{"id":231468,"date":"2025-10-22T08:47:07","date_gmt":"2025-10-22T08:47:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/231468\/"},"modified":"2025-10-22T08:47:07","modified_gmt":"2025-10-22T08:47:07","slug":"uk-inflation-rate-lower-than-expectations-at-3-8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/231468\/","title":{"rendered":"UK inflation rate lower than expectations at 3.8%"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 bJoRPJ\">The UK inflation rate has remained stable at 3.8% in September, which was lower than expected, official figures show.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 bJoRPJ\">Prices for groceries also rose at their slowest rate in more than a year, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS).<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 bJoRPJ\">ONS chief economist Grant Fitzner noted that the cost of food and non-alcoholic drinks fell, &#8220;for the first time since May last year&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 bJoRPJ\">Chancellor Rachel Reeves said she was overall &#8220;not satisfied with the numbers&#8221; on inflation, while shadow chancellor Mel Stride said it was &#8220;pushing up the cost of living&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 bJoRPJ\">Britain&#8217;s inflation rate was also 3.8% in July and August, according to the ONS, which is still much higher than the Bank of England&#8217;s 2% target.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 bJoRPJ\">However, the central bank&#8217;s economists had forecast inflation to rise to 4% in September.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 bJoRPJ\">Mr Fitzner said: &#8220;The largest upward drivers came from petrol prices and airfares, where the fall in prices eased in comparison to last year.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 bJoRPJ\">He added: &#8220;These were offset by lower prices for a range of recreational and cultural purchases including live events.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 bJoRPJ\">The inflation rate for food and non-alcoholic drinks was 5.1% in the year to August and is now down to 4.5% for the year to September &#8211; a small difference that might not always be easy to spot at the supermarket.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 bJoRPJ\">Mr Fitzner told BBC Radio 4&#8217;s Today programme he thinks food prices are still &#8220;running quite high at 4.5%&#8221; but added &#8220;the fact that we have seen that steady increase dip a little is encouraging.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 bJoRPJ\">&#8220;It is just one month&#8217;s numbers so we will have to see what transpires in future months &#8211; but nonetheless a small glimmer of hope there,&#8221; he said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 bJoRPJ\">Paul Dales, chief UK economist for Capital Economics, said while food price inflation could rise further, &#8220;this will probably be the peak in inflation&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 bJoRPJ\">The chancellor said: &#8220;I am not satisfied with these numbers. For too long, our economy has felt stuck, with people feeling like they are putting in more and getting less out.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 bJoRPJ\">Reeves added that she was determined to ensure the government supports people &#8220;struggling with higher bills and the cost of living challenges, deliver economic growth and build an economy that works for, and rewards, working people.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 bJoRPJ\">In a post on X, the shadow chancellor said that inflation running at nearly double the Bank of England&#8217;s target was &#8220;pushing up the cost of living and punishing those Labour promised to protect&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 bJoRPJ\">Stride claimed national insurance increases, government borrowing and not having &#8220;the backbone to reduce spending&#8221; were all contributing to inflation.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 bJoRPJ\">The overall inflation figure for September matters more than most other months. <\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 bJoRPJ\">That&#8217;s because the government usually uses this as the bench-mark for the benefits uprating in April. <\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 bJoRPJ\">It means millions of people depending on benefits are likely to see a 3.8% increase in their payments next year.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 bJoRPJ\">The state pension will rise by more, because the annual increase for that is determined by <a target=\"_self\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/news\/articles\/cq6m03ld7nvo\" class=\"sc-f9178328-0 jZoZnB\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">the so-called triple lock<\/a>. <\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 bJoRPJ\">This guarantees that the state pension goes up each year in line with either inflation, wage increases or 2.5% &#8211; whichever is the highest. September&#8217;s inflation figure of 3.8% is below average earnings for the relevant period (4.8%)  which means the rise in wages will decide the state pension increase.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 bJoRPJ\">The inflation figures for the past three months were the joint-highest recorded since January 2024, when the rate was 4%, according to the ONS.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 bJoRPJ\">Inflation in the UK remains well below the 11.1% figure reached in October 2022, which was the highest rate for 40 years.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The UK inflation rate has remained stable at 3.8% in September, which was lower than expected, official figures&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":231469,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[45,49,48,46],"class_list":["post-231468","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-business","tag-ca","tag-canada","tag-economy"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/231468","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=231468"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/231468\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/231469"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=231468"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=231468"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=231468"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}