And just like that, Patrick Mahomes is back on top.<\/p>\n
With the Kansas City Chiefs\u2019 decisive win over the Detroit Lions on Sunday and the Buffalo Bills\u2019 decisive loss in Atlanta on Monday, Mahomes leapfrogged Josh Allen for the sole spot atop the NFL MVP odds board with +200 odds. After losing to the 3-2 Atlanta Falcons, Allen dropped back to second in the odds for the first time since Week 2, currently sitting at +275.<\/p>\n
But wait \u2014 Is that Baker Mayfield\u2019s music!? It\u2019s not just Tampa Bay Buccaneers fans chanting \u201cM-V-P!\u201d in the stands; the odds board has some fresh shine for Mayfield, too. He\u2019s now in third place at +350.<\/p>\n
He\u2019s also the most popular bet to make right now. Traders at BetMGM told The Athletic that, since October 6, the day after Tampa Bay\u2019s win in Seattle, Mayfield has been the highest-bet MVP ticket on the sportsbook with a ticket percentage of 46.3 percent and handle (total amount of money) at 44.1 percent.<\/p>\n
The closest behind him in popularity since October 6 is Dak Prescott at 9.5 percent (tickets) and 13.6 percent (handle), respectively. Mahomes? He\u2019s sixth on the list with 2.9 percent of tickets and 4.9 percent of the handle. However, that could change as this week goes on.<\/p>\n
After this top tier of three, a group of four quarterbacks have odds shorter than +2000: The Detroit Lions\u2019 Jared Goff (+1500), Los Angeles Rams\u2019 Matthew Stafford (+1600), Green Bay Packers\u2019 Jordan Love (+1800) and \u2014 record scratch! \u2014 New England Patriots\u2019 Drake Maye (+1800)<\/a>.<\/p>\n Here\u2019s a rundown of the top tier in MVP odds heading into Week 7, and some analysis from our Chiefs reporter on Mahomes\u2019 season so far.<\/p>\n NFL MVP live oddsHow the favorites have moved<\/p>\n Along with the Chiefs\u2019 overall outlook, two-time MVP Mahomes\u2019 odds have steadily improved, from a low of +1900 heading into Week 4 (a 5 percent probability to win it) to +450 last week and now +200 (33 percent) heading into Week 7.<\/p>\n Allen\u2019s odds lengthened slightly from a peak of -105 when the Bills were heading into Week 5 at a perfect 4-0. That implied his likelihood of winning MVP was over 50 percent. His drop to +275 decreased that to a 26.7 percent implied probability.<\/p>\n Mayfield\u2019s +350 odds suggest he has a little over 22 percent probability of winning the award, up from opening at +3000 (around 3 percent) and odds still as long as +2200 heading into Week 5 after Tampa Bay\u2019s loss to Philadelphia. They went on to notch two wins against contenders in Seattle and San Francisco.<\/p>\n The Bucs have a huge challenge ahead in Detroit for Week 7, and then a breather (Saints in Week 8 and a bye in Week 9) before the gauntlet of New England, Buffalo and Los Angeles Rams, all of whom have QBs in the top ten for MVP, too.<\/p>\n On the flip side, Lamar Jackson, the preseason favorite to win MVP at BetMGM, has fallen drastically down the betting board due to missing time with a hamstring injury. That said, given the issues of the AFC North with the Cleveland Browns and Cincinnati Bengals both floundering, Lamar might be a good buy-low candidate. If Jackson gets healthy and can somehow lead the Ravens to the playoffs, his MVP stock will skyrocket. If you still believe in Jackson and Baltimore, now is the time to grab those MVP odds at +3500.<\/p>\n How Patrick Mahomes got here, from\u00a0The Athletic\u2019s\u00a0Kansas City Chiefs reporter<\/p>\n