{"id":232785,"date":"2025-10-22T20:59:08","date_gmt":"2025-10-22T20:59:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/232785\/"},"modified":"2025-10-22T20:59:08","modified_gmt":"2025-10-22T20:59:08","slug":"nfl-betting-odds-lines-betting-trends-to-know-for-week-8s-biggest-games","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/232785\/","title":{"rendered":"NFL betting, odds, lines: Betting trends to know for Week 8&#8217;s biggest games"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A year ago, the Chargers were the NFL\u2019s most profitable point-spread team, the Broncos paid out like a malfunctioning ATM when playing as a favorite and the Commanders were road warriors.<\/p>\n<p>Now? The Bolts are in the midst of a spread-covering power outage; Denver can\u2019t be trusted to lay points; and Washington (and in particular, its defense) is struggling on the highway.<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, the Bills have been unstoppable over the past decade when coming off a bye (as they are this week), but continue to be completely unreliable when installed as a big favorite (as they are this week \u2014 against an opponent that\u2019s on a spread-covering heater).<\/p>\n<p>These are just a few of the topics covered in this week\u2019s NFL betting trends report, which focuses on the trio of Week 8 prime-time games, as well as the marquee matchups in Sunday\u2019s early- and late-afternoon windows.<\/p>\n<p>All listed odds are via <a data-i13n=\"cpos:1;pos:1\" href=\"https:\/\/mediaserver.betmgmpartners.com\/renderBanner.do?zoneId=1734022\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:BetMGM;cpos:1;pos:1;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">BetMGM<\/a> and subject to change.<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p>Kickoff: Thursday, 8:15 p.m. ET<\/p>\n<p>Money line: Vikings +150\/Chargers -185<\/p>\n<p>\u2022 In Jim Harbaugh\u2019s first 20 regular-season games as head coach, the Chargers went 14-6 SU and an NFL-best 15-4-1 ATS.<\/p>\n<p>However, after Sunday\u2019s 38-24 home loss to Indianapolis, Harbaugh\u2019s troops enter Thursday Night Football in a 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS slump. It\u2019s the first four-game point-spread slide for Los Angeles since it failed to cover in six consecutive games in the middle of the 2020 season (Weeks 8-13).<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p>One positive for the Charges: They\u2019ve won eight consecutive prime-time games as a betting favorite, going 6-2 ATS (4-0 ATS last four).<\/p>\n<p>\u2022 With its 28-22 home loss to Philadelphia as a 2.5-point underdog in Week 7, Minnesota continued an odd NFL betting trend: It has now alternated SU and ATS wins and losses in eight straight regular season games since Week 17 of 2024.<\/p>\n<p>\u2022 Seven of the Vikings\u2019 last nine games have flown over the closing total, including all three away from home this season (one in Chicago, one in Dublin, Ireland and one in London, England).<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p>Also, the over has cashed in all four of Minnesota\u2019s Thursday Night Football appearances this decade. Total points scored in those contests: 64, 62, 59 and 50.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, the Chargers are on an 11-6 over tear (one playoff game included), and six of their last eight at SoFi Stadium have cleared the total.<\/p>\n<p>\u2022 Vikings WR Justin Jefferson was held out of the end zone Sunday against the Eagles, extending his scoreless streak to five games.<\/p>\n<p>Jefferson has now been shut out in 14 of his last 18 contests (playoffs included). On Thursday, he\u2019ll face a Chargers secondary that has allowed only seven passing TDs (tied for second fewest in the league).<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p>Jefferson\u2019s odds to score a TD Thursday: +145.<\/p>\n<p>Kickoff: Sunday, 1 p.m. ET<\/p>\n<p>Money line: Bills -400\/Panthers +310<\/p>\n<p>\u2022 After opening the season with four straight wins, Buffalo limped into its Week 7 bye off consecutive upset losses to the Patriots (23-20 at home) and Falcons (24-14 on the road).<\/p>\n<p>The Bills are in the midst of a four-game spread-covering funk, their longest since an 0-6 ATS drought in 2023 (Weeks 5-10).<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p>Two more NFL betting trends that are relevant given the point spread for Sunday\u2019s game in Carolina: Buffalo is mired in ATS slumps of 4-12 overall and 1-4 as a road favorite of 6 points or more in regular season action.<\/p>\n<p>\u2022 On the flip side, the Bills have won 10 straight games following their in-season bye (7-2-1 ATS).<\/p>\n<p>[<a data-i13n=\"cpos:4;pos:1\" href=\"https:\/\/sports.yahoo.com\/watch\/\" data-ylk=\"slk:Yahoo Sports TV is here! Watch live shows and highlights 24\/7;cpos:4;pos:1;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Yahoo Sports TV is here! Watch live shows and highlights 24\/7<\/a>]<\/p>\n<p>During this post-bye hot streak, Buffalo is 7-0 SU and 4-2-1 ATS as favorite, and 2-0 SU and ATS on the road.