{"id":226487,"date":"2025-10-20T08:55:11","date_gmt":"2025-10-20T08:55:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/226487\/"},"modified":"2025-10-20T08:55:11","modified_gmt":"2025-10-20T08:55:11","slug":"social-securitys-2026-cola-forecast-what-retirees-ages-62-to-80-should-expect","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/226487\/","title":{"rendered":"Social Security&#8217;s 2026 COLA Forecast: What Retirees Ages 62 to 80 Should Expect"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Here&#8217;s what you might expect from the COLA in 2026.<\/p>\n<p>According to a 2023 study from the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, Social Security keeps around 22 million Americans out of poverty, including 16 million adults aged 65 and older.<\/p>\n<p>October is one of the most important months of the year for Social Security beneficiaries, as it&#8217;s when the upcoming <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/retirement\/social-security\/colas\/\" class=\"text-cyan-900 hover:text-cyan-800\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">cost-of-living adjustment (COLA)<\/a>\u00a0is announced. The COLA is an annual raise that helps benefits keep up with inflation and maintain their buying power as costs increase.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s when you can expect the 2026 COLA to be announced and what it might mean for you.<\/p>\n<p><img alt=\"Sign that reads Social Security 2026 COLA forecast against a background of Social Security cards and the Capitol building.\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"580\" height=\"326\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"1\" class=\"h-auto max-w-full rounded object-contain\" style=\"color:transparent\"  src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/socialsecurity3.png\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">Image source: Getty Images.<\/p>\n<p>Everything you need to know about the 2026 COLA<\/p>\n<p>The Social Security Administration calculates the COLA using inflation data from July, August, and September. Originally, the Bureau of Labor Statistics was set to release September&#8217;s data on Oct. 15, but due to the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/research\/stock-market-government-shutdowns\/\" class=\"text-cyan-900 hover:text-cyan-800\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">government shutdown<\/a>, it&#8217;s been delayed until Oct. 24.<\/p>\n<p>We won&#8217;t know the official COLA until then, but some experts already have a good idea of where it might land. Analysts at nonpartisan advocacy group The Senior Citizens League forecast that next year&#8217;s adjustment will be 2.7%, based on available inflation data. Unless September&#8217;s figures differ significantly from what&#8217;s anticipated, the actual COLA will likely be very close to 2.7%.<\/p>\n<p>Exactly how far that bonus will go depends on your <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/retirement\/social-security\/benefits-formula\/\" class=\"text-cyan-900 hover:text-cyan-800\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">benefit amount<\/a>. According to 2024 data from the Social Security Administration, this is the average benefit among retired workers age 62 to 80, as well as the adjusted benefit after a 2.7% COLA:<\/p>\n<p>AgeAvg. Monthly Benefit AmountAvg. Monthly Benefit After 2.7% COLA62$1,342$1,37863$1,364$1,40164$1,425$1,46365$1,611$1,65466$1,764$1,81267$1,930$1,98268$1,980$2,03369$2,040$2,09570$2,148$2,20671$2,115$2,17272$2,117$2,17473$2,088$2,14474$2,054$2,10975$2,065$2,12176$2,076$2,13277$2,046$2,10178$2,061$2,11779$2,013$2,06780$2,006$2,060<\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">Data source: Social Security Administration. COLA = cost-of-living adjustment.<\/p>\n<p>Across all age groups, the average COLA raise will be between $36 and $58 per month, assuming the adjustment is 2.7%. While that extra income can help with rising costs, it may not go as far as some retirees are expecting.<\/p>\n<p>The bad news about the COLA<\/p>\n<p>Earning a monthly boost in income is a good thing for most retirees, but the hidden downside is that a higher COLA also means that inflation has risen over the past year. The COLA is directly tied to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/research\/inflation-rate-statistics\/\" class=\"text-cyan-900 hover:text-cyan-800\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">inflation rates<\/a>, so the higher the COLA, the more expensive common goods and services have become.<\/p>\n<p>In theory, the COLA should increase at the same rate as inflation so that benefits maintain their buying power. Historically, though, that hasn&#8217;t often been the case.<\/p>\n<p>Between 2010 and 2024, for example, the inflation rate outpaced the COLA in 10 out of 15 years, according to a study from The Senior Citizens League.\u00a0The report also found that in that same time frame, Social Security benefits lost around 20% of their purchasing power as a result of failing to keep up with inflation.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/terms\/m\/medicare\/\" class=\"text-cyan-900 hover:text-cyan-800\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Medicare<\/a> premiums also throw a wrench into many retirees&#8217; plans, as Part B premiums are often deducted from Social Security checks. These premiums are expected to surge from $185 per month in 2025 to $206.50 per month in 2026 &#8212; an increase of $21.50 per month.<\/p>\n<p>With some people expected to receive only an extra $36 per month from the COLA, according to current estimates and average monthly payments, that premium increase will eat up the majority of those retirees&#8217; raises.\u00a0No matter where the 2026 COLA ends up, retirees are likely to get shortchanged in one way or another. But by keeping your expectations in check, it can be a little easier to budget accordingly.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Here&#8217;s what you might expect from the COLA in 2026. According to a 2023 study from the Center&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":226488,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[45,49,48,133,131,132],"class_list":{"0":"post-226487","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-personal-finance","8":"tag-business","9":"tag-ca","10":"tag-canada","11":"tag-finance","12":"tag-personal-finance","13":"tag-personalfinance"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/226487","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=226487"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/226487\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/226488"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=226487"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=226487"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=226487"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}