkings\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">DraftKings promo code<\/a> to bet on the South Point 400. <\/p>\n<p>Ryan Blaney (+386) is the outright favorite in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsbettingdime.com\/racing\/futures\/nascar-cup-series-odds\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">odds to win the NASCAR Cup Series <\/a>this season, followed closely by Hamlin (+426), Larson (+449), and Bell (+494)<\/p>\n<p>How to Watch South Point 400<\/p>\n<p>For viewers in the United States, the South Point 400 will air live on USA Network and HBO Max at 2:30 pm PT\/5:30 pm ET. <\/p>\n<p>Viewers in Canada can watch the race live on TSN, or stream it live on <a class=\"thirstylink\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"Fubo TV\" href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsbettingdime.com\/go\/fubotv\/\" data-shortcode=\"true\" target=\"_blank\">Fubo TV<\/a>. <\/p>\n<p>South Point 400 Betting Preview<\/p>\n<p>Las Vegas Motor Speedway is the last of the cookie-cutter ovals we\u2019ll see this season. It is a 1.5-mile tri-oval with 20 degrees of banking and plenty of character. Goodyear is rolling out the same right-side tire compound that debuted in Kansas two weeks ago. It is being paired with a left-side compound that\u2019s been a frequent flyer in 2025. That particular Kansas race will be our best comp, though we\u2019ll also be pulling data from the other mile-and-a-half tracks over the past two seasons.<\/p>\n<p>After Charlotte\u2019s ROVAL chewed up and spit out Ross Chastain, Austin Cindric, Tyler Reddick, and Bubba Wallace, the playoff deck has been reshuffled. Christopher Bell (-4), Chase Elliott (-14), Chase Briscoe (-14), and Joey Logano (-24) now make up the undercard below the cutline, while Denny Hamlin, Ryan Blaney, Kyle Larson, and William Byron are the four sitting (relatively) safe\u2026at least until Vegas does what Vegas does.<\/p>\n<p>South Point 400 Picks &amp; Best Bets<\/p>\n<p>Let\u2019s fade Joey Logano, the playoff pest that laughs in the face of logic, stats, and mildly aggressive wishful thinking. On our strongest Vegas comparative track \u2014 same tire compound, same type of chaos \u2014 Reddick and Elliott outperformed him in every meaningful metric. That said, one race result is never enough to justify a bet.<\/p>\n<p>Kansas Fall 2025 Key Speed Matrics<\/p>\n<p>Digging a little deeper across all 2025 comparative tracks, the story doesn\u2019t change: Logano isn\u2019t flashing any lights that say \u201cPotential Vegas winner\u201d today.<\/p>\n<p>2025 Comparable Track Speed Metrics<\/p>\n<p>Alright, alright \u2014 fine. But Logano was the Series Champion in 2024. You probably want all that history, too. Here\u2019s the data. Spoiler alert: it doesn\u2019t save him and our fade stands.<\/p>\n<p>2024\/25 Comparable Track Speed Metrics<\/p>\n<p>The story is clear: Joey Logano is getting a power-ratings bump among bookmakers simply because he\u2019s a playoff driver. If it\u2019s a choice between trusting their numbers or ours, we\u2019ll take ours every time. We\u2019ve got Logano projected to finish 16.1, Reddick 6.6, and Elliott 10.5. We\u2019ll look to capitalize on the DraftKings bean-counter\u2019s oversight and snag a few prices that are too good to pass up. <\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"300\" height=\"40\" src=\"https:\/\/www.sportsbettingdime.com\/app\/uploads\/2025\/01\/sbd-newsletter-logo.svg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-658480\" style=\"width:220px\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"font-display-bold mt-2 mb-2 has-3-xl-font-size\">Sign Up for SBD\u2019s Newsletter Now<\/p>\n<p>Did you want the latest sports betting news, analysis, picks, betting trends, and relevant data straight to your inbox? If so, you\u2019ll want to subscribe to SBD\u2019s newsletter now!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Hamlin on pole: Vegas might finally reward a guy who\u2019s been rolling all season Reddick &amp; Elliott: Quietly&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":207782,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[446],"tags":[49,48,634,82],"class_list":{"0":"post-207781","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-nascar","8":"tag-ca","9":"tag-canada","10":"tag-nascar","11":"tag-sports"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/207781","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=207781"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/207781\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/207782"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=207781"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=207781"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=207781"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}