<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p>\u2022 With consecutive upset victories over Miami, Dallas and the Jets, Carolina is riding its first three-game SU winning streak since the start of the 2021 season.<\/p>\n<p>The last time the franchise won four in a row? Weeks 3-6 of 2019.<\/p>\n<p>Also, the Panthers are on positive ATS runs of 12-4 overall (5-1 last six weeks); 7-1 at home (3-0 this year); 7-0 as a home underdog; and 7-1 as an underdog of 6 points or more.<\/p>\n<p>\u2022 Carolina\u2019s 13-6 victory at the Jets on Sunday was by far the lowest-scoring game of Week 7.<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p>That result aside, the over remains 17-6 in Panthers games since the 2024 season kicked off, including 9-2 in Carolina. Not once during this stretch have the Panthers stayed under the total in back-to-back contests.<\/p>\n<p>\u2022 Bills QB Josh Allen has thrown for fewer than 220 yards in six of his last eight regular-season games.<\/p>\n<p>Relatedly, Carolina\u2019s defense has allowed just two QBs to top that number through seven games: Dallas\u2019 Dak Prescott (261) and Miami\u2019s Tua Tagovailoa (256).<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p>Allen\u2019s passing projection for Sunday\u2019s game ranges from 223.5 to 227.5, depending on the sportsbook.<\/p>\n<p>Kickoff: Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET<\/p>\n<p>Money line: Cowboys +145\/Broncos -175<\/p>\n<p>\u2022 Dallas has covered the point spread in each of its three games as an underdog this season (1-1-1 SU).<\/p>\n<p>Going back to Week 12 of 2024, the Cowboys are on a 7-2 ATS roll when catching points (4-1 ATS as a road pup).<\/p>\n<p>However, 10 of Dallas\u2019 last 11 losses were by more than three points. The one exception: a 30-27 setback at Carolina two weeks ago.<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p>\u2022 Denver\u2019s on-field record (5-2) is the exact inverse of its point-spread record (2-5).<\/p>\n<p>Furthermore, after failing to cover an 8.5-point spread in Sunday\u2019s miraculous 33-32 last-second comeback win over the Giants, the Broncos dropped to 1-4 ATS as a favorite in 2025.<\/p>\n<p>That NFL betting trend is in stark contrast to last year, when the team went 8-0 SU and ATS as a favorite.<\/p>\n<p>\u2022 The shootout against New York ended Denver\u2019s 4-0 under streak. Still, the Broncos have stayed low in seven of their last nine games (playoffs included).<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p>Conversely, Dallas has soared over the total in four straight games, five of six and 11 of 15. Total points scored in Cowboys games this year: 44, 77, 45, 80, 59, 57 and 66.<\/p>\n<p>\u2022 Since amassing 188 passing yards in the season opener at Philadelphia, Dallas QB Dak Prescott has averaged 282.2 air yards per game.<\/p>\n<p>How has Denver performed against opposing QBs? Hit and miss. The Broncos shut down Titans rookie Cam Ward in his NFL debut (112 yards), Bengals backup Jake Browning (125) and the Jets\u2019 Justin Fields (45).<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p>Otherwise, though, Denver has gotten torched by Daniel Jones (316), Justin Herbert (300), Jalen Hurts (280) and Jaxson Dart (283).<\/p>\n<p>Prescott\u2019s passing yardage prop this week: 251.5 to 253.5 yards.<\/p>\n<p><img alt=\"Green Bay Packers quarterback Jordan Love (10) throws the ball against the Arizona Cardinals during an NFL football game Sunday, Oct. 19, 2025, in Glendale, Ariz. (AP Photo\/Rick Scuteri)\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"960\" height=\"640\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"1\" class=\"standard-img\" style=\"color:transparent\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/b30db0b0-af87-11f0-bfdd-b0a4fbce41c9.jpeg\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Jordan Love and the Green Bay Packers are 0-3 ATS on the road this season. (AP Photo\/Rick Scuteri)<\/p>\n<p> (ASSOCIATED PRESS)<\/p>\n<p>Kickoff: Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET<\/p>\n<p>Money line: Packers -170\/Steelers +140<\/p>\n<p>\u2022 After falling short as a 7-point favorite in last week\u2019s come-from-behind 27-23 win at Arizona, Green Bay will lug an 0-4 ATS slump into Pittsburgh.<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p>What\u2019s more, the Packers are 0-3 ATS on the road this season. If you toss in last year\u2019s blowout postseason loss at Philadelphia, they have failed to cover in seven of their last nine as a visitor (1-5 ATS as a road favorite).<\/p>\n<p>\u2022 One NFL betting trend that does favor Green Bay: During this decade, the team is 10-3-1 SU and 11-3 ATS on Sunday Night Football (4-2-1 SU and 5-2 ATS on the road).<\/p>\n<p>Of course, that includes the 40-40 tie at Dallas as a 6.5-point road favorite in Week 4.<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p>\u2022 In its only previous game catching points this season, Pittsburgh went to Dublin and beat the Vikings 24-21 as a 2.5-point underdog in Week 4.