{"id":212574,"date":"2025-10-14T15:10:11","date_gmt":"2025-10-14T15:10:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/212574\/"},"modified":"2025-10-14T15:10:11","modified_gmt":"2025-10-14T15:10:11","slug":"2026-nfl-draft-order-projections-jets-on-track-for-no-1-bengals-move-into-top-10","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/212574\/","title":{"rendered":"2026 NFL Draft order projections: Jets on track for No. 1, Bengals move into top 10"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>How did Week 6 of the NFL season impact the projected 2026 draft order?<\/p>\n<p>To get an update on where things stand, we turn to Austin Mock\u2019s projections. Mock projects the score for every game and the final winning percentage for every team using his NFL betting model.<\/p>\n<p>The model phases out older data and uses this year\u2019s data as the season progresses. The simulation then runs 100,000 times after each day of games to give us, in this case, our projected top 10 draft order, plus each team\u2019s projected win total and playoff chances.<\/p>\n<p>Here\u2019s our latest projected top 10:<\/p>\n<p>Projected top 10 (as of Oct. 14)<\/p>\n<p>Here are some thoughts about our latest top 10 projection:<\/p>\n<p>1. So \u2026 which QB do you like for the Jets?<\/p>\n<p>Ultimately, there might not be a quarterback atop the rankings of our in-house draft expert, Dane Brugler \u2014 he\u2019s been high on Caleb Downs, Rueben Bain Jr., Arvell Reese, Spencer Fano and Francis Mauigoa, among others. However, we know how drastically desperation at the game\u2019s most crucial position can shift a franchise\u2019s draft plans, and it\u2019s fair to say the New York Jets are at that point.<\/p>\n<p>Even though Aaron Glenn brushed off <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/6711066\/2025\/10\/12\/justin-fields-aaron-glenn-jets-starter-question\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">the possibility of benching Justin Fields<\/a> (and the Jets gave Fields $30 million guaranteed this past offseason), there might not be a mock draft between now and April that has New York taking something\u00a0other than a quarterback.<\/p>\n<p>The tricky part: There\u2019s no clear QB1 in this class. Brugler\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/6700135\/2025\/10\/09\/nfl-draft-2026-position-rankings-qb-rb-edge\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">updated positional rankings<\/a> had Oregon\u2019s Dante Moore, South Carolina\u2019s LaNorris Sellers and Indiana\u2019s Fernando Mendoza in the top three, respectively, and LSU\u2019s Garrett Nussemeier or Alabama\u2019s Ty Simpson could also climb. Would any of those players move the needle enough for the Jets? Will another quarterback prospect emerge down the stretch?<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ll see. The Jets need something to break their way.<\/p>\n<p>2. Don\u2019t bury Baltimore just yet<\/p>\n<p>Sure, the Baltimore Ravens are in an awful spot right now, having lost four straight to drop to 1-5. It\u2019ll be <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/6711876\/2025\/10\/12\/ravens-offense-defense-struggles\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">a long road back to contention<\/a> this season, even if banged-up QB Lamar Jackson can return to the lineup following a Week 7 bye.<\/p>\n<p>However, our projections suggest there might yet be reason to buy Baltimore. Even in their current malaise, the Ravens still have a projected win total of 8.2, with a 37.9 percent shot at a playoff berth and a relatively healthy 24.5 percent chance to win the division. The latter is well off Pittsburgh\u2019s number (73.4), but the Steelers are already 4-1.<\/p>\n<p>Following a Week 8 home game against Chicago, four of the Ravens\u2019 next five games are against teams projected to finish with top 10 picks: Miami, Cleveland, the Jets and Cincinnati. The Ravens won\u2019t face the division-leading Steelers until Dec. 7, presumably after Baltimore has added some key pieces back.<\/p>\n<p>Four teams in NFL history have made the playoffs after starting the season 1-5, including Washington in 2020 (albeit at 7-9 by winning a dreadful NFC East). It\u2019s a long shot that Baltimore can pull it off \u2026 but not quite as long as one might believe.<\/p>\n<p>3. Welcome to the top 10: Cincinnati<\/p>\n<p>The Joe Burrow-less Cincinnati Bengals <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/6712353\/2025\/10\/12\/joe-flacco-bengals-packers-jamarr-chase\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">showed some signs of life<\/a> with Joe Flacco at the helm Sunday, but they\u2019ve now lost four straight and will be without injured TE Mike Gesicki for an extended period of time. As you can see in the numbers above, Mock\u2019s projection just isn\u2019t feeling it for Cincinnati right now. The Bengals\u2019 projected win total of 5.3 is lower than those of New Orleans (5.5) and Cleveland (5.7), despite the Bengals currently holding one more win than either team.<\/p>\n<p>It might give Bengals fans some solace that the last two times their team picked in the top 10 (2020 and 2021), it came away with Burrow and Ja\u2019Marr Chase. On the other hand, what\u2019s it say about the current direction of the franchise \u2014 healthy Burrow or not \u2014 that Cincinnati could wind up back in this spot?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"How did Week 6 of the NFL season impact the projected 2026 draft order? To get an update&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":212575,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[436],"tags":[49,48,514,82],"class_list":{"0":"post-212574","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-nfl","8":"tag-ca","9":"tag-canada","10":"tag-nfl","11":"tag-sports"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/212574","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=212574"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/212574\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/212575"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=212574"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=212574"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=212574"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}