<\/p>\n<p>[<a data-i13n=\"cpos:7;pos:1\" href=\"https:\/\/sports.yahoo.com\/betting\/\" data-ylk=\"slk:Check out all of Yahoo&#039;s sports betting content here in our new betting hub;cpos:7;pos:1;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Check out all of Yahoo&#8217;s sports betting content here in our new betting hub<\/a>]<\/p>\n<p>With that upset, the Steelers improved to 16-8 SU and 17-7 ATS in their last 24 games as an underdog. Over this span, they\u2019re 13-6 SU and 14-5 ATS when catching 3 points or less (5-4 SU and 6-3 ATS as a home pup).<\/p>\n<p>Additionally, Pittsburgh has cashed in four straight Sunday Night Football games, all as an underdog (3-1 SU).<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p>\u2022 Steelers QB Aaron Rodgers is coming off his second four-touchdown passing game of the season, and his 14 scoring tosses are tied for fourth-most in the NFL.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, the last three QBs to face the Packers have thrown multiple touchdowns: Dak Prescott (three), Joe Flacco (two) and Jacoby Brissett (two).<\/p>\n<p>Rodgers\u2019 odds to record multiple TD passes Sunday night range from -115 to -130.<\/p>\n<p>Kickoff: Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p>Money line: Commanders +550\/Chiefs -800<\/p>\n<p>\u2022 Kansas City annihilated the Raiders 31-0 on Sunday, finishing with astonishing edges in first downs (30-3), total yards (434-95) and time of possession (42 minutes to 18).<\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/sports.yahoo.com\/nfl\/teams\/kansas-city\/\" data-ylk=\"slk:Kansas City Chiefs;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Kansas City Chiefs<\/a> (-13.5) easily covered the biggest point spread of Week 7, and in doing so snapped an 0-3-1 ATS drought as a double-digit favorite.<\/p>\n<p>Still, Kansas City is only 8-12-1 ATS when laying 10 or more points in this decade. Another noteworthy NFL betting trend: While double-digit favorites are 7-0 SU this year, they\u2019re only 4-3 ATS.<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p>\u2022 With their last-minute 31-28 loss at Jacksonville in Week 5, the Chiefs fell to 4-3 SU and 1-6 ATS on Monday Night Football since the start of the 2021 season.<\/p>\n<p>That includes an 0-4 ATS mark as a favorite of more than 5 points.<\/p>\n<p>Also, even though the game against the Jags easily cleared the total, the under remains 9-4 when K.C. plays on Monday Night Football since 2018 (5-2 at home).<\/p>\n<p>\u2022 Washington won seven of its final 10 road games in 2024 (playoffs included), going 5-4-1 ATS. However, the Commanders have dropped three of four as a visitor this season.<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p>The lone bright spot: a 27-10 thrashing of the Chargers in Los Angeles as a 3-point underdog in Week 5. Otherwise, Washington\u2019s defense has no-showed on the highway, giving up 27, 34 and 44 points at Green Bay, Atlanta and Dallas, respectively.<\/p>\n<p>The Chiefs\u2019 point totals in their last three at Arrowhead Stadium: 31 (Raiders), 30 (Lions) and 37 (Ravens). The odds that Kansas City tops 30 points against the Commanders: -105 at BetMGM.<\/p>\n<p>\u2022 Washington opened up the 2024 campaign with a 37-20 loss at Tampa Bay. That was the team\u2019s most recent double-digit defeat until Sunday\u2019s 44-22 debacle in Dallas.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"A year ago, the Chargers were the NFL\u2019s most profitable point-spread team, the Broncos paid out like a&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":232786,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[436],"tags":[1754,8814,5585,505,110416,4851,13277,1748,49,2223,48,1744,8822,6681,5281,1762,7236,1721,1765,1990,8820,31964,62301,1043,1730,3844,8494,99839,12476,12483,1763,13267,1757,25579,3148,2219,27240,3311,1727,1522,6390,1726,514,13269,1518,949,98068,2693,5457,82,44228,2220],"class_list":["post-232785","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-nfl","tag-aaron-rodgers","tag-allen","tag-arizona","tag-atlanta","tag-ats","tag-bengals","tag-broncos","tag-buffalo-bills","tag-ca","tag-cam-ward","tag-canada","tag-carolina-panthers","tag-chargers","tag-chicago","tag-commanders","tag-dak-prescott","tag-dallas","tag-dallas-cowboys","tag-daniel-jones","tag-denver","tag-falcons","tag-favorite","tag-football-games","tag-green-bay","tag-green-bay-packers","tag-indianapolis","tag-jacksonville","tag-jacoby-brissett","tag-jake-browning","tag-jalen-hurts","tag-jaxson-dart","tag-jets","tag-joe-flacco","tag-jordan-love","tag-justin-fields","tag-justin-herbert","tag-justin-jefferson","tag-kansas-city","tag-kansas-city-chiefs","tag-los-angeles","tag-miami","tag-minnesota-vikings","tag-nfl","tag-patriots","tag-philadelphia","tag-pittsburgh-steelers","tag-point-spread","tag-raiders","tag-ravens","tag-sports","tag-thursday-night-football","tag-tua-tagovailoa"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/232785","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=232785"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/232785\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/232786"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=232785"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=232785"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=232785"